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FOSL
Stock ticker: NASDAQ
AS OF
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Capitalization
109.13M

FOSL Fossil Group Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

a maker of watches and other accessories

Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
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A.I.Advisor
a Summary for FOSL with price predictions
08:00 PM EDT Sep 20, 2023

Momentum Indicator for FOSL turns positive, indicating new upward trend

FOSL saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on September 19, 2023. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 100 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 100 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where FOSL's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 33 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FOSL just turned positive on August 30, 2023. Looking at past instances where FOSL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FOSL advanced for three days, in of 285 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 140 cases where FOSL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 55 cases where FOSL's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FOSL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

FOSL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 01, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. FOSL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.321) is normal, around the industry mean (5.393). P/E Ratio (22.779) is within average values for comparable stocks, (46.901). FOSL's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.995). FOSL has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.025). P/S Ratio (0.068) is also within normal values, averaging (3.871).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FOSL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 68, placing this stock worse than average.

A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Capri Holdings Limited (NYSE:CPRI), Signet Jewelers Limited (NYSE:SIG), RealReal (The) (NASDAQ:REAL).

Industry description

‘Other Consumer Specialties’ represents an industry that typically sells durable consumer products, but do not have a classification in another category. The products include jewelry, smoke detectors, watches, collectibles and safety products. MSA Safety (makes products which enhances the safety and health of workers and protect facility infrastructures), Matthews International (memorialization business), Fitbit (makes wireless-enabled wearable technology devices that gauge data such as the number of steps walked, heart rate, quality of sleep), and Fossil Group (makes watches and accessories) have some of the largest market caps in this group.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Other Consumer Specialties Industry is 44.82B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.62K to 466.87B. LVMUY holds the highest valuation in this group at 466.87B. The lowest valued company is FJHL at 1.62K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Other Consumer Specialties Industry was -3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -3%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8%. CJEWY experienced the highest price growth at 3%, while JEWL experienced the biggest fall at -21%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Other Consumer Specialties Industry was -17%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -17% and the average quarterly volume growth was -1%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 56
P/E Growth Rating: 62
Price Growth Rating: 61
SMR Rating: 67
Profit Risk Rating: 68
Seasonality Score: -31 (-100 ... +100)
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Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
Show details...
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a maker of watches and other accessories

Industry OtherConsumerSpecialties

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Other Consumer Specialties
Address
901 S. Central Expressway
Phone
+1 972 234-2525
Employees
6900
Web
https://www.fossilgroup.com
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FOSL and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FOSL has been loosely correlated with MOV. These tickers have moved in lockstep 50% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if FOSL jumps, then MOV could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To FOSL
1D Price
Change %
FOSL100%
-3.85%
MOV - FOSL
50%
Loosely correlated
-2.36%
TPR - FOSL
43%
Loosely correlated
-1.77%
SIG - FOSL
43%
Loosely correlated
-0.34%
REAL - FOSL
36%
Loosely correlated
-1.38%
MYTE - FOSL
36%
Loosely correlated
+9.66%
More

Groups containing FOSL

Correlation & Price change

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To FOSL
1D Price
Change %
FOSL100%
-3.85%
watches
(undefined stocks)
60%
Loosely correlated
-3.10%
accessories
(undefined stocks)
59%
Loosely correlated
-0.69%
consumer specialties
(undefined stocks)
43%
Loosely correlated
-1.54%
Consumer Durables
(undefined stocks)
42%
Loosely correlated
-0.25%
Other Consumer Specialties
(undefined stocks)
33%
Poorly correlated
+0.17%