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SHEL vs TTE
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Shell plc (SHEL) vs. TotalEnergies SE (TTE) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- SHEL delivered stronger full-year cash generation and maintained a 17-quarter streak of at least $3 billion in buybacks, even as weaker oil prices pressured earnings.
- TTE leans more aggressively into integrated power and renewables, differentiating its growth mix from Shell's greater emphasis on liquefied natural gas (LNG).
- Both companies saw adjusted earnings decline year over year, but SHEL has drawn renewed sell-side support, including a top-pick designation from Morgan Stanley.
- TTE raised production roughly 5% year over year and strengthened its electricity business through a major asset acquisition, supporting a diversified, lower-breakeven strategy.
- For more information about these tickers' major news and today's price moves, explore SHEL Major News and SHEL Today's Price Move, as well as TTE Major News and TTE Today's Price Move.
- To see how automated strategies are positioning across these and other tickers, explore Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
Shell plc (SHEL) and TotalEnergies SE (TTE) are two of Europe's largest integrated energy companies, and their stock comparison is closely watched by investors seeking exposure to oil, natural gas, LNG (liquefied natural gas), refining, and emerging low-carbon businesses. Both operate across the full hydrocarbon value chain, yet they have pursued different strategic balances between traditional fossil fuels and cleaner energy. This comparison is relevant for income-oriented investors focused on dividends and buybacks, as well as traders evaluating relative performance and market positioning during a period of softer commodity prices and elevated geopolitical uncertainty.
SHEL Overview and Recent Performance
SHEL, headquartered in London, is a global energy major spanning upstream production, integrated gas, refining, chemicals, and marketing. In recent market activity, the shares have been supported by consistent capital returns, even as earnings softened alongside lower crude and gas prices. Shell reported full-year 2025 adjusted earnings of about $18.5 billion, down from roughly $23.7 billion in 2024, while fourth-quarter adjusted earnings of about $3.26 billion represented the weakest quarterly result since early 2021. Despite this, the company raised its dividend 4% and launched another $3.5 billion buyback, marking 17 consecutive quarters of at least $3 billion in distributions. Sentiment has been reinforced by sell-side upgrades and a top-pick designation from Morgan Stanley, though rising net debt and higher gearing (a measure of debt relative to equity) remain areas of focus.
TTE Overview and Recent Performance
TTE, based in France, is an integrated energy company that has prioritized a multi-energy strategy, including a growing integrated power and renewables segment alongside oil, gas, and LNG. In recent weeks, the company reported 2025 adjusted earnings per share of about $6.89, down 11% year over year, while full-year revenues declined roughly 7% to about $182.3 billion. Notably, fourth-quarter hydrocarbon production rose nearly 5% year over year to about 2.55 million barrels of oil equivalent per day, supported by start-ups and asset acquisitions. TotalEnergies also announced a full-year 2025 dividend of €3.40 per share, up 5.6%, and guided to $3–$6 billion of buybacks in 2026, with a cautious $750 million first-quarter tranche reflecting a conservative oil-price assumption. A recent €5.1 billion deal to acquire 50% of EPH's flexible power-generation portfolio underscores its push to lower its cash-flow breakeven and diversify beyond hydrocarbons.
Trending AI Robots
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast between SHEL and TTE lies in strategic emphasis. Shell has positioned itself around integrated gas and LNG trading, where it is the world's largest LNG trader, while TotalEnergies has broadened more aggressively into electricity and renewables. This gives TTE a potentially more diversified earnings base but also ties its growth story to capital-intensive power assets. On shareholder returns, Shell has maintained a steadier, higher-volume buyback cadence, whereas TotalEnergies has adopted a more flexible, price-contingent framework, signaling caution amid softer crude. Both face shared risk factors—weaker realized commodity prices, refining margin volatility, and geopolitical disruption—yet Shell's stronger recent analyst support and consistent distributions contrast with TotalEnergies' emphasis on production growth and a lower cash-flow breakeven through its power business.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, stability, catalysts, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would currently lean toward SHEL. The reasoning centers on its more consistent shareholder-return profile, renewed institutional support, and steadier near-term price behavior, even amid weaker earnings. TotalEnergies (TTE) offers compelling diversification and production momentum, which may suit investors with a longer horizon. However, its more cautious buyback posture and greater reliance on evolving power-market dynamics introduce additional variability. This assessment is probabilistic and reflects current conditions rather than a definitive or guaranteed outcome.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is SHEL is a StrongBuy and TTE is a Hold.
