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AAP
Stock ticker: NYSE
AS OF
Sep 12 closing price
Price
$61.09
Change
-$1.11 (-1.78%)
Capitalization
3.66B

AAP Advance Auto Parts Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Advance Auto Parts is a leading auto-parts retailer in North America with more than 4,000 store and branch locations... Show more

AAP
Daily Signalchanged days ago
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A.I.Advisor
a Summary for AAP with price predictions
Sep 12, 2025

AAP in downward trend: price may decline as a result of having broken its higher Bollinger Band on September 11, 2025

AAP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 11, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 40 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In of the 40 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 63 cases where AAP's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AAP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 11, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on AAP as a result. In of 93 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AAP just turned positive on September 11, 2025. Looking at past instances where AAP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AAP advanced for three days, in of 301 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AAP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.663) is normal, around the industry mean (2.044). P/E Ratio (58.076) is within average values for comparable stocks, (44.061). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.637) is also within normal values, averaging (1.065). Dividend Yield (0.016) settles around the average of (0.030) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.420) is also within normal values, averaging (85.573).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AAP’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock worse than average.

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AAP
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A.I. Advisor
published Earnings

AAP is expected to report earnings to rise 13.04% to 77 cents per share on November 12

Advance Auto Parts AAP Stock Earnings Reports
Q3'25
Est.
$0.78
Q2'25
Beat
by $0.16
Q1'25
Beat
by $0.47
Q4'24
Beat
by $0.13
Q3'24
Missed
by $0.56
The last earnings report on August 14 showed earnings per share of 68 cents, beating the estimate of 52 cents. With 1.52M shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 3.66B.
A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

AAP paid dividends on July 25, 2025

Advance Auto Parts AAP Stock Dividends
А dividend of $0.25 per share was paid with a record date of July 25, 2025, and an ex-dividend date of July 11, 2025. Read more...
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

an operator of automotive parts and accessories stores

Industry AutoPartsOEM

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Specialty Stores
Address
4200 Six Forks Road
Phone
+1 540 362-4911
Employees
69000
Web
https://www.advanceautoparts.com
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AAP and Stocks

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AAP has been loosely correlated with CPRT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 46% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if AAP jumps, then CPRT could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To AAP
1D Price
Change %
AAP100%
-1.78%
CPRT - AAP
46%
Loosely correlated
-1.02%
KAR - AAP
41%
Loosely correlated
-2.50%
HVT - AAP
40%
Loosely correlated
-4.92%
HD - AAP
38%
Loosely correlated
-0.17%
HNST - AAP
37%
Loosely correlated
+1.77%
More

Groups containing AAP

Correlation & Price change

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To AAP
1D Price
Change %
AAP100%
-1.78%
Auto Parts: OEM
industry (124 stocks)
36%
Loosely correlated
-0.21%