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IGM or IYW or VGT
Which ETF would AI Choose? iShares Expanded Tech Sector ETF (IGM) vs. iShares U.S. Technology ETF (IYW) vs. Vanguard Information Technology ETF (VGT)
Key Takeaways
- IGM tracks a broader North American expanded technology index that incorporates select communication services and consumer discretionary names, offering slightly wider thematic reach than pure U.S. technology peers.
- IYW focuses exclusively on U.S. technology equities via a capped Russell index, resulting in higher concentration among mega-cap names and fewer total holdings than IGM or VGT.
- VGT delivers the lowest expense ratio at 0.09 percent while providing multicapitalization exposure across the full U.S. information technology sector through the MSCI US Investable Market Information Technology 25/50 Index.
- All three ETFs maintain heavy allocations to semiconductors, software, and hardware, yet structural differences in index construction and geographic scope create measurable variations in diversification and cost efficiency.
- VGT stands out for cost efficiency and breadth across market-capitalization tiers, while IGM adds modest North American expansion and IYW emphasizes concentrated U.S. mega-cap technology leadership.
- Structural factors such as expense ratios, number of holdings, and index capping rules influence relative positioning more than short-term market fluctuations in recent market cycles.
Introduction
IGM, IYW, and VGT represent three distinct approaches to technology sector exposure within U.S.-listed exchange-traded funds. While all emphasize technology and related industries, they differ in geographic scope, index methodology, and cost structure. IGM extends into North American expanded technology names, IYW targets U.S. technology equities with concentration caps, and VGT provides broad U.S. information technology coverage across market-capitalization tiers. These variations make the trio relevant for investors seeking to compare passive strategies within the same overarching theme.
iShares Expanded Tech Sector ETF (IGM) Overview
IGM seeks to track the S&P North American Expanded Technology Sector Index. The fund holds approximately 287 to 297 securities and maintains an expense ratio of 0.37 percent. Top holdings typically include NVIDIA, Apple, Microsoft, Broadcom, and Meta Platforms. Sector allocations emphasize semiconductors, technology hardware, systems software, interactive media, and application software. The index applies an 8.5 percent cap per security and includes select communication services and consumer discretionary companies with technology exposure. IGM is structured as a passive, market-capitalization-weighted open-ended fund with quarterly rebalancing.
iShares U.S. Technology ETF (IYW) Overview
IYW tracks the Russell 1000 Technology RIC 22.5/45 Capped Index. The fund contains 148 holdings and carries an expense ratio of 0.37 percent. Prominent positions feature NVIDIA, Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, and Broadcom. Sector weights concentrate in semiconductors and semiconductor equipment, software and services, technology hardware, and media and entertainment. The index applies single-security and issuer caps to manage concentration. IYW is a passive, non-diversified U.S.-focused ETF reconstituted annually with quarterly reviews.
Vanguard Information Technology ETF (VGT) Overview
VGT follows the MSCI US Investable Market Information Technology 25/50 Index. The fund includes 321 holdings and features the lowest expense ratio among the three at 0.09 percent. Leading holdings generally comprise NVIDIA, Apple, Microsoft, Micron Technology, and Broadcom. Allocations center on the information technology sector as defined by GICS, spanning semiconductors, software, hardware, and related equipment. VGT employs a passive, full-replication strategy where feasible across large-, mid-, and small-capitalization U.S. companies, with the index applying 25/50 concentration limits.
Industry and Thematic Landscape
The technology sector continues to attract capital flows driven by advances in artificial intelligence, cloud computing, and semiconductor demand. Macroeconomic factors including interest-rate expectations, supply-chain resilience, and regulatory scrutiny of large technology platforms influence performance across these ETFs. Earnings trends among dominant holdings in semiconductors and software remain key drivers, while geopolitical tensions affecting global chip production add sector risk. Capital continues to favor established leaders, yet broader market cycles periodically reward or penalize concentration versus diversification within technology exposures.
Performance and Positioning Comparison
In recent weeks and months, the three ETFs have exhibited broadly aligned directional moves tied to technology sentiment, yet structural differences produce modest variations. VGT’s lower expense ratio and multicapitalization breadth can support more stable risk-adjusted positioning over extended cycles. IGM’s inclusion of additional North American names may moderate concentration relative to IYW during periods of U.S.-specific volatility. IYW’s capped index and fewer holdings can amplify sensitivity to mega-cap movements. Relative drawdowns and trend consistency have historically reflected these exposure distinctions rather than short-term price fluctuations.
AI Screener
Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Access the tool today to explore technology sector opportunities.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable structural characteristics, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign the highest probability of favor to VGT. Its materially lower expense ratio, broader multicapitalization coverage, and extensive holdings list provide advantages in cost efficiency and diversification depth. IGM offers incremental geographic expansion, while IYW delivers concentrated U.S. mega-cap exposure. The verdict reflects probabilistic assessment of durable factors rather than any guarantee of future outcomes.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
IGM in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026
IGM moved below its 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 31 of 32 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on IGM as a result. In 73 of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for IGM turned negative on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 36 of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 80%.
The 10-day moving average for IGM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 14 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IGM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where IGM's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 24 of 27 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 7 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +1.26% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IGM advanced for three days, in 323 of 373 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.
IGM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 315 of 344 cases where IGM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.
IYW in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026
IYW moved below its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 30 of 33 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on IYW as a result. In 77 of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for IYW turned negative on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 44 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 88%.
The 10-day moving average for IYW crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 15 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IYW declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where IYW's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 22 of 23 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 7 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +1.07% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IYW advanced for three days, in 326 of 374 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.
IYW may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 294 of 319 cases where IYW Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.
VGT in downward trend: 10-day moving average moved below 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026
The 10-day moving average for VGT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 15 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on VGT as a result. In 76 of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for VGT turned negative on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 54 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 46 of the 54 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 85%.
VGT moved below its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VGT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 83%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where VGT's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 23 of 24 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 7 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +1.15% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VGT advanced for three days, in 339 of 388 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.
VGT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 299 of 328 cases where VGT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.
| IGM | IYW | VGT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 89% | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 86% | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 85% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 85% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 88% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 86% | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 87% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 18 days ago 87% | 18 days ago 87% | 18 days ago 87% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 81% | 8 days ago 84% | 8 days ago 83% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 90% |
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IYW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, IYW has been closely correlated with ONTO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 67% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if IYW jumps, then ONTO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To IYW | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IYW | 100% | +0.39% | ||
| ONTO - IYW | 67% Closely correlated | +0.01% | ||
| MKSI - IYW | 65% Loosely correlated | +0.22% | ||
| NXPI - IYW | 63% Loosely correlated | -1.21% | ||
| VRT - IYW | 62% Loosely correlated | -0.65% | ||
| COHR - IYW | 61% Loosely correlated | +0.71% | ||
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