SHEL's Stochastic Oscillator is staying in oversold zone for 4 days
The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a +3.33% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SHEL advanced for three days, in 196 of 368 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 53%.
SHEL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 223 of 349 cases where SHEL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 64%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for SHEL moved out of overbought territory on November 02, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 14 of the 32 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 44%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 03, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SHEL as a result. In 42 of 100 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 42%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SHEL turned negative on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 20 of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 43%.
SHEL moved below its 50-day moving average on November 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SHEL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 44%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 5 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 31, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SHEL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 63 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.563) is normal, around the industry mean (1.508). P/E Ratio (10.841) is within average values for comparable stocks, (10.200). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.632) is also within normal values, averaging (1.088). Dividend Yield (0.032) settles around the average of (0.053) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.929) is also within normal values, averaging (3.764).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 80 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
TTE in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on November 05, 2026
TTE moved below its 50-day moving average on November 05, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 24 of 43 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 56%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for TTE moved out of overbought territory on November 02, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 40 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 16 of the 40 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 40%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 05, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TTE as a result. In 44 of 94 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 47%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TTE turned negative on November 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 22 of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 47%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TTE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 46%.
TTE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 16, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
The 10-day moving average for TTE crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 7 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 39%.
Following a +2.64% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TTE advanced for three days, in 205 of 375 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 199 of 351 cases where TTE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 57%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 7 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 31, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 44 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.510) is normal, around the industry mean (1.508). P/E Ratio (10.882) is within average values for comparable stocks, (10.200). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.816) is also within normal values, averaging (1.088). Dividend Yield (0.046) settles around the average of (0.053) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.013) is also within normal values, averaging (3.764).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TTE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
SHEL | TTE | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 71 | 89 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 63 Fair valued | 44 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 5 | 7 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 58 | 58 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 44 | 46 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 80 | 35 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 30 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TTE's Valuation (44) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as SHEL (63) in the null industry. This means that TTE’s stock grew similarly to SHEL’s over the last 12 months.
SHEL's Profit vs Risk Rating (5) in the null industry is in the same range as TTE (7) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that SHEL’s stock grew similarly to TTE’s over the last 12 months.
SHEL's SMR Rating (58) in the null industry is in the same range as TTE (58) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that SHEL’s stock grew similarly to TTE’s over the last 12 months.
SHEL's Price Growth Rating (44) in the null industry is in the same range as TTE (46) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that SHEL’s stock grew similarly to TTE’s over the last 12 months.
TTE's P/E Growth Rating (35) in the Integrated Oil industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SHEL (80) in the null industry. This means that TTE’s stock grew somewhat faster than SHEL’s over the last 12 months.
| SHEL | TTE | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 44% | 2 days ago 40% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 61% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 42% | 2 days ago 47% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 43% | 2 days ago 47% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 40% | 2 days ago 46% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 40% | 2 days ago 58% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 53% | 13 days ago 55% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 44% | 6 days ago 46% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 45% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 57% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
SHEL’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while TTE’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- SHEL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TTE’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
SHEL’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TTE’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- SHEL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- TTE’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
SHEL (@Integrated Oil) experienced а -6.65% price change this week, while TTE (@Integrated Oil) price change was -5.20% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was -4.72%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -11.33%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.40%.
Reported Earning Dates
SHEL is expected to report earnings on Feb 04, 2027.
TTE is expected to report earnings on Feb 10, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Integrated Oil (-4.72% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
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TTE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TTE has been closely correlated with E. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TTE jumps, then E could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TTE | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TTE | 100% | -0.14% | ||
| E - TTE | 77% Closely correlated | -1.41% | ||
| SHEL - TTE | 74% Closely correlated | -1.63% | ||
| BP - TTE | 73% Closely correlated | -0.02% | ||
| EQNR - TTE | 71% Closely correlated | -1.07% | ||
| CVE - TTE | 60% Loosely correlated | +0.29% | ||
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