COLM Columbia Sportswear Company Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

COLM in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on September 29, 2026

COLM moved below its 50-day moving average on September 29, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 43 of 58 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 44 of 63 cases where COLM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.

The 50-day moving average for COLM moved below the 200-day moving average on September 23, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where COLM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.

COLM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 28, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 22, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on COLM as a result. In 57 of 96 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for COLM just turned positive on September 11, 2026. Looking at past instances where COLM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 30 of 53 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.

Following a +3.02% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where COLM advanced for three days, in 144 of 290 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 50%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 26 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.876) is normal, around the industry mean (5.929). P/E Ratio (15.332) is within average values for comparable stocks, (22.594). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.600) is also within normal values, averaging (0.686). Dividend Yield (0.020) settles around the average of (0.017) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.889) is also within normal values, averaging (0.827).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 27 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 53 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. COLM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. COLM’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.