EL Estee Lauder Companies (The) Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Momentum Indicator for EL turns negative, indicating new downward trend

EL saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on September 08, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 81 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 65 of the 81 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 80%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for EL moved out of overbought territory on August 31, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 29 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 19 of the 29 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 66%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for EL turned negative on September 08, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 36 of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 73%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where EL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The 10-day moving average for EL crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 06, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 9 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.

Following a +1.30% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EL advanced for three days, in 186 of 284 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.

EL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 161 of 220 cases where EL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 73%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 29 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. EL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 40 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 83 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 97 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (9.234) is normal, around the industry mean (18.256). EL's P/E Ratio (194.240) is considerably higher than the industry average of (47.118). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.121) is also within normal values, averaging (2.655). EL has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.014) as compared to the industry average of (0.035). P/S Ratio (2.354) is also within normal values, averaging (1.950).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. EL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock worse than average.