ADTN ADTRAN Holdings Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 42 of 51 cases where ADTN's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.

ADTN moved below its 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ADTN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.

ADTN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ADTN's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 20 of 29 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 06, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ADTN as a result. In 69 of 93 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.

Following a +8.53% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ADTN advanced for three days, in 215 of 279 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 14 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 84 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. ADTN’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 93 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.279) is normal, around the industry mean (5.894). ADTN's P/E Ratio (500.000) is considerably higher than the industry average of (107.419). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.460) is also within normal values, averaging (0.778). Dividend Yield (0.015) settles around the average of (0.006) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.501) is also within normal values, averaging (11.937).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ADTN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock worse than average.