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NI or OGS or SR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? NiSource (NI) vs. ONE Gas (OGS) vs. Spire (SR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- NiSource (NI) leads year-to-date performance at 16.65%, slightly ahead of ONE Gas (OGS) at 16.02% and ahead of Spire (SR) at 10.32%.
- All three stocks offer solid dividend yields, with SR providing the highest at 3.65%, followed by OGS at 3.06% and NI at 2.50%.
- NI benefits from recent data center power contracts, bolstering its growth profile in recent market activity.
- OGS and SR trade at lower trailing P/E ratios (20.35 and 19.78, respectively) compared to NI's 24.66, suggesting relative value.
- Upcoming first-quarter earnings reports for all three could influence short-term sentiment amid steady utility sector demand.
- NI's larger market cap of $23 billion provides greater scale versus OGS ($5.58 billion) and SR ($5.34 billion).
Introduction
NiSource (NI), ONE Gas (OGS), and Spire (SR) are prominent players in the natural gas utility sector, offering regulated distribution services across multiple U.S. states. This comparison is particularly relevant for income-focused investors and traders seeking defensive positions with reliable dividends amid economic uncertainty and interest rate fluctuations. By examining recent performance, valuations, and market drivers, readers can assess relative strengths in a sector known for stability and exposure to energy demand trends. With all three preparing for first-quarter earnings, the analysis highlights positioning for potential momentum.
NI Overview and Recent Performance
NiSource (NI) is a diversified energy holding company serving 2.4 million natural gas customers and 0.5 million electric customers across six states, primarily through its Columbia Gas and NIPSCO subsidiaries. In recent weeks, NI shares have traded around $48, near the upper end of their 52-week range ($37.22–$48.98). Year-to-date gains of 16.65% reflect positive sentiment driven by data center power supply agreements with major tech firms like Alphabet and Amazon, signaling robust future demand for infrastructure investments. Upcoming first-quarter earnings on May 6 are anticipated to show EPS growth, supporting steady performance amid broader utility sector tailwinds.
OGS Overview and Recent Performance
ONE Gas (OGS) operates as a regulated natural gas distributor serving 2.3 million customers in Oklahoma, Kansas, and Texas via extensive pipeline networks. Shares have hovered near $89 in recent market activity, within a 52-week range of $70.87–$90.78, with year-to-date returns of 16.02%. Steady operational results from fourth-quarter 2025, including diluted EPS of $1.42, have underpinned performance, bolstered by consistent customer demand and rate adjustments. As first-quarter earnings approach, analysts project modest growth, reinforcing OGS's profile as a reliable regional utility with controlled exposure to commodity volatility.
SR Overview and Recent Performance
Spire (SR) focuses on natural gas distribution to residential, commercial, and industrial customers across Missouri, the Southeast, and Midwest. Trading around $90 lately, shares sit in the middle of their 52-week range ($69.94–$95.31), posting year-to-date gains of 10.32%. Recent weeks have seen strategic asset sales, including its gas marketing business for $215 million and Mississippi operations for $75 million, aimed at streamlining toward core utility operations. A dividend declaration and gas storage divestiture further shaped sentiment, positioning SR for focused growth ahead of near-term earnings.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
All three operate regulated natural gas utilities with similar business models centered on distribution infrastructure, but NI stands out with electric generation exposure, enabling diversified revenue. Growth drivers differ: NI leverages data center demand, while OGS and SR emphasize regional rate cases and operational efficiencies. Recent momentum favors NI with superior one-year returns (26.71%), though SR trails on YTD basis. Risk factors include interest rate sensitivity (debt/equity ratios: NI 139%, OGS 98%, SR 156%) and regulatory approvals. Valuation-wise, OGS and SR appear cheaper on P/E (price-to-earnings ratio), trading at discounts to NI, while market sentiment tilts toward NI's catalysts versus peers' stability.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models currently favor NI with higher conviction, citing its consistent upward trend, data center catalysts, and relative outperformance in recent market activity. While OGS and SR offer value and yield advantages, NI's scale and growth positioning suggest stronger probabilistic upside in the near term, particularly post-earnings.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
NI’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileOGS’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s), and SR’s FA Score reflects 0 green FA rating(s).
- NI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- OGS’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- SR’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
NI’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while OGS’s TA Score has 2 bullish TA indicator(s), and SR’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- NI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- OGS’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 7 bearish.
- SR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
NI (@Gas Distributors) experienced а -2.08% price change this week, while OGS (@Gas Distributors) price change was -2.20% , and SR (@Gas Distributors) price fluctuated -3.60% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Gas Distributors industry was -0.88%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.79%, and the average quarterly price growth was +7.27%.
Reported Earning Dates
NI is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
OGS is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
SR is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Gas Distributors (-0.88% weekly)Gas distributors are involved in moving and selling gas – from wellheads or over-distribution systems operated by other firms – to residential and non-residential customers. These companies perform tasks such as the gathering and processing of gas, intrastate and interstate transport, and delivery to the customer. Some of the biggest gas distributing companies in the U.S. include Sempra Energy, Avangrid Inc and Atmos Energy Corporation.
| NI | OGS | SR | |
| Capitalization | 22.6B | 5.32B | 5.12B |
| EBITDA | 3.14B | 783M | 886M |
| Gain YTD | 14.491 | 10.627 | 5.649 |
| P/E Ratio | 23.48 | 19.14 | 17.53 |
| Revenue | 6.82B | 2.32B | 2.6B |
| Total Cash | 71.9M | 11.4M | 49.5M |
| Total Debt | 16.8B | 3.38B | 7.96B |
NI | OGS | SR | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 79 | 52 | 55 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 74 Overvalued | 55 Fair valued | 49 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 8 | 59 | 37 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 69 | 77 | 70 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 51 | 56 | 59 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 36 | 42 | 57 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 55 | n/a | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SR's Valuation (49) in the Gas Distributors industry is in the same range as OGS (55) and is in the same range as NI (74). This means that SR's stock grew similarly to OGS’s and similarly to NI’s over the last 12 months.
NI's Profit vs Risk Rating (8) in the Gas Distributors industry is in the same range as SR (37) and is somewhat better than the same rating for OGS (59). This means that NI's stock grew similarly to SR’s and somewhat faster than OGS’s over the last 12 months.
NI's SMR Rating (69) in the Gas Distributors industry is in the same range as SR (70) and is in the same range as OGS (77). This means that NI's stock grew similarly to SR’s and similarly to OGS’s over the last 12 months.
NI's Price Growth Rating (51) in the Gas Distributors industry is in the same range as OGS (56) and is in the same range as SR (59). This means that NI's stock grew similarly to OGS’s and similarly to SR’s over the last 12 months.
NI's P/E Growth Rating (36) in the Gas Distributors industry is in the same range as OGS (42) and is in the same range as SR (57). This means that NI's stock grew similarly to OGS’s and similarly to SR’s over the last 12 months.
| NI | OGS | SR | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 36% | 2 days ago 47% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 36% | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 49% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 41% | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 60% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 31% | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 46% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 29% | 2 days ago 45% | 2 days ago 43% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 15 days ago 52% | N/A | 2 days ago 50% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 31% | 5 days ago 50% | 6 days ago 49% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 68% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 44% | 2 days ago 42% |
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NI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NI has been closely correlated with ATO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 67% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NI jumps, then ATO could also see price increases.
OGS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, OGS has been closely correlated with CPK. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if OGS jumps, then CPK could also see price increases.
SR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SR has been closely correlated with OGS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SR jumps, then OGS could also see price increases.