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SHEL or TTE or XOM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Shell plc (SHEL) vs. TotalEnergies SE (TTE) vs. Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- All three integrated oil majors navigated volatile markets influenced by Middle East tensions, with production disruptions offset by higher oil prices and strong trading activities.
- XOM beat first-quarter adjusted earnings estimates despite a 6% global output loss, highlighting growth in Guyana and the Permian Basin.
- TTE reported a 29% earnings increase in the first quarter, raised its dividend, and doubled share buybacks, lifting sentiment.
- SHEL saw significantly higher oil trading profits in the first quarter amid geopolitical upheaval.
- SHEL offers the highest dividend yield at approximately 3.4%, compared to XOM's 2.8%.
- XOM maintains the largest market capitalization (market cap) over $600 billion, underscoring its scale.
Introduction
Shell plc (SHEL), TotalEnergies SE (TTE), and Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) represent leading integrated oil and gas supermajors, each with global upstream, midstream, and downstream operations. This comparison is particularly relevant for energy sector investors and traders assessing relative performance amid fluctuating oil prices driven by geopolitical tensions and supply disruptions. Key metrics like recent earnings, shareholder returns, production trends, and valuation provide insights into their positioning in the current market environment.
SHEL Overview and Recent Performance
Shell plc (SHEL), headquartered in London, is a British multinational engaged in oil and gas exploration, production, refining, and marketing, with a strong focus on liquefied natural gas (LNG). In recent market activity, SHEL shares have traded lower amid broader sector pressures from volatile crude prices. Sentiment was supported by robust first-quarter oil trading results, which surged due to supply disruptions from Middle East conflicts, helping offset weaker refining margins. The stock's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio remains attractive relative to peers, appealing to value-oriented investors tracking energy flows.
TTE Overview and Recent Performance
TotalEnergies SE (TTE), based in France, operates across the energy spectrum, including oil, gas, renewables, and electricity, positioning it as a leader in the energy transition. Over recent weeks, TTE shares advanced following strong first-quarter results, with earnings up 29% driven by elevated trading and oil prices despite output challenges. The company raised its dividend and doubled share buybacks, enhancing shareholder appeal and bolstering market sentiment in a high-volatility environment.
XOM Overview and Recent Performance
Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM), a U.S.-based supermajor, emphasizes upstream production, refining, and chemicals, with significant exposure to shale and international assets. In recent trading, XOM shares pulled back from March highs but demonstrated resilience, beating first-quarter adjusted earnings forecasts despite a 6% production hit from Iran-related disruptions. Growth in Guyana and the Permian Basin supported results, while the CEO highlighted expectations for sustained higher oil prices, influencing positive long-term positioning.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
SHEL, TTE, and XOM share integrated business models but differ in geographic focus: XOM leans heavily on U.S. shale (Permian) and Guyana for growth, while SHEL and TTE emphasize international LNG and renewables exposure. Recent momentum favors TTE on shareholder returns, with XOM showing superior production ramps. Risk factors include oil price sensitivity and geopolitics, amplified by Middle East events. Valuation-wise, XOM's trailing P/E of 25.72 contrasts SHEL's lower multiple, with SHEL leading dividend yields; market sentiment tilts toward dividend payers amid uncertainty.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI analysis would likely favor XOM in the current environment, given its trend consistency in production growth, adjusted earnings resilience, and CEO commentary on elevated oil prices as catalysts. While TTE excels in shareholder distributions and SHEL in trading prowess, XOM's scale and relative stability position it probabilistically stronger for near-term outperformance.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
SHEL’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileTTE’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s), and XOM’s FA Score reflects 3 green FA rating(s).
- SHEL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TTE’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- XOM’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
SHEL’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TTE’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and XOM’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- SHEL’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- TTE’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
- XOM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
SHEL (@Integrated Oil) experienced а +1.66% price change this week, while TTE (@Integrated Oil) price change was +4.29% , and XOM (@Integrated Oil) price fluctuated +9.98% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was +1.39%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.17%, and the average quarterly price growth was +23.16%.
Reported Earning Dates
SHEL is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
TTE is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
XOM is expected to report earnings on Jul 24, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Integrated Oil (+1.39% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
| SHEL | TTE | XOM | |
| Capitalization | 237B | 204B | 655B |
| EBITDA | 57.7B | 43B | 64.4B |
| Gain YTD | 17.253 | 41.058 | 33.000 |
| P/E Ratio | 13.30 | 13.69 | 26.59 |
| Revenue | 267B | 184B | 326B |
| Total Cash | 23.1B | 29.9B | N/A |
| Total Debt | 75.6B | 64B | 43.5B |
SHEL | TTE | XOM | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 78 | 93 | 29 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 37 Fair valued | 25 Undervalued | 68 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 6 | 6 | 5 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 68 | 62 | 71 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 48 | 41 | 26 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 63 | 20 | 11 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TTE's Valuation (25) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as SHEL (37) in the null industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for XOM (68) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that TTE's stock grew similarly to SHEL’s and somewhat faster than XOM’s over the last 12 months.
XOM's Profit vs Risk Rating (5) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as TTE (6) in the Integrated Oil industry, and is in the same range as SHEL (6) in the null industry. This means that XOM's stock grew similarly to TTE’s and similarly to SHEL’s over the last 12 months.
TTE's SMR Rating (62) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as SHEL (68) in the null industry, and is in the same range as XOM (71) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that TTE's stock grew similarly to SHEL’s and similarly to XOM’s over the last 12 months.
XOM's Price Growth Rating (26) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as TTE (41) in the Integrated Oil industry, and is in the same range as SHEL (48) in the null industry. This means that XOM's stock grew similarly to TTE’s and similarly to SHEL’s over the last 12 months.
XOM's P/E Growth Rating (11) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as TTE (20) in the Integrated Oil industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for SHEL (63) in the null industry. This means that XOM's stock grew similarly to TTE’s and somewhat faster than SHEL’s over the last 12 months.
| SHEL | TTE | XOM | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 66% | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 58% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 44% | 3 days ago 52% | 3 days ago 60% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 42% | 3 days ago 55% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 54% | 3 days ago 58% | 3 days ago 62% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 39% | 3 days ago 58% | 3 days ago 62% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 52% | 3 days ago 55% | 3 days ago 60% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 46% | 10 days ago 48% | 10 days ago 44% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 59% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 38% | 3 days ago 53% | 3 days ago 49% |
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SHEL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SHEL has been closely correlated with E. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SHEL jumps, then E could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SHEL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHEL | 100% | +1.01% | ||
| E - SHEL | 80% Closely correlated | +0.29% | ||
| BP - SHEL | 75% Closely correlated | +1.67% | ||
| CRGY - SHEL | 71% Closely correlated | +3.41% | ||
| EQNR - SHEL | 71% Closely correlated | +3.57% | ||
| XOM - SHEL | 66% Loosely correlated | +4.07% | ||
More | ||||
TTE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TTE has been loosely correlated with CRGY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 60% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TTE jumps, then CRGY could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TTE | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TTE | 100% | +0.94% | ||
| CRGY - TTE | 60% Loosely correlated | +3.41% | ||
| REPYY - TTE | 60% Loosely correlated | +0.69% | ||
| OMVKY - TTE | 53% Loosely correlated | +0.55% | ||
| E - TTE | 46% Loosely correlated | +0.29% | ||
| GLPEY - TTE | 44% Loosely correlated | +1.15% | ||
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