Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, commonly known as CIBC, is one of Canada's "Big Five" banks and trades on the NYSE under the ticker CM. Because the stock has rallied sharply over the past year, its average analyst price target of roughly $118 now sits only about 4% above the current price, which is too narrow a gap to serve as a meaningful forward-looking objective. For that reason, the $125 figure used here is a fallback target grounded in identifiable public discussion rather than a computed consensus.
As context, sell-side research still provides useful framing. Recent targets include Jefferies at $108 (Hold), Barclays and Desjardins at $120 (Buy and Hold, respectively), TD Cowen and RBC Capital at $123 (both Buy), Bank of America Securities at $126 (Buy), and Keefe, Bruyette & Woods at $130 (Hold). That places $125 near the upper end of the range and just above the stock's 52-week high of about $124.86, making it a realistic round-number breakout level rather than an official analyst consensus.
CM shares recently closed near $113.15, with a market capitalization of roughly $103 billion. Reaching $125 would require a gain of about 10%, a move that can fairly be described as modest in percentage terms but notable given that it would carry the stock to a new 52-week high.
The path would likely depend on continued earnings momentum. In its fiscal third quarter, reported in late August, CIBC delivered adjusted EPS of about $2.73, well ahead of the consensus near $2.53, alongside double-digit adjusted EPS growth, a roughly 15% revenue increase, and a common equity tier 1 (CET1) capital ratio of 13.4%. Analysts at RBC Capital and Bank of America responded by raising their price targets. Sustaining that trajectory—particularly in the bank's higher-margin U.S. commercial and wealth businesses—would be central to any move toward $125.
From a technical standpoint, the most important resistance level is the 52-week high near $124.86, which sits immediately below the $125 objective. A decisive move above that level would mark a breakout to new highs. On the downside, the stock has recently consolidated in the $108–$113 area, and a failure to hold that zone would raise questions about the sustainability of the uptrend. The $125 figure itself also functions as a psychological round-number level that traders often watch closely.
Analyst price targets typically reflect a research horizon of roughly 12 months, though individual firms apply different methodologies. Investors weighing the path toward $125 should watch the next earnings report, scheduled for early December 2026, as well as CIBC's investor day on December 9, 2026, where management is expected to outline strategy, capital-allocation plans, and financial targets. Further analyst target revisions, Canadian and U.S. economic data, and central-bank rate decisions will also be important catalysts.
For traders looking to monitor changing conditions across the market, Tickeron's AI Daily Buy/Sell Signals offer a data-driven way to track opportunities. The platform uses artificial intelligence to continuously scan thousands of stocks and ETFs, generating Buy, Sell, or Hold signals based on evolving market conditions, technical behavior, and AI-driven analysis. Traders can use these signals to discover new opportunities, monitor existing positions, and spot shifting trends more efficiently. If you want to stay ahead of changing market conditions, explore the AI Daily Buy/Sell Signals today.
Whether CM can reach $125 depends less on a single catalyst than on the bank's ability to extend an already strong earnings run while defending an elevated valuation. The roughly 10% move required is modest on its face, but it would require a breakout to new 52-week highs at a time when the analyst consensus is Hold and the average target sits below $125. Supportive factors include double-digit earnings growth, improving efficiency, and healthy capital levels, while the principal obstacles are a rich valuation and the risk of a post-rally pullback. The clearest signals ahead will come from December's earnings report and investor day, which could prompt the analyst target revisions needed to confirm a path toward the $125 level. No outcome is guaranteed, and the $125 figure should be viewed as a benchmark for discussion rather than a forecast.
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CM has been closely correlated with BMO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CM jumps, then BMO could also see price increases.