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FOSL vs TPR
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FOSL is a Hold and TPR is a StrongBuy.
FOSL sees its Stochastic Oscillator ascends from oversold territory
On October 29, 2026, the Stochastic Oscillator for FOSL moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 76 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In 64 of the 76 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over 84%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
FOSL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 95 of 136 cases where FOSL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 70%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for FOSL moved out of overbought territory on October 14, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 23 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 22 of the 23 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 90%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 19, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on FOSL as a result. In 80 of 93 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for FOSL turned negative on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 40 of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 83%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FOSL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 89%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FOSL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 35 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 83 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.369) is normal, around the industry mean (2.846). FOSL has a moderately low P/E Ratio (-5.228) as compared to the industry average of (12.010). FOSL's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.900) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (0.949). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.051) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.306) is also within normal values, averaging (1.162).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FOSL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock worse than average.
TPR's RSI Indicator recovers from oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for TPR moved out of oversold territory on September 24, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 19 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 16 of the 19 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 84%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 43 of 56 cases where TPR's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TPR just turned positive on October 29, 2026. Looking at past instances where TPR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 24 of 39 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
Following a +0.92% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TPR advanced for three days, in 232 of 318 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
TPR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 220 of 297 cases where TPR Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 74%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TPR as a result. In 55 of 84 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TPR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 11 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 28 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. TPR’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 80 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: TPR's P/B Ratio (33.503) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (6.314). P/E Ratio (15.526) is within average values for comparable stocks, (13.183). TPR's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.624) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.396). Dividend Yield (0.016) settles around the average of (0.102) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.097) is also within normal values, averaging (2.867).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 96 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
FOSL | TPR | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 76 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 83 Overvalued | 80 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 28 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 98 | 11 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 35 | 61 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 94 | 96 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 35 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TPR's Valuation (80) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as FOSL (83) in the Other Consumer Specialties industry. This means that TPR’s stock grew similarly to FOSL’s over the last 12 months.
TPR's Profit vs Risk Rating (28) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is significantly better than the same rating for FOSL (100) in the Other Consumer Specialties industry. This means that TPR’s stock grew significantly faster than FOSL’s over the last 12 months.
TPR's SMR Rating (11) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is significantly better than the same rating for FOSL (98) in the Other Consumer Specialties industry. This means that TPR’s stock grew significantly faster than FOSL’s over the last 12 months.
FOSL's Price Growth Rating (35) in the Other Consumer Specialties industry is in the same range as TPR (61) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry. This means that FOSL’s stock grew similarly to TPR’s over the last 12 months.
FOSL's P/E Growth Rating (94) in the Other Consumer Specialties industry is in the same range as TPR (96) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry. This means that FOSL’s stock grew similarly to TPR’s over the last 12 months.
| FOSL | TPR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 6 days ago 84% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 84% | 2 days ago 77% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 65% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 62% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 74% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 74% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | N/A | 5 days ago 73% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 89% | 9 days ago 67% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 74% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FOSL’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while TPR’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- FOSL’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- TPR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FOSL’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TPR’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FOSL’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TPR’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 2 bearish.
Price Growth
FOSL (@Wholesale Distributors) experienced а +0.61% price change this week, while TPR (@Catalog/Specialty Distribution) price change was +5.36% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Wholesale Distributors industry was +4.02%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +6.76%, and the average quarterly price growth was +12.23%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Catalog/Specialty Distribution industry was +3.43%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +6.34%, and the average quarterly price growth was -5.79%.
Reported Earning Dates
FOSL is expected to report earnings on Nov 10, 2026.
TPR is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Wholesale Distributors (+4.02% weekly)Companies in this industry handle the wholesale shipments for the manufacturer of a product. They have warehouses and distribution centers, and they ship products directly to the retailer. Digitization, increasing competition, emerging customer demand, and product innovation are some of shifts that the industry has been facing in recent times – something that is potentially creating needs/opportunities for business model revisions or transformations. Data, analytics, and technology are becoming increasingly important for whole distributors in anticipating and analyzing consumer needs, and therefore planning their business strategies accordingly. Fastenal Company, W.W. Grainger, Inc., Genuine Parts Company and Pool Corporation are some of the largest names in the business.
@Catalog/Specialty Distribution (+3.43% weekly)The catalog and specialty distribution industry includes companies that offer retail through mail-order houses, media, online social platforms, mobile apps and other channels outside of brick-and-mortar stores. Several companies in this business partner with retail companies to assist them with marketing, digital solutions, warehousing, and/or other distribution capabilities. In essence, the industry acts as a potential catalyst for retailers/brands to widen their reach among customers. Pinduoduo Inc., Qurate Retail, Inc. and Baozun are some of the major players in this business.
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FOSL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FOSL has been loosely correlated with MOV. These tickers have moved in lockstep 38% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if FOSL jumps, then MOV could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FOSL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FOSL | 100% | -3.07% | ||
| MOV - FOSL | 38% Loosely correlated | -1.42% | ||
| SHOO - FOSL | 34% Loosely correlated | -3.18% | ||
| SIG - FOSL | 31% Poorly correlated | -1.12% | ||
| FWDI - FOSL | 23% Poorly correlated | -8.50% | ||
| ONON - FOSL | 22% Poorly correlated | +2.99% | ||
More | ||||
TPR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TPR has been loosely correlated with CPRI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 39% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TPR jumps, then CPRI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TPR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TPR | 100% | -1.32% | ||
| CPRI - TPR | 39% Loosely correlated | +16.31% | ||
| MOV - TPR | 38% Loosely correlated | -1.42% | ||
| SIG - TPR | 28% Poorly correlated | -1.12% | ||
| FOSL - TPR | 21% Poorly correlated | -3.07% | ||
| SORA - TPR | 14% Poorly correlated | +3.16% | ||
More | ||||
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
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| INJ.X | 7.217288 | 0.030140 | +0.42% |
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