JCI Johnson Controls International plc Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

JCI's RSI Oscillator remains in oversold zone for 2 days

It is expected that a price bounce should occur soon.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for JCI just turned positive on August 29, 2023. Looking at past instances where JCI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where JCI advanced for three days, in of 342 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

JCI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 05, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on JCI as a result. In of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The 50-day moving average for JCI moved below the 200-day moving average on September 15, 2023. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where JCI declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for JCI entered a downward trend on September 18, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.298) is normal, around the industry mean (37.545). P/E Ratio (18.519) is within average values for comparable stocks, (23.908). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.726) is also within normal values, averaging (5.164). Dividend Yield (0.026) settles around the average of (0.026) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.429) is also within normal values, averaging (1.594).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 72, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. JCI’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.