EL Estee Lauder Companies (The) Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

EL sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line

EL saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on September 08, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 40 of the 48 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 83%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for EL moved out of overbought territory on August 31, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 29 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 24 of the 29 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 83%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 24, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on EL as a result. In 67 of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 83%.

EL moved below its 50-day moving average on September 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where EL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.

The Aroon Indicator for EL entered a downward trend on October 02, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a +7.34% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EL advanced for three days, in 187 of 283 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.

EL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 40 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. EL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 83 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 98 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (9.083) is normal, around the industry mean (17.474). EL's P/E Ratio (191.140) is considerably higher than the industry average of (43.673). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.121) is also within normal values, averaging (1.518). Dividend Yield (0.015) settles around the average of (0.024) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.317) is also within normal values, averaging (1.884).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. EL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock worse than average.