Lockheed Martin is the world's largest defense contractor and has dominated the Western market for high-end fighter aircraft since it won the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter program in 2001... Show more
Lockheed Martin closed the most recent full trading session near $552, a level that leaves the shares modestly higher over the trailing 30 days after a sharp early-October pullback toward the $498-to-$505 range was followed by a broad recovery. The rebound outpaced the wider market on several sessions, aided by resilient demand signals across the defense complex.
From a valuation standpoint, LMT trades at a forward price-to-earnings multiple in the mid-teens to roughly 17x, a discount to the broader aerospace and defense industry average of around 21x. That relatively modest multiple sits alongside a record backlog, a factor many analysts cite as a key pillar of the investment case, even as execution and cost risks on fixed-price programs temper enthusiasm.
Lockheed Martin, headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland, is the world's largest defense contractor by revenue. The company researches, designs, manufactures, and sustains advanced technology systems for the U.S. government and allied nations, organized across four primary segments: Aeronautics (including the F-35 Lightning II), Missiles and Fire Control, Rotary and Mission Systems (which includes Sikorsky helicopters and advanced radar), and Space.
Lockheed's competitive strength lies in its exposure to high-priority national security domains, including integrated air and missile defense, precision munitions, fighter aircraft, and space-based interceptors. Demand for systems such as the PAC-3, THAAD, PrSM, and JATM has driven exceptional order growth, lifting the company's total backlog to a record of roughly $230 billion. Investors follow the stock closely as a barometer of global defense spending and, increasingly, of the company's ability to convert that backlog into profitable, cash-generating revenue. Peers such as RTX and Northrop Grumman compete across overlapping defense and aerospace categories.
The most significant catalyst of the trailing period was the company's second-quarter earnings release in late July 2026. Lockheed reported adjusted EPS of $7.94, comfortably above consensus estimates near $7.22, on revenue of about $20.1 billion, up roughly 11% year over year. Management raised full-year 2026 guidance to sales of $79.75 billion to $81.75 billion, EPS of $29.95 to $30.65, and free cash flow above $7 billion.
That beat was powered by a 19% jump in Missiles and Fire Control revenue, supported by higher PAC-3, THAAD, and PrSM volumes, including a seven-year, up to $35 billion undefinitized contract action to expand THAAD production. In October 2026, the board also declared a fourth-quarter dividend of $3.60 per share, an increase of $0.15 from the prior quarter.
Analyst commentary has been mixed but generally constructive. TD Cowen lowered its price target to $570 from $600 while maintaining a Hold rating, and Bernstein reiterated a Hold with a $564 target, while Vertical Research upgraded the stock to Buy. Corporate insider activity has leaned toward selling over the past quarter, a signal some investors interpret cautiously even amid the record backlog.
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Looking ahead, the primary near-term event is the third-quarter 2026 earnings report, with analysts forecasting EPS around $7.50 on revenue of roughly $20.4 billion. Beyond the print, investors will watch whether management sustains the raised full-year trajectory, particularly as Missiles and Fire Control volumes scale and F-35 production and sustainment activity remain a core revenue driver.
Structural tailwinds include replenishment demand for munitions and missile-defense systems, expanding international F-35 interest, and long-duration multi-year framework agreements that improve production visibility. Offsetting these are execution risks tied to fixed-price and legacy programs, supply-chain constraints, and reduced equity earnings from United Launch Alliance following the Vulcan launch anomaly investigation.
For 2026, consensus estimates point toward EPS near $30.44 on revenue of roughly $80.8 billion. The central question for investors is whether Lockheed can convert its record backlog into sustained margin expansion and free-cash-flow growth without setbacks on complex, fixed-price contracts.
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LMT moved above its 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 22 of 38 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on LMT as a result. In 43 of 77 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for LMT just turned positive on October 09, 2026. Looking at past instances where LMT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 21 of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 49%.
The 10-day moving average for LMT crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 9 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.
Following a +7.68% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LMT advanced for three days, in 194 of 337 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 8 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LMT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.
LMT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for LMT entered a downward trend on October 15, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 8 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. LMT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 15 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 26 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: LMT's P/B Ratio (16.398) is slightly higher than the industry average of (4.932). P/E Ratio (22.879) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.814). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.978) is also within normal values, averaging (2.564). Dividend Yield (0.022) settles around the average of (0.060) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.616) is also within normal values, averaging (18.330).
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a manufacturer of components and systems for aerospace and defense use
Industry AerospaceDefense