CM Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

CM in downward trend: 10-day moving average broke below 50-day moving average on August 31, 2026

The 10-day moving average for CM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 31, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 7 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for CM moved out of overbought territory on August 18, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 13 of the 38 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 34%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 17, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CM as a result. In 37 of 69 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 54%.

CM moved below its 50-day moving average on September 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 52%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 25 of 47 cases where CM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 53%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CM just turned positive on September 21, 2026. Looking at past instances where CM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 23 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 52%.

Following a +2.18% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CM advanced for three days, in 211 of 375 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 4 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 23 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 19, placing this stock worse than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 28 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 82 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: CM's P/B Ratio (2.467) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.887). P/E Ratio (15.422) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.074). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.862) is also within normal values, averaging (2.075). Dividend Yield (0.026) settles around the average of (0.026) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.527) is also within normal values, averaging (3.867).