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SHEL vs TTE
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Shell (SHEL) vs. TotalEnergies (TTE) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- SHEL and TTE are both integrated oil and gas majors that have rallied on rising crude prices tied to Middle East supply concerns.
- Shell has returned to record territory, while TotalEnergies has climbed near its all-time high, leaving both stocks in strong long-term uptrends.
- TotalEnergies offers a higher dividend yield (roughly 4.3%) than Shell (roughly 3.2%), giving it an edge for income-focused investors.
- TotalEnergies carries a broader renewables and power footprint, whereas Shell has heavier exposure to liquefied natural gas (LNG) and trading.
- Both companies flagged sharply higher third-quarter refining margins, a shared catalyst that has supported sentiment across the sector.
- Over the past year, TotalEnergies has shown stronger relative momentum, though Shell's larger scale and LNG franchise are notable offsets.
Introduction
Energy investors weighing two of Europe's largest integrated oil and gas companies often land on Shell plc and TotalEnergies SE. Both are diversified across upstream production, refining, and gas, yet they differ in their geographic mix, low-carbon ambitions, and shareholder-return profiles. With crude prices recently climbing on Middle East supply risks, both stocks have moved in tandem with the commodity. This stock comparison examines their relative performance, growth drivers, and market positioning to help traders and investors understand how these two giants stack up in the current environment.
SHEL Overview and Recent Performance
SHEL, or Shell plc, is a UK-headquartered integrated energy company spanning upstream oil and gas, liquefied natural gas (LNG), refining, chemicals, and marketing. In recent weeks, Shell's shares have returned to record territory, lifted primarily by a sharp rise in Brent crude toward $110 per barrel amid Middle East tensions. The company's latest trading update pointed to higher integrated gas production, partly reflecting its completed ARC Resources acquisition, and a markedly stronger indicative refining margin versus the prior quarter. Broader market data shows Shell up roughly 30% to 36% year-to-date, trading above both its 20-day and 200-day moving averages. Offsetting factors include softer chemicals margins and expected weaker marketing results, which temper the strength of the downstream recovery. Shell's disciplined capital allocation, ongoing buybacks, and significant LNG exposure remain central to its investment narrative.
TTE Overview and Recent Performance
TTE, or TotalEnergies SE, is a French integrated energy company operating across exploration and production, integrated LNG, power generation, refining and chemicals, and marketing. The company has reported strong recent momentum, with shares climbing near all-time highs and a year-to-date gain exceeding 40% in some data sources. TotalEnergies guided third-quarter hydrocarbon production to roughly 2.45 to 2.50 million barrels of oil equivalent per day (Mboe/d) and signaled "exceptional" downstream results, driven by surging refining margins and robust trading. The company has also expanded its U.S. solar joint venture with KKR and merged its UK upstream business with NEO NEXT, underscoring its dual focus on hydrocarbons and renewables. With a dividend yield above 4% and a low beta relative to the market, TotalEnergies has attracted both income-oriented and momentum-driven investors.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both companies share the same core catalyst—elevated crude and refining margins—but their profiles diverge in meaningful ways. SHEL is the larger of the two by market capitalization and carries a heavier weighting toward LNG, gas trading, and integrated operations, which makes its earnings sensitive to global gas prices and trading conditions. TTE, by contrast, has diversified more aggressively into power generation and renewables, a mix that can provide some insulation from pure commodity swings. On shareholder returns, TotalEnergies currently offers a higher dividend yield, while Shell has emphasized share buybacks alongside its payout. From a valuation standpoint, both trade at single-digit-to-low-double-digit price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios, well below the broader market. Risk profiles also differ: Shell's larger trading book introduces earnings volatility, while TotalEnergies' faster-growing low-carbon segment may weigh on near-term returns. In recent weeks, TotalEnergies has exhibited slightly stronger relative momentum, though Shell's record-breaking share price signals equally robust underlying demand.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors, Tickeron's AI would likely show a modest preference for TTE in the current environment, given its stronger year-to-date momentum, higher dividend yield, and broader diversification across hydrocarbons and renewables. TotalEnergies' upward trend has been consistent, and its low-beta profile suggests relatively stable positioning amid sector volatility. That said, SHEL remains a closely matched contender, with its record-setting price action, larger LNG franchise, and disciplined capital returns keeping it firmly in contention. The relative edge is narrow and probabilistic rather than definitive, and either stock could outperform depending on how crude prices, gas demand, and company-specific catalysts evolve in the coming quarters.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is SHEL is a Buy and TTE is a Buy.
