CHMG Chemung Financial Corp Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

CHMG in +1.43% Uptrend, rising for three consecutive days on September 11, 2026

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where CHMG advanced for three days, in 170 of 256 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 39 of 64 cases where CHMG's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.

CHMG may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 17, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CHMG as a result. In 30 of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 37%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CHMG turned negative on September 16, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 20 of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 42%.

CHMG moved below its 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for CHMG crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 30, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 7 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CHMG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 46%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 14 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 57, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 39 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CHMG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 39 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 58 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.458) is normal, around the industry mean (1.321). P/E Ratio (11.752) is within average values for comparable stocks, (24.015). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.120) is also within normal values, averaging (1.186). Dividend Yield (0.017) settles around the average of (0.030) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.370) is also within normal values, averaging (3.747).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 89 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.