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PBD or ROBO or TMAT
Which ETF would AI Choose? Invesco Global Clean Energy ETF (PBD) vs. ROBO Global Robotics & Automation ETF (ROBO) vs. Main Thematic Innovation ETF (TMAT)
Key Takeaways
- Invesco Global Clean Energy ETF (PBD) provides equal-weighted exposure to global clean energy innovators via the WilderHill New Energy Global Innovation Index, emphasizing broad diversification across renewables with a 0.75% expense ratio.
- ROBO Global Robotics & Automation ETF (ROBO) tracks the ROBO Global Robotics and Automation Index, focusing on robotics, automation, and artificial intelligence (AI) companies with approximately 79 holdings and a 0.95% expense ratio.
- Main Thematic Innovation ETF (TMAT) is an actively managed fund that rotates across multiple disruptive themes including AI, robotics, and healthcare, targeting mid-cap growth stocks with an 0.82% expense ratio and dynamic allocation.
- Structural differences include PBD’s passive equal-weight clean energy focus, ROBO’s specialized passive robotics index, and TMAT’s active multi-theme rotation, leading to varying concentration and sector sensitivities.
- Expense ratios position PBD as the most cost-efficient among the three, while all maintain thematic tilts suited to long-term innovation cycles rather than short-term market timing.
- Relative positioning highlights PBD’s emphasis on environmental themes, ROBO’s pure-play automation exposure, and TMAT’s broader thematic flexibility for investors seeking diversified growth opportunities.
Introduction
These three exchange-traded funds (ETFs) offer distinct approaches to thematic investing in clean energy, robotics, automation, and broader innovation. Invesco Global Clean Energy ETF (PBD) and ROBO Global Robotics & Automation ETF (ROBO) follow passive indexes tied to specific sectors, while Main Thematic Innovation ETF (TMAT) employs active thematic rotation. They do not track identical benchmarks but compete within the innovation and disruptive technology space, providing investors with tiered exposures to sustainability, automation, and multi-theme growth strategies amid ongoing capital allocation toward technological advancement.
Invesco Global Clean Energy ETF (PBD) Overview
Invesco Global Clean Energy ETF (PBD) seeks to track the WilderHill New Energy Global Innovation Index, which includes companies focused on cleaner energy generation, conservation, and renewable technologies such as solar, wind, and biofuels. The fund typically holds around 120 securities on an equal-weighted basis, reducing concentration risk compared to market-cap-weighted alternatives. Top holdings often feature firms like SES AI Corporation, Bloom Energy Corporation, and SolarEdge Technologies, Inc. Sector allocation centers on alternative energy equities with global diversification across developed markets. The expense ratio stands at 0.75%. Distinguishing features include quarterly rebalancing and reconstitution, along with inclusion of American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) and Global Depositary Receipts (GDRs) for international exposure.
ROBO Global Robotics & Automation ETF (ROBO) Overview
ROBO Global Robotics & Automation ETF (ROBO) aims to replicate the ROBO Global Robotics and Automation Index, targeting companies involved in robotics, automation, and AI applications across industrial, healthcare, logistics, and autonomous systems. The ETF maintains approximately 79 equity holdings, selected through qualitative and quantitative screens for meaningful revenue exposure to the theme. Key allocations span application and technology segments, with notable emphasis on computing and AI. The expense ratio is 0.95%. The fund employs quarterly rebalancing and is structured as a non-diversified passive vehicle, providing targeted access to the automation ecosystem without broader market overlap.
Main Thematic Innovation ETF (TMAT) Overview
Main Thematic Innovation ETF (TMAT) pursues dynamic thematic rotation across 7-10 secular growth areas, including AI, digital payments, disruptive healthcare, robotics, and cybersecurity. As an actively managed fund, it selects securities based on addressable market potential and reasonable valuations, resulting in roughly 84 holdings with a mid-cap growth orientation. Top positions frequently include companies such as Micron Technology, Inc., Palo Alto Networks, Inc., and Vicor Corporation. The expense ratio is 0.82%. Distinguishing elements encompass semi-annual distributions, flexibility to rotate themes, and a focus on innovation-driven mid-cap equities predominantly in the United States.
Industry and Thematic Landscape
The broader environment encompasses accelerating adoption of clean energy solutions, robotics and automation technologies, and multi-faceted innovation themes driven by artificial intelligence (AI), digital transformation, and efficiency demands. Macroeconomic factors such as regulatory support for renewables, supply chain advancements in semiconductors, and corporate investment in productivity-enhancing tools influence capital flows. Geopolitical considerations around energy security and technology leadership add complexity, while earnings trends in major holdings reflect sustained demand for sustainable and automated solutions across industries.
