DRVN stock forecast, quote, news & analysis
Driven Brands Holdings Inc is an automotive services company in North America... Show more
Driven Brands (DRVN) Stock Analysis: Take 5 Growth and Deleveraging Against Restatement Headwinds
Key Takeaways
- Driven Brands is the largest automotive services company in North America, operating Take 5 Oil Change, Meineke, Maaco, CARSTAR, 1-800-Radiator & A/C, and Auto Glass Now across roughly 4,280 locations.
- DRVN shares have traded in a low-to-mid-teens range in recent weeks, up roughly 9% over the trailing 30 days but still well below their 52-week highs.
- Take 5 Oil Change remains the growth engine, posting 4.5% same-store sales growth in the first quarter of 2026, while second-quarter revenue rose 6.8% year over year to $507.4 million.
- Management has reiterated full-year 2026 guidance for revenue of $1.95 billion to $2.05 billion, adjusted EBITDA of $430 million to $460 million, and adjusted EPS of $1.15 to $1.25.
- Balance-sheet repair is a priority, with net leverage at 3.2x at the end of the first quarter and a stated target of 3.0x by year-end after the international car wash divestiture.
- Restatement-related costs and softer traffic from newer and more value-oriented customers remain the key near-term headwinds to watch.
- For deeper detail, review Driven Brands' Price Targets, Earnings, and Forecast pages for additional data and analysis.
- Explore Trending AI Robots to see curated, top-performing AI trading bots across thousands of tickers.
Current Market Snapshot
Driven Brands Holdings Inc. (DRVN) has settled into a relatively rangebound pattern, with shares trading near the low teens after a broader pullback from earlier in 2026. The stock sits well below its 52-week high, reflecting a market that is weighing the company's steady operating momentum against restructuring, restatement, and consumer-spending concerns. Wall Street's view skews constructive, with the average analyst price target above $16 and a consensus rating of Overweight, but near-term sentiment has been tempered by softer demand commentary around lower-income customers and elevated one-time restatement expenses.
Driven Brands (DRVN) Business Overview and Competitive Position
Headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina, Driven Brands is North America's largest automotive services company. Its portfolio spans maintenance, paint, collision, and glass services through franchised and company-operated locations. Take 5 Oil Change is the flagship growth business, operating a fast, stay-in-your-car oil change model, while franchise brands such as Meineke and Maaco and the CARSTAR collision network generate steady, higher-margin royalty and fee income. Auto Glass Now rounds out the platform. This diversified, largely non-discretionary service model positions the company to benefit from an aging vehicle fleet and rising vehicle complexity, and gives investors a way to track both franchise cash generation and company-operated unit expansion.
Recent Developments Driving DRVN
Several verified developments have shaped the stock in recent months. Driven Brands reported first-quarter 2026 results in June, with revenue up 8.2% year over year to $484.4 million and adjusted EPS of $0.30, while Take 5 delivered 4.5% same-store sales growth. In August, second-quarter results showed revenue of $507.4 million, up 6.8%, and adjusted EPS of $0.29 that beat the consensus estimate. Management reiterated full-year guidance but signaled that results were tracking toward the low end of ranges, citing macroeconomic pressure and restatement costs.
Meanwhile, the company has continued a multi-quarter effort to remediate prior financial statements. Driven Brands previously disclosed material errors in earlier financials, identified material weaknesses in internal controls, and faced a temporary Nasdaq listing-compliance notice tied to delayed filings before filing its Form 10-Q in June. The completed divestiture of its international car wash business, for roughly €411 million, provided proceeds used to reduce debt and improve pro forma leverage. Against this backdrop, management has flagged softer traffic among newer and lower-income customers while emphasizing resilience in its core customer base and continued Take 5 unit growth.
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2026 Outlook and What Investors Should Watch
Looking ahead, the key factors for DRVN are operational, financial, and macro. The pace of Take 5 store expansion — management has guided to net store growth of roughly 160 to 190 for the year — and sustained same-store sales growth will be central to the investment case. Progress toward the 3.0x net leverage target and the completion of financial restatement and control remediation work also matter, given that full-year guidance includes $35 million to $45 million of non-recurring restatement-related costs. On the consumer side, inflation and higher living costs have pressured more value-oriented households, so investors will be watching for signs of stabilization or further softness in traffic and average ticket trends. Collision repair remains a market viewed as stabilizing rather than rebounding in 2026. Analyst consensus points to a modestly lower year-over-year earnings profile for the third quarter, with expectations for sequential improvement into 2027. These factors — rather than any single catalyst — are likely to determine the stock's direction over the coming quarters.
Disclaimer
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DRVN in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on November 09, 2026
DRVN moved above its 50-day moving average on November 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 41 of 57 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 04, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on DRVN as a result. In 62 of 91 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for DRVN just turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where DRVN's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 34 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
Following a +7.04% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DRVN advanced for three days, in 193 of 285 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 43 of 63 cases where DRVN's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DRVN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.
DRVN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 30, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for DRVN entered a downward trend on October 30, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 56 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. DRVN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 73 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.354) is normal, around the industry mean (1.554). P/E Ratio (11.890) is within average values for comparable stocks, (12.811). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.926) is also within normal values, averaging (0.695). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.011) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.030) is also within normal values, averaging (0.919).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 79 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. DRVN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock worse than average.
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Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
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General Information
Industry AutomotiveAftermarket