Advertisement
AON vs ERIE
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Aon plc (AON) vs. Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AON has delivered approximately 10.4% gains over the past month amid broader market recovery, while ERIE has shown volatility with a recent rebound toward $223 levels.
- AON, a global professional services firm in risk, retirement, and health solutions, maintains steadier year-to-date performance near 2.5-2.8% compared to ERIE’s stronger 20.7% YTD return.
- ERIE, which provides management services to the Erie Insurance Exchange, trades near its 52-week lows around $204-$223 after significant prior declines exceeding 30% over the past year.
- Sector exposure differs markedly: AON offers diversified international brokerage and consulting, whereas ERIE remains concentrated in U.S. property and casualty insurance management.
- Upcoming catalysts include ERIE’s Q2 2026 earnings report scheduled for late July, while AON benefits from ongoing demand for risk management services in uncertain markets.
- Relative momentum favors AON for consistency in recent weeks, though ERIE offers higher beta exposure to potential insurance sector rebounds.
Introduction
Investors and traders seeking to compare insurance and risk management sector exposure often examine AON and ERIE due to their distinct business models within the broader financial services landscape. AON operates as a multinational professional services firm focused on risk, retirement, and health solutions, while ERIE functions primarily as a provider of management services to a mutual insurance exchange. This comparison appeals to those evaluating relative performance, sector positioning, and market sentiment shifts in the current environment, particularly amid fluctuating interest rates and insurance demand dynamics. The analysis highlights observable trends and contrasts to inform portfolio allocation decisions.
AON Overview and Recent Performance
AON (Aon plc) provides risk management, insurance brokerage, and human capital consulting services globally. In recent market activity, the stock has posted gains of roughly 10.4% over the past month, closing near $361.70 as of July 24, 2026. Year-to-date returns stand at approximately 2.5-2.8%, trailing the broader S&P 500 index. Performance in recent weeks reflects steady demand for its advisory services amid ongoing economic uncertainties, with sentiment supported by its diversified revenue streams and international presence. The company’s market capitalization exceeds $77 billion, and trading volumes remain consistent, indicating sustained institutional interest without sharp directional shifts.
ERIE Overview and Recent Performance
ERIE (Erie Indemnity Company) manages operations for the Erie Insurance Exchange, focusing on property and casualty insurance products primarily in the United States. The stock closed at $223.55 on July 24, 2026, following a 4.21% single-day gain amid a rebound from near 52-week lows around $204-$214. Year-to-date performance shows approximately 20.7% gains, though the one-year return remains negative amid prior declines exceeding 30%. Recent market activity has been influenced by positioning ahead of the company’s Q2 2026 earnings release scheduled for July 30, with volatility reflecting its higher sensitivity to insurance sector dynamics and premium growth trends.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron’s Trending AI Robots page showcases a curated selection of AI-powered trading bots designed for various market conditions. Tickeron offers hundreds of AI Trading Bots that trade thousands of different tickers, but only the best and most suitable for current market conditions earn placement in the Trending AI Robots section. The platform currently highlights its best 25 AI Trending Bots selected out of 351 total available bots. These bots feature diverse trading styles, strategies, timeframes, performance metrics, and ticker sets, spanning technical and fundamental analysis approaches as well as different volatility tolerances. Users can explore options across asset classes including stocks. All the AI trading bots have different trading styles, strategies, timeframes, performances, statistics, and sets of tickers they trade. For more details, visit Trending AI Robots.
Head-to-Head Comparison
AON and ERIE present contrasting profiles in business model and risk exposure. AON’s global brokerage and consulting operations provide broader diversification across geographies and service lines, supporting more consistent revenue compared to ERIE’s concentrated focus on managing a single mutual insurance exchange. Growth drivers differ as well: AON benefits from recurring demand for risk advisory amid regulatory and economic complexity, while ERIE ties more directly to insurance premium cycles and claims experience. Recent momentum shows AON with steadier short-term gains, whereas ERIE exhibits higher volatility and sensitivity to earnings catalysts. Risk factors include AON’s exposure to international markets and ERIE’s dependence on U.S. property-casualty trends. Market sentiment currently reflects cautious optimism for both, tempered by sector-wide interest rate influences.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency in recent weeks and relative positioning within the insurance services sector, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to AON for its demonstrated stability and diversified drivers. ERIE may appeal in scenarios emphasizing potential rebound catalysts around earnings, though its recent volatility introduces greater uncertainty. This assessment draws from measurable performance patterns rather than forward projections.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AON is a Hold and ERIE is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AON’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileERIE’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- AON’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- ERIE’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AON’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ERIE’s TA Score has 8 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AON’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- ERIE’s TA Score: 8 bullish, 2 bearish.
