APP Applovin Corp Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

APP sees its Stochastic Oscillator recovers from oversold territory

On April 02, 2025, the Stochastic Oscillator for APP moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In of the 38 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where APP's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 20 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for APP just turned positive on April 01, 2025. Looking at past instances where APP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 35 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where APP advanced for three days, in of 274 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 02, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on APP as a result. In of 60 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

APP moved below its 50-day moving average on February 26, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for APP crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on March 05, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 6 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where APP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for APP entered a downward trend on March 19, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. APP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to slightly better than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (18.248) is normal, around the industry mean (30.907). P/E Ratio (70.561) is within average values for comparable stocks, (159.445). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.919) is also within normal values, averaging (2.707). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.032) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (7.639) is also within normal values, averaging (59.276).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. APP’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.