Performance and Positioning Comparison
In recent market cycles, structural variances have contributed to differing volatility profiles and drawdown patterns. Invesco Global Clean Energy ETF (PBD) exhibits sensitivity to energy policy shifts and commodity cycles due to its clean energy concentration. ROBO Global Robotics & Automation ETF (ROBO) demonstrates trend consistency tied to automation adoption but faces concentration risks in specialized holdings. Main Thematic Innovation ETF (TMAT) offers potentially smoother positioning through active rotation across themes, mitigating single-sector exposure while responding to evolving growth opportunities. These differences arise from index construction versus active management and varying degrees of thematic breadth.
AI Screener
Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Explore the AI Screener to enhance your research process.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable structural strength, Main Thematic Innovation ETF (TMAT) presents a probabilistic edge through its active multi-theme rotation, offering balanced diversification and adaptability across innovation sectors while maintaining competitive costs. This positioning supports resilience in varied market environments compared to the more concentrated passive approaches of Invesco Global Clean Energy ETF (PBD) and ROBO Global Robotics & Automation ETF (ROBO).
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
PBD's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for PBD entered a downward trend on October 23, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 252 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 235 of the 252 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for PBD turned negative on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 38 of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 83%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PBD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 10 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
PBD may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
ROBO sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line
ROBO saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 12, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 41 of the 46 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 89%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 12, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ROBO as a result. In 62 of 74 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.
ROBO moved below its 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for ROBO crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 61%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ROBO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ROBO's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 25 of 30 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 9 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +2.15% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ROBO advanced for three days, in 280 of 327 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
ROBO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 228 of 252 cases where ROBO Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.
TMAT in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026
TMAT moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 41 of 44 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TMAT as a result. In 63 of 73 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TMAT turned negative on October 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 53 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 43 of the 53 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 81%.
The 10-day moving average for TMAT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TMAT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 83%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where TMAT's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 26 of 29 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +2.35% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TMAT advanced for three days, in 281 of 326 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
TMAT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 289 of 320 cases where TMAT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.
| PBD | ROBO | TMAT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 86% | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 86% | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 84% | 1 day ago 86% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 89% | 1 day ago 81% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 85% | 1 day ago 85% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 89% | 1 day ago 85% | 1 day ago 86% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 86% | 3 days ago 86% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 85% | 8 days ago 83% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 87% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 90% |
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PBD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PBD has been closely correlated with AMRC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 66% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PBD jumps, then AMRC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PBD | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PBD | 100% | -0.85% | ||
| AMRC - PBD | 66% Closely correlated | -2.88% | ||
| BE - PBD | 62% Loosely correlated | -11.24% | ||
| MP - PBD | 60% Loosely correlated | -0.67% | ||
| ACHR - PBD | 56% Loosely correlated | +2.89% | ||
| SLDP - PBD | 55% Loosely correlated | -1.98% | ||
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ROBO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ROBO has been loosely correlated with EMR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 64% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ROBO jumps, then EMR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ROBO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROBO | 100% | -0.05% | ||
| EMR - ROBO | 64% Loosely correlated | +0.81% | ||
| JOBY - ROBO | 63% Loosely correlated | +1.28% | ||
| COHR - ROBO | 61% Loosely correlated | +0.71% | ||
| ROK - ROBO | 61% Loosely correlated | +0.53% | ||
| CLS - ROBO | 58% Loosely correlated | -3.35% | ||
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TMAT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TMAT has been loosely correlated with Q. These tickers have moved in lockstep 60% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TMAT jumps, then Q could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TMAT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TMAT | 100% | +1.41% | ||
| Q - TMAT | 60% Loosely correlated | +0.97% | ||
| TLN - TMAT | 58% Loosely correlated | -1.06% | ||
| ONTO - TMAT | 46% Loosely correlated | +0.01% | ||
| CIEN - TMAT | 40% Loosely correlated | -0.74% | ||
| TSM - TMAT | 39% Loosely correlated | +1.49% | ||
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| EVHY | 50.99 | 0.06 | +0.12% |
| Eaton Vance High Yield ETF (EVHY) | |||
| DDXX | 27.82 | N/A | N/A |
| Defined Duration 20 ETF (DDXX) | |||
| AAAA | 30.07 | -0.09 | -0.28% |
| Amplius Aggressive Asset Allocation ETF (AAAA) | |||
| DGCB | 52.33 | -0.19 | -0.35% |
| Dimensional Global Credit ETF (DGCB) | |||
| FBYY | 10.14 | -0.08 | -0.78% |
| GraniteShares YieldBOOST META ETF (FBYY) | |||