AER Aercap Holdings NV Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where AER's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 11 of 15 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on AER as a result. In 67 of 89 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AER just turned positive on September 21, 2026. Looking at past instances where AER's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 31 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.

Following a +2.37% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AER advanced for three days, in 229 of 334 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

AER moved below its 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AER declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 55%.

AER broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 25, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for AER entered a downward trend on September 24, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 9 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 72, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 16 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.251) is normal, around the industry mean (17.282). P/E Ratio (7.200) is within average values for comparable stocks, (58.102). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.300) is also within normal values, averaging (0.988). Dividend Yield (0.010) settles around the average of (0.010) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.639) is also within normal values, averaging (1.703).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AER’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.