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SHEL vs TTE
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Shell plc (SHEL) vs. TotalEnergies SE (TTE) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- TotalEnergies SE (TTE) has outperformed Shell plc (SHEL) year-to-date (YTD, a measure from January 1 to current date), gaining approximately 42% compared to SHEL's 21%.
- TTE offers a higher dividend yield at around 4.2%, versus SHEL's 3.3%.
- Over the past month, TTE advanced slightly by 0.6%, while SHEL retreated nearly 5%.
- Both stocks exhibit low beta values (a measure of volatility relative to the broader market), indicating relative stability, with TTE at 0.42 and SHEL at 0.56.
- Analyst price targets suggest upside potential for both, averaging around $97 for TTE and $99 for SHEL.
- TTE's one-year return stands at over 61%, surpassing SHEL's 37%.
Introduction
Shell plc (SHEL) and TotalEnergies SE (TTE) are two leading integrated energy majors, both engaged in upstream exploration, downstream refining, and transitioning toward renewables amid fluctuating oil prices and geopolitical tensions. This stock comparison analyzes their recent market positioning, performance metrics, and sector dynamics, offering insights for energy sector investors and traders seeking relative value in a volatile commodity environment. With global energy demand evolving, understanding their contrasts in momentum, dividends, and growth drivers aids informed portfolio decisions.
SHEL Overview and Recent Performance
Shell plc, headquartered in London, operates across integrated gas, upstream oil and gas extraction, marketing, chemicals, and renewables, serving global markets with a workforce of about 84,000. In recent market activity, SHEL stock experienced a pullback of nearly 5% over the past month, trading around $89 with a market capitalization (market cap, total value of outstanding shares) of approximately $250 billion. Year-to-date gains stand at 21%, supported by expectations of substantial share buybacks exceeding $20 billion and strategic deals like the ARC Resources acquisition enhancing LNG exposure. Sentiment remains buoyed by analyst upgrades, including Scotiabank's raised price target to $122, amid stable oil prices and focus on free cash flow generation.
TTE Overview and Recent Performance
TotalEnergies SE, based in France, is an integrated energy firm producing oil, natural gas, biofuels, renewables, and electricity worldwide, employing nearly 95,000 people. Recently, TTE stock edged up 0.6% over the past month, closing near $93 with a market cap of about $208 billion. It has delivered robust YTD returns of 42%, driven by strong Q1 earnings that beat estimates on higher realized prices and production growth, alongside projects like a 440MWp solar initiative in the Philippines. Positive analyst sentiment, with targets averaging $96.50 and upgrades from firms like TD Cowen to $106, reflects confidence in its cash returns and diversification efforts.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both SHEL and TTE operate similar integrated business models in oil, gas, refining, and renewables, but TTE shows stronger growth drivers through aggressive production increases and renewable expansions, contributing to its superior three-month momentum of 29% versus SHEL's 18%. SHEL emphasizes LNG and buybacks for shareholder returns, while TTE prioritizes higher dividends and cash flow. Risk factors include commodity price sensitivity and energy transition pressures, though both maintain low betas for stability. Market sentiment favors TTE's relative performance edge, with higher one-year returns, though SHEL trades at a comparable forward PE ratio (price-to-earnings, stock price divided by earnings per share) around 8.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI would currently lean toward TTE based on its consistent upward trend, stronger YTD and recent momentum, higher dividend yield, and positive earnings catalysts, positioning it favorably amid energy sector rotations. SHEL remains competitive with buyback support, but TTE exhibits greater relative strength probabilistically in the near term.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is SHEL is a Hold and TTE is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
SHEL’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileTTE’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- SHEL’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- TTE’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
SHEL’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TTE’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- SHEL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- TTE’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
SHEL (@Integrated Oil) experienced а +0.30% price change this week, while TTE (@Integrated Oil) price change was -0.78% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was -4.43%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.95%, and the average quarterly price growth was +27.55%.
Reported Earning Dates
SHEL is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
TTE is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Integrated Oil (-4.43% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
| SHEL | TTE | SHEL / TTE | |
| Capitalization | 240B | 196B | 122% |
| EBITDA | 57.7B | 43B | 134% |
| Gain YTD | 18.732 | 34.546 | 54% |
| P/E Ratio | 13.34 | 13.06 | 102% |
| Revenue | 267B | 184B | 145% |
| Total Cash | 23.1B | 29.9B | 77% |
| Total Debt | 75.6B | 64B | 118% |
SHEL | TTE | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 58 | 72 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 29 Undervalued | 22 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 6 | 7 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 70 | 64 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 49 | 45 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 71 | 31 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TTE's Valuation (22) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as SHEL (29) in the null industry. This means that TTE’s stock grew similarly to SHEL’s over the last 12 months.
SHEL's Profit vs Risk Rating (6) in the null industry is in the same range as TTE (7) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that SHEL’s stock grew similarly to TTE’s over the last 12 months.
TTE's SMR Rating (64) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as SHEL (70) in the null industry. This means that TTE’s stock grew similarly to SHEL’s over the last 12 months.
TTE's Price Growth Rating (45) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as SHEL (49) in the null industry. This means that TTE’s stock grew similarly to SHEL’s over the last 12 months.
TTE's P/E Growth Rating (31) in the Integrated Oil industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SHEL (71) in the null industry. This means that TTE’s stock grew somewhat faster than SHEL’s over the last 12 months.
| SHEL | TTE | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 46% | 4 days ago 57% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 58% | 4 days ago 56% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 57% | 4 days ago 46% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 53% | 4 days ago 47% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 55% | 4 days ago 46% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 51% | 12 days ago 54% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 46% | 5 days ago 48% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 66% | 4 days ago 55% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 34% | 4 days ago 51% |
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SHEL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SHEL has been closely correlated with BP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SHEL jumps, then BP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SHEL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHEL | 100% | -0.22% | ||
| BP - SHEL | 76% Closely correlated | +0.23% | ||
| E - SHEL | 73% Closely correlated | -1.04% | ||
| CRGY - SHEL | 71% Closely correlated | +0.87% | ||
| EQNR - SHEL | 67% Closely correlated | -1.55% | ||
| XOM - SHEL | 66% Closely correlated | +0.28% | ||
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TTE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TTE has been loosely correlated with CRGY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 60% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TTE jumps, then CRGY could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TTE | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TTE | 100% | +0.34% | ||
| CRGY - TTE | 60% Loosely correlated | +0.87% | ||
| E - TTE | 52% Loosely correlated | -1.04% | ||
| SHEL - TTE | 49% Loosely correlated | -0.22% | ||
| BP - TTE | 48% Loosely correlated | +0.23% | ||
| EQNR - TTE | 45% Loosely correlated | -1.55% | ||
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