Price Growth
AON (@Insurance Brokers/Services) experienced а -0.69% price change this week, while ERIE (@Insurance Brokers/Services) price change was +1.35% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Insurance Brokers/Services industry was +16.19%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +27.48%, and the average quarterly price growth was +37.98%.
Reported Earning Dates
AON is expected to report earnings on Oct 23, 2026.
ERIE is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Insurance Brokers/Services (+16.19% weekly)Insurance brokers sell, solicit, or negotiate insurance for compensation. General insurance brokers mostly cater to insurances on car, house etc. (versus life). Brokers are also often instrumental in helping small employers find health insurance, particularly in more competitive markets. Additionally, brokers may also provide risk assessments, insurance consulting services, insurance-related regulatory and legislative update services. Some of the major names in this industry include Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc., Aon plc and Verisk Analytics Inc.
| AON | ERIE | AON / ERIE | |
| Capitalization | 75.5B | 13.4B | 563% |
| EBITDA | 6.73B | N/A | - |
| Gain YTD | 1.549 | -9.195 | -17% |
| P/E Ratio | 19.62 | 23.23 | 84% |
| Revenue | 17.6B | 4.19B | 421% |
| Total Cash | 452M | 375M | 121% |
| Total Debt | 15.9B | 0 | - |
AON | ERIE | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 54 | 38 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 92 Overvalued | 95 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 37 | 82 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 23 | 39 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 51 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 86 | 77 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AON's Valuation (92) in the Insurance Brokers Or Services industry is in the same range as ERIE (95) in the Property Or Casualty Insurance industry. This means that AON’s stock grew similarly to ERIE’s over the last 12 months.
AON's Profit vs Risk Rating (37) in the Insurance Brokers Or Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ERIE (82) in the Property Or Casualty Insurance industry. This means that AON’s stock grew somewhat faster than ERIE’s over the last 12 months.
AON's SMR Rating (23) in the Insurance Brokers Or Services industry is in the same range as ERIE (39) in the Property Or Casualty Insurance industry. This means that AON’s stock grew similarly to ERIE’s over the last 12 months.
AON's Price Growth Rating (50) in the Insurance Brokers Or Services industry is in the same range as ERIE (51) in the Property Or Casualty Insurance industry. This means that AON’s stock grew similarly to ERIE’s over the last 12 months.
ERIE's P/E Growth Rating (77) in the Property Or Casualty Insurance industry is in the same range as AON (86) in the Insurance Brokers Or Services industry. This means that ERIE’s stock grew similarly to AON’s over the last 12 months.
| AON | ERIE | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 60% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 66% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 45% | 2 days ago 66% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 47% | 2 days ago 57% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 62% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 63% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 49% | 4 days ago 63% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 51% | 25 days ago 57% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 57% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 39% | 2 days ago 67% |
Advertisement
AON and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AON has been closely correlated with MRSH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AON jumps, then MRSH could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AON | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AON | 100% | -0.35% | ||
| MRSH - AON | 81% Closely correlated | -0.46% | ||
| AJG - AON | 76% Closely correlated | -0.90% | ||
| BRO - AON | 74% Closely correlated | -1.49% | ||
| WTW - AON | 71% Closely correlated | -0.72% | ||
| ERIE - AON | 51% Loosely correlated | +0.06% | ||
More | ||||
ERIE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ERIE has been loosely correlated with BRO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ERIE jumps, then BRO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ERIE | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ERIE | 100% | +0.06% | ||
| BRO - ERIE | 61% Loosely correlated | -1.49% | ||
| AON - ERIE | 52% Loosely correlated | -0.35% | ||
| MRSH - ERIE | 52% Loosely correlated | -0.46% | ||
| AJG - ERIE | 51% Loosely correlated | -0.90% | ||
| WTW - ERIE | 47% Loosely correlated | -0.72% | ||
More | ||||