IEF
Price
$91.20
Change
+$0.97 (+1.08%)
Updated
Oct 22 closing price
Net Assets
41.25B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
TLT
Price
$81.74
Change
+$1.50 (+1.87%)
Updated
Oct 22 closing price
Net Assets
46.91B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
UTEN
Price
$41.59
Change
+$0.50 (+1.22%)
Updated
Oct 22 closing price
Net Assets
259.32M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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IEF or TLT or UTEN

IEF vs TLT vs UTEN Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 21, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF (IEF) vs. iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) vs. F/m US Treasury 10 Year Note ETF (UTEN)

Key Takeaways

  • IEF, TLT, and UTEN all provide exposure to U.S. Treasury securities but target distinct segments of the yield curve, resulting in different duration profiles and interest rate sensitivities.
  • All three ETFs maintain identical expense ratios of 0.15%, offering comparable cost efficiency for passive fixed-income strategies.
  • IEF and TLT hold diversified baskets of Treasury notes and bonds (approximately 17–48 holdings), while UTEN concentrates on a single on-the-run 10-year Treasury note, creating a more targeted but less diversified exposure.
  • TLT exhibits the highest duration and volatility among the three due to its long-maturity focus, whereas IEF offers intermediate exposure and UTEN provides precise 10-year point targeting.
  • These ETFs compete within the U.S. government bond sector, serving investors seeking varying levels of duration risk without credit exposure.
  • Structural differences in maturity buckets position the funds for distinct roles in portfolio construction, such as intermediate ballast (IEF), long-duration hedging (TLT), or benchmark-specific positioning (UTEN).

Introduction

Investors frequently compare iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF (IEF), iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT), and F/m US Treasury 10 Year Note ETF (UTEN) because they represent tiered approaches to U.S. Treasury exposure. While each tracks or targets segments of the Treasury market, they differ in maturity focus, diversification, and duration characteristics. These distinctions allow investors to select exposure aligned with specific interest-rate views or portfolio duration needs within the broader fixed-income landscape.

iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF (IEF) Overview

IEF seeks to track the ICE BofA U.S. Treasury 7-10 Year Bond Index, providing exposure to U.S. Treasury notes with remaining maturities between seven and ten years. The fund holds approximately 17–18 securities, with the top holdings consisting of individual Treasury notes typically accounting for the majority of assets. Allocation is nearly 100% in Treasuries. It employs a passive, market-value-weighted approach with physical replication and monthly rebalancing. The expense ratio stands at 0.15%. Distinguishing features include its intermediate duration profile, which balances yield and interest-rate risk compared to shorter or longer Treasury products.

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) Overview

TLT tracks the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index, delivering exposure to U.S. Treasury bonds with maturities exceeding 20 years. The fund maintains around 47 holdings, concentrated in long-term Treasury securities. Portfolio allocation remains essentially 100% Treasuries. It follows a passive, market-value-weighted methodology with physical replication and periodic rebalancing. The expense ratio is 0.15%. Key characteristics encompass its extended duration, higher convexity, and greater sensitivity to long-term interest-rate movements.

F/m US Treasury 10 Year Note ETF (UTEN) Overview

UTEN aims to track the Bloomberg U.S. Treasury Bellwether 10Y Total Return USD Unhedged Index, focusing on the most recently issued on-the-run 10-year U.S. Treasury note. The fund typically holds one primary security plus minimal cash or equivalents. Allocation centers on that single Treasury note. It uses a passive strategy with a rolling mechanism to maintain exposure to the current on-the-run issue. The expense ratio equals 0.15%. Distinguishing aspects include its concentrated, single-bond design for precise 10-year point exposure and simplified operational structure.

Industry and Thematic Landscape

The U.S. Treasury ETF sector benefits from ongoing demand for government bond exposure amid fluctuating interest rates, inflation dynamics, and monetary policy shifts. Capital flows into Treasury products often reflect broader fixed-income allocation trends, regulatory preferences for high-quality liquid assets, and investor hedging needs. Macroeconomic drivers such as Federal Reserve actions, fiscal policy developments, and geopolitical events influence yield curve movements across maturities. Sector risks primarily involve interest-rate volatility and potential changes in Treasury issuance patterns, without exposure to corporate credit or equity market fluctuations.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent market cycles, the three ETFs have displayed differentiated behavior tied to their maturity profiles. TLT has shown greater price volatility and larger drawdowns during rising-rate environments due to its longer duration. IEF has exhibited more moderate movements, reflecting its intermediate focus. UTEN has provided targeted 10-year performance with lower diversification but direct alignment to that specific point on the curve. Relative positioning stems from structural differences: longer-maturity exposure amplifies sensitivity to rate changes, while concentrated holdings in UTEN reduce dispersion compared to multi-security baskets in IEF and TLT.

AI Screener

Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Explore the platform to streamline your research process.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural strength, diversification profile, cost efficiency, and risk-adjusted positioning, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a modest probabilistic preference to IEF. Its balanced intermediate-duration exposure, combined with a diversified holdings base and competitive expense ratio, supports more stable positioning across varying yield-curve scenarios compared to the higher-volatility profile of TLT or the concentrated single-note focus of UTEN.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for IEF with price predictions
Oct 22, 2026

IEF's MACD Histogram just turned positive

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for IEF turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where IEF's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 28 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 12, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on IEF as a result. In 48 of 85 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.

IEF moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +0.79% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IEF advanced for three days, in 161 of 292 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 8 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IEF declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.

IEF broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for IEF entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for TLT with price predictions
Oct 22, 2026

TLT in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026

TLT moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 40 of 50 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TLT as a result. In 70 of 95 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TLT just turned positive on October 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where TLT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 31 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

Following a +2.01% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TLT advanced for three days, in 194 of 281 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 8 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TLT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.

TLT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for TLT entered a downward trend on October 14, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for UTEN with price predictions
Oct 22, 2026

UTEN's MACD Histogram just turned positive

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for UTEN turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where UTEN's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 27 of 41 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 12, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on UTEN as a result. In 40 of 71 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.

UTEN moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +0.86% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UTEN advanced for three days, in 132 of 242 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 8 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UTEN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.

UTEN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for UTEN entered a downward trend on October 16, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
IEFTLTUTEN
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
67%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
72%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
56%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
84%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
57%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
56%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
74%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
56%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
64%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
69%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
66%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
58%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
72%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
59%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
59%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
72%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
61%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 7 days ago
55%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
69%
Bullish Trend 7 days ago
55%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 18 days ago
59%
Bearish Trend 18 days ago
78%
Bearish Trend 18 days ago
58%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
62%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
59%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
72%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
85%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
61%
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IEF
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
TLT
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
UTEN
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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