Aroon Indicator for SHEL shows an upward move is likely
SHEL's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on October 20, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 348 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In 222 of the 348 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at 64%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 02, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SHEL as a result. In 58 of 99 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SHEL just turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where SHEL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 24 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 53%.
Following a +1.96% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SHEL advanced for three days, in 192 of 365 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 53%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 8 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 11 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SHEL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 45%.
SHEL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 08, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 3 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 26, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 38 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SHEL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 60 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.665) is normal, around the industry mean (1.700). P/E Ratio (11.547) is within average values for comparable stocks, (11.367). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.632) is also within normal values, averaging (1.088). Dividend Yield (0.030) settles around the average of (0.046) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.929) is also within normal values, averaging (3.764).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 76 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
TTE in upward trend: 10-day moving average crossed above 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026
The 10-day moving average for TTE crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where TTE's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 15 of 23 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TTE as a result. In 51 of 94 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TTE just turned positive on October 13, 2026. Looking at past instances where TTE's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 26 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
TTE moved above its 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +1.44% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TTE advanced for three days, in 205 of 378 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 5 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TTE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 47%.
TTE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 16, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for TTE entered a downward trend on October 13, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 7 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 26, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 37 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.549) is normal, around the industry mean (1.700). P/E Ratio (11.162) is within average values for comparable stocks, (11.367). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.816) is also within normal values, averaging (1.088). Dividend Yield (0.045) settles around the average of (0.046) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.013) is also within normal values, averaging (3.764).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 37 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. TTE’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
SHEL | TTE | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 42 | 22 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 60 Fair valued | 37 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 3 | 7 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 58 | 58 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 38 | 42 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 76 | 37 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TTE's Valuation (37) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as SHEL (60) in the null industry. This means that TTE’s stock grew similarly to SHEL’s over the last 12 months.
SHEL's Profit vs Risk Rating (3) in the null industry is in the same range as TTE (7) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that SHEL’s stock grew similarly to TTE’s over the last 12 months.
SHEL's SMR Rating (58) in the null industry is in the same range as TTE (58) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that SHEL’s stock grew similarly to TTE’s over the last 12 months.
SHEL's Price Growth Rating (38) in the null industry is in the same range as TTE (42) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that SHEL’s stock grew similarly to TTE’s over the last 12 months.
TTE's P/E Growth Rating (37) in the Integrated Oil industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SHEL (76) in the null industry. This means that TTE’s stock grew somewhat faster than SHEL’s over the last 12 months.
| SHEL | TTE | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 65% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 43% | 1 day ago 43% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 54% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 57% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 59% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 58% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 53% | 7 days ago 54% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 21 days ago 45% | 15 days ago 47% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 47% | 1 day ago 34% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 46% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
SHEL’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while TTE’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- SHEL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TTE’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
SHEL’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TTE’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- SHEL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TTE’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
SHEL (@Integrated Oil) experienced а +2.48% price change this week, while TTE (@Integrated Oil) price change was +1.27% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was +0.65%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.78%, and the average quarterly price growth was +9.17%.
Reported Earning Dates
SHEL is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
TTE is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Integrated Oil (+0.65% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
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SHEL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SHEL has been closely correlated with BP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SHEL jumps, then BP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SHEL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHEL | 100% | +0.69% | ||
| BP - SHEL | 81% Closely correlated | -0.10% | ||
| E - SHEL | 75% Closely correlated | +0.02% | ||
| CRGY - SHEL | 71% Closely correlated | -1.39% | ||
| EQNR - SHEL | 71% Closely correlated | -0.85% | ||
| TTE - SHEL | 70% Closely correlated | +0.14% | ||
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TTE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TTE has been closely correlated with E. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TTE jumps, then E could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TTE | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TTE | 100% | +0.14% | ||
| E - TTE | 75% Closely correlated | +0.02% | ||
| SHEL - TTE | 71% Closely correlated | +0.69% | ||
| EQNR - TTE | 67% Closely correlated | -0.85% | ||
| BP - TTE | 64% Loosely correlated | -0.10% | ||
| CRGY - TTE | 60% Loosely correlated | -1.39% | ||
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