HOMB Home BancShares Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

HOMB sees its 50-day moving average cross bearishly below its 200-day moving average

The 50-day moving average for HOMB moved below the 200-day moving average on August 08, 2025. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

HOMB moved below its 50-day moving average on August 15, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for HOMB crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 04, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HOMB declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on August 13, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on HOMB as a result. In of 101 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for HOMB just turned positive on August 13, 2025. Looking at past instances where HOMB's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HOMB advanced for three days, in of 288 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 249 cases where HOMB Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 53, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.361) is normal, around the industry mean (1.101). P/E Ratio (12.886) is within average values for comparable stocks, (19.563). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (3.569). Dividend Yield (0.028) settles around the average of (0.037) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.432) is also within normal values, averaging (5.074).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. HOMB’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.