Driven Brands Holdings Inc. (DRVN), the Charlotte, North Carolina-based automotive-services operator behind Take 5 Oil, Meineke, Maaco, and CARSTAR, is covered by roughly a dozen actively maintained sell-side targets. Reviewing 11 current, individually attributed targets produces a range from a low of $12 to a high of $18 and an arithmetic mean of about $15.36, which rounds to a $15 central target. This is the figure used throughout, and it sits slightly below the headline consensus figures some aggregators report, because it excludes older, higher targets that predate the stock's 2026 repricing.
Views split into three camps. Buy-rated firms such as RBC Capital ($16, maintained in October 2026), Canaccord Genuity and UBS (both $18, raised in September 2026), BTIG ($17), and Robert W. Baird ($18) argue the valuation already discounts past missteps. Neutral firms—Barclays ($14), Goldman Sachs ($15), Morgan Stanley ($14), BMO Capital ($14), and Piper Sandler ($13)—see a more balanced risk-reward. Bank of America stands alone with a $12 Sell, reflecting skepticism about the turnaround. No target is a guarantee; the wide spread underscores how differently analysts weigh the same facts.
At a latest verified price near $12.72, DRVN would need to rise roughly $2.28, or about 18%, to reach $15. That qualifies as a substantial move. The stock sits within a 52-week range of $9.80 to $17.30, below its 200-day moving average near $13.16, and carries a trailing P/E (price-to-earnings ratio) around 12.5 times and a forward P/E near 8.7 times on 2026 estimates. Reaching $15 would require re-rating alongside earnings growth—consensus sees EPS (earnings per share) rising from about $1.20 in 2026 toward $1.44 in 2027, or roughly 19%—rather than multiple expansion alone.
The strongest support is the Take 5 oil-change business, which analysts describe as a needs-based, high-margin growth engine with an expanding store footprint. Management is also making progress on the balance sheet, targeting net leverage of about 3.0x by year-end after reporting roughly 3.2x earlier in 2026. Because past capital-allocation errors, the car wash exit, and accounting restatements already weigh on the multiple, bulls argue even steady execution toward 2026 guidance could support multiple recovery and upside toward the $15 to $18 zone.
The principal obstacles are the lingering accounting-restatement overhang, the completed exit from car wash operations, and a debt load of roughly $1.9 billion in net debt. Slowing same-store sales, a competitive automotive-services landscape, and any consumer spending softness could pressure results. The downgrades and cautious stances from Piper Sandler, Morgan Stanley, and Bank of America illustrate that the path to a higher valuation is not assured, and valuation compression remains a risk if execution disappoints.
The 200-day moving average near $13.16 is the first meaningful resistance, followed by the round-number $15 level itself and the 52-week high near $17.30. On the downside, the $9.80 low marks durable support, with the $12 area acting as a nearer-term floor. The stock's wide 52-week range reflects elevated volatility and a market still weighing the turnaround story.
Analyst price targets generally reflect a roughly 12-month research horizon, though individual firms may differ. The next major catalyst is the quarterly earnings report in early November 2026, along with updated guidance, same-store sales, Take 5 unit growth, and progress toward the leverage target. Revisions from the sell-side community and any regulatory or accounting developments also matter.
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The $15 central target for DRVN reflects the average of 11 current analyst price targets and requires a substantial gain of roughly 18% from the latest price near $12.72. Support comes from Take 5 growth, a discounted valuation, and improving leverage, while the restatement overhang, car wash exit, and competitive pressures remain the principal obstacles. With targets spanning $12 to $18, the sell-side is genuinely divided, and the outcome will likely hinge on execution in upcoming earnings and guidance rather than valuation alone. No outcome is guaranteed, and the target should be treated as a reference point rather than a prediction.
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A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DRVN has been loosely correlated with CPRT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 57% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if DRVN jumps, then CPRT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To DRVN | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DRVN | 100% | -1.31% | ||
| CPRT - DRVN | 57% Loosely correlated | -0.46% | ||
| HNST - DRVN | 47% Loosely correlated | +0.58% | ||
| BBY - DRVN | 41% Loosely correlated | -2.05% | ||
| HD - DRVN | 39% Loosely correlated | -0.68% | ||
| HZO - DRVN | 38% Loosely correlated | +0.04% | ||
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| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To DRVN | 1D Price Change % |
|---|---|---|
| DRVN | 100% | -1.31% |
| Consumer Durables category (204 stocks) | 5% Poorly correlated | -1.45% |
| Automotive Aftermarket category (26 stocks) | 3% Poorly correlated | -3.17% |