ADTN ADTRAN Holdings Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

ADTN in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on September 03, 2026

ADTN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 36 of 46 cases where ADTN's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ADTN's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 22 of 29 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 38 of 57 cases where ADTN's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.

Following a +1.25% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ADTN advanced for three days, in 218 of 284 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ADTN as a result. In 74 of 93 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.

The 50-day moving average for ADTN moved below the 200-day moving average on August 20, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ADTN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.

The Aroon Indicator for ADTN entered a downward trend on September 22, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 15 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 85 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. ADTN’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 93 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.587) is normal, around the industry mean (6.381). ADTN's P/E Ratio (500.000) is considerably higher than the industry average of (107.989). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.460) is also within normal values, averaging (0.788). Dividend Yield (0.015) settles around the average of (0.006) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.501) is also within normal values, averaging (11.937).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ADTN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock worse than average.