SPXU
Price
$33.71
Change
-$0.27 (-0.79%)
Updated
Oct 15, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
419.02M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
SRTY
Price
$27.64
Change
-$1.12 (-3.89%)
Updated
Oct 15, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
72.34M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
TZA
Price
$49.04
Change
-$2.04 (-3.99%)
Updated
Oct 15, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
235.51M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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SPXU or SRTY or TZA

SPXU vs SRTY vs TZA Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Sep 18, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? ProShares UltraPro Short S&P500 (SPXU) vs. ProShares UltraPro Short Russell2000 (SRTY) vs. Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X Shares (TZA)

Key Takeaways

  • SPXU, SRTY, and TZA are all -3x daily inverse leveraged exchange-traded funds (ETFs) designed for short-term tactical exposure rather than long-term holding.
  • SPXU targets the large-cap S&P 500 Index, while SRTY and TZA both target the small-cap Russell 2000 Index, creating distinct market-capitalization exposures.
  • Expense ratios are competitive, with SPXU at 0.90%, SRTY at 0.95% net, and TZA at 0.99%, reflecting the structural costs of derivatives-based leverage.
  • All three rely on swaps, futures, and other derivatives with daily resets, introducing compounding effects and heightened volatility compared to unleveraged inverse products.
  • SPXU offers broader large-cap diversification through its benchmark, whereas SRTY and TZA provide concentrated small-cap exposure that may amplify sensitivity to domestic economic cycles.
  • Liquidity profiles differ by issuer and benchmark popularity, with structural characteristics favoring short-term trading strategies across the group.

Introduction

SPXU, SRTY, and TZA represent specialized leveraged inverse vehicles that allow investors to seek amplified daily returns from declining equity markets. These ETFs do not track similar indexes; instead, they offer tiered risk exposures within the inverse-leveraged category. SPXU focuses on large-cap benchmarks, while SRTY and TZA emphasize small-cap benchmarks, enabling investors to differentiate between market segments when positioning for potential downturns. Their relevance stems from ongoing interest in tactical hedging tools amid varying macroeconomic conditions.

ProShares UltraPro Short S&P500 (SPXU) Overview

SPXU seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, that correspond to three times the inverse (-3x) of the daily performance of the S&P 500 Index. The fund uses derivatives such as swaps and futures to achieve this objective and typically holds a limited number of positions centered on these instruments. Top holdings often include various swap agreements with major financial institutions alongside cash equivalents. Sector allocation mirrors the broad S&P 500 composition through its benchmark exposure. The expense ratio stands at 0.90%. SPXU is structured as a passive, leveraged inverse product with daily rebalancing, distinguishing it through its focus on large-cap U.S. equities.

ProShares UltraPro Short Russell2000 (SRTY) Overview

SRTY seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, that correspond to three times the inverse (-3x) of the daily performance of the Russell 2000 Index. The fund employs swaps, futures, and other derivatives, resulting in a portfolio with a modest number of holdings. Top positions generally consist of index swaps and treasury instruments for collateral. Sector allocation aligns with the small-cap Russell 2000 benchmark. The net expense ratio is 0.95%. SRTY operates as a passive leveraged inverse ETF with daily resets, notable for its targeted small-cap U.S. equity focus.

Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X Shares (TZA) Overview

TZA seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, that correspond to three times the inverse (-3x) of the daily performance of the Russell 2000 Index. The fund utilizes swap agreements, futures contracts, and short positions to deliver the target exposure. Holdings are derivatives-focused with supporting cash or treasury positions. Sector allocation reflects the small-cap Russell 2000 composition. The expense ratio is 0.99%. TZA is a passive leveraged inverse product with daily rebalancing, characterized by its small-cap benchmark orientation from a different issuer.

Industry and Thematic Landscape

The broader environment for these ETFs centers on U.S. equity market volatility, particularly distinctions between large-cap and small-cap segments. Macroeconomic drivers such as interest rate policies, inflation trends, and corporate earnings influence capital flows into or away from small-cap indexes like the Russell 2000. Regulatory considerations around leveraged products remain consistent across issuers. Geopolitical events and domestic economic data can heighten sensitivity in small-cap exposures compared to large-cap benchmarks. Sector risks include concentration in cyclical industries within small caps, affecting overall thematic positioning for inverse strategies.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent market cycles, performance differences arise primarily from benchmark selection and leverage mechanics. SPXU's large-cap focus may exhibit lower relative volatility than the small-cap targeted SRTY and TZA during periods of economic uncertainty. SRTY and TZA, sharing the same Russell 2000 benchmark, show similar sensitivity to small-cap drawdowns but can diverge slightly due to issuer-specific implementation and expense structures. All three demonstrate high volatility and potential for significant drawdowns over multi-day periods due to daily compounding. Trend consistency depends on sustained market declines, with concentration risk elevated in small-cap versions.

AI Screener

Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Explore the AI Screener for advanced filtering capabilities.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural strength, diversification profile, cost efficiency, momentum stability, and risk-adjusted positioning, Tickeron’s AI would likely assign a modest probabilistic preference to SPXU. Its lower expense ratio and large-cap benchmark may support more stable relative positioning in certain environments compared to the small-cap alternatives, though all three remain specialized tools best suited for short-term tactical use.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for SPXU with price predictions
Oct 15, 2026

SPXU in +3.28% Uptrend, growing for three consecutive days on October 14, 2026

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where SPXU advanced for three days, in 226 of 262 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 53 of 68 cases where SPXU's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SPXU just turned positive on October 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where SPXU's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 45 of 53 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 21, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SPXU as a result. In 72 of 77 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

SPXU moved below its 50-day moving average on October 01, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SPXU declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

SPXU broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 10, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for SPXU entered a downward trend on October 15, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for SRTY with price predictions
Oct 15, 2026

SRTY's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SRTY turned positive on October 13, 2026. Looking at past instances where SRTY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 41 of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a +7.19% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SRTY advanced for three days, in 246 of 269 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 161 of 177 cases where SRTY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for SRTY moved out of overbought territory on October 15, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 25 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 25 of the 25 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 90%.

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SRTY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

SRTY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for TZA with price predictions
Oct 15, 2026

TZA's MACD Histogram just turned positive

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TZA turned positive on October 13, 2026. Looking at past instances where TZA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 42 of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a +7.20% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TZA advanced for three days, in 249 of 273 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 162 of 180 cases where TZA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for TZA moved out of overbought territory on October 15, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 26 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 26 of the 26 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 90%.

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TZA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

TZA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
SPXUSRTYTZA
RSI
ODDS (%)
N/A
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
78%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
N/A
N/A
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
85%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
87%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
86%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 10 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 11 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 11 days ago
90%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
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SPXU
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TZA
Daily Signal:
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