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ALRM
Stock ticker: NASDAQ
AS OF
Mar 14, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Price
$58.50
Change
+$0.48 (+0.83%)
Capitalization
3.62B

ALRM Alarm.com Holdings Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

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ALRM
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
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A.I.Advisor
a Summary for ALRM with price predictions
Mar 13, 2025

ALRM in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on February 26, 2025

ALRM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 39 cases where ALRM's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ALRM's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 28 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 53 cases where ALRM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ALRM advanced for three days, in of 299 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 238 cases where ALRM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 13, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ALRM as a result. In of 84 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ALRM turned negative on February 19, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

ALRM moved below its 50-day moving average on February 14, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 50-day moving average for ALRM moved below the 200-day moving average on March 05, 2025. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ALRM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ALRM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.163) is normal, around the industry mean (31.181). P/E Ratio (46.510) is within average values for comparable stocks, (162.153). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.422) is also within normal values, averaging (2.763). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.032) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.409) is also within normal values, averaging (59.007).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ALRM’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

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ALRM
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
Show more...
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A.I. Advisor
published Earnings

ALRM is expected to report earnings to fall 12.28% to 50 cents per share on May 08

Alarm.com Holdings ALRM Stock Earnings Reports
Q1'25
Est.
$0.51
Q4'24
Beat
by $0.05
Q3'24
Beat
by $0.13
Q2'24
Beat
by $0.09
Q1'24
Beat
by $0.02
The last earnings report on February 20 showed earnings per share of 57 cents, beating the estimate of 52 cents. With 501.46K shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 3.62B.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a holding company and Provides wireless and web-enabled security system technology

Industry PackagedSoftware

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Information Technology Services
Address
8281 Greensboro Drive
Phone
+1 877 389-4033
Employees
1989
Web
https://www.alarm.com
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ALRM and Stocks

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ALRM has been loosely correlated with CLSK. These tickers have moved in lockstep 59% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ALRM jumps, then CLSK could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To ALRM
1D Price
Change %
ALRM100%
-1.36%
CLSK - ALRM
59%
Loosely correlated
-5.06%
COIN - ALRM
55%
Loosely correlated
-7.43%
RIOT - ALRM
49%
Loosely correlated
-6.88%
COMP - ALRM
46%
Loosely correlated
-0.80%
ALKT - ALRM
45%
Loosely correlated
+4.00%
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