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HII or KTOS or RTX
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) vs. Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS) vs. RTX Corporation (RTX) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- In recent market activity, HII shares have declined about 5-11% over the past month amid sector rotation, though year-to-date gains stand at around 6%.
- KTOS has shown volatility, dropping post-earnings but buoyed by contracts like a $446.8 million Space Systems deal, with earlier year-to-date returns near 20%.
- RTX shares fell about 1.7% in recent weeks, with year-to-date declines around 7%, despite strong revenue growth of 10.56% in Q1.
- Valuations differ sharply: KTOS trades at over 600x P/E (price-to-earnings ratio) on growth prospects, versus HII at ~28x and RTX at ~40x.
- Defense sector tailwinds from budgets favor innovative plays like KTOS, while HII and RTX offer stability.
Introduction
Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII), Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS), and RTX Corporation (RTX) represent key players in the aerospace and defense sector, spanning shipbuilding, unmanned systems, and diversified missiles/aerospace. This comparison suits investors eyeing defense amid rising geopolitical tensions and budget expansions, highlighting relative performance, growth drivers, and risks in current market conditions. Traders focused on sector rotation or momentum may find contrasts in stability versus innovation particularly relevant.
HII Overview and Recent Performance
Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) is the largest military shipbuilder in the U.S., specializing in aircraft carriers and submarines for the Navy. In recent weeks, HII shares have pulled back around 5% weekly and up to 11% monthly, reflecting broader aerospace sector weakness despite year-to-date gains of 6% and a strong 55% one-year return. Sentiment has been tempered by market rotation from defensives, ahead of Q1 earnings expected May 5 with $3.02 billion revenue forecast. Steady government contracts support a robust backlog, influencing positive long-term positioning despite short-term pressure.
KTOS Overview and Recent Performance
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS) focuses on unmanned aerial systems, hypersonics, and satellite communications for defense applications. Shares have experienced volatility, declining about 14.6% post recent earnings but lifted by wins like a $446.8 million Space Systems Command contract for missile tracking. Recent market activity shows mixed momentum, with earlier 19.5% year-to-date gains highlighting growth in drones amid sector demand. High investor interest stems from innovative tech exposure, though earnings surprises and contract flows drive sentiment swings.
RTX Overview and Recent Performance
RTX Corporation (RTX), a megacap leader in missiles, radar, and commercial aerospace, benefits from diversified revenue. In recent weeks, shares dipped around 1.7% monthly and 7% year-to-date, contrasting a 35% one-year rise, amid valuation scrutiny despite 10.56% Q1 revenue growth and strong backlog. Performance reflects sector headwinds and commercial aviation cycles, with defense stability providing a buffer through ongoing demand.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
HII emphasizes stable naval contracts versus KTOS’s high-growth unmanned tech and RTX’s scale in missiles/aerospace. Growth drivers favor KTOS (74% 12-month outperformance) amid drone budgets, while HII and RTX show steadier momentum. Risks include KTOS volatility versus peers’ backlogs. Sector exposure is pure defense for all, but RTX adds commercial sensitivity. Valuations highlight KTOS premium (600x P/E) trade-off for upside, with HII/RTX more attractive on multiples. Sentiment tilts to innovators like KTOS on budget tailwinds.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors KTOS with higher probability due to consistent trend strength in unmanned defense, recent contracts, and relative outperformance, positioning it ahead of HII’s stability and RTX’s scale amid growth catalysts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
HII’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileKTOS’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s), and RTX’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- HII’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- KTOS’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- RTX’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
HII’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KTOS’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and RTX’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- HII’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
- KTOS’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- RTX’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
HII (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а +0.33% price change this week, while KTOS (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was +2.44% , and RTX (@Aerospace & Defense) price fluctuated +8.55% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +2.79%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +14.42%, and the average quarterly price growth was +24.55%.
Reported Earning Dates
HII is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
KTOS is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
RTX is expected to report earnings on Jul 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (+2.79% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
| HII | KTOS | RTX | |
| Capitalization | 11.7B | 10.5B | 259B |
| EBITDA | 1.2B | 110M | 15.4B |
| Gain YTD | -12.046 | -26.018 | 5.793 |
| P/E Ratio | 19.29 | 330.35 | 36.13 |
| Revenue | 12.8B | 1.42B | 90.4B |
| Total Cash | 216M | 1.46B | 6.82B |
| Total Debt | 2.93B | 185M | 38.9B |
HII | KTOS | RTX | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 55 | 59 | 31 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 26 Undervalued | 86 Overvalued | 51 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 62 | 73 | 14 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 65 | 91 | 67 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | 61 | 50 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 35 | 49 | 72 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
HII's Valuation (26) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as RTX (51) in the null industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for KTOS (86) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that HII's stock grew similarly to RTX’s and somewhat faster than KTOS’s over the last 12 months.
RTX's Profit vs Risk Rating (14) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for HII (62) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for KTOS (73) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that RTX's stock grew somewhat faster than HII’s and somewhat faster than KTOS’s over the last 12 months.
HII's SMR Rating (65) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as RTX (67) in the null industry, and is in the same range as KTOS (91) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that HII's stock grew similarly to RTX’s and similarly to KTOS’s over the last 12 months.
RTX's Price Growth Rating (50) in the null industry is in the same range as KTOS (61) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is in the same range as HII (62) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that RTX's stock grew similarly to KTOS’s and similarly to HII’s over the last 12 months.
HII's P/E Growth Rating (35) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as KTOS (49) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for RTX (72) in the null industry. This means that HII's stock grew similarly to KTOS’s and somewhat faster than RTX’s over the last 12 months.
| HII | KTOS | RTX | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 68% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 55% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 61% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 79% | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 61% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 23 days ago 59% | 21 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 63% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 74% | 15 days ago 45% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 39% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 84% | 2 days ago 55% |
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HII and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HII has been loosely correlated with LHX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if HII jumps, then LHX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To HII | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HII | 100% | -0.54% | ||
| LHX - HII | 61% Loosely correlated | +0.88% | ||
| GD - HII | 61% Loosely correlated | -0.35% | ||
| KTOS - HII | 51% Loosely correlated | -0.32% | ||
| KRMN - HII | 50% Loosely correlated | +0.64% | ||
| RTX - HII | 49% Loosely correlated | +3.11% | ||
More | ||||
KTOS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KTOS has been loosely correlated with AVAV. These tickers have moved in lockstep 64% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if KTOS jumps, then AVAV could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To KTOS | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KTOS | 100% | -0.32% | ||
| AVAV - KTOS | 64% Loosely correlated | +0.24% | ||
| KRMN - KTOS | 62% Loosely correlated | +0.64% | ||
| MRCY - KTOS | 58% Loosely correlated | +2.73% | ||
| DRS - KTOS | 58% Loosely correlated | +2.15% | ||
| RCAT - KTOS | 51% Loosely correlated | +2.98% | ||
More | ||||
RTX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, RTX has been loosely correlated with LHX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if RTX jumps, then LHX could also see price increases.