Mobileye Global Inc engages in the development and deployment of ADAS and autonomous driving technologies and solutions... Show more
Mobileye Global is a leading developer of advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving technology, best known for its EyeQ system-on-chip (SoC), a processor that combines hardware and software to power safety and automation features. The company's technology has been installed in more than 230 million vehicles across roughly 1,400 models, giving it one of the deepest installed bases and richest driving-data moats in the industry.
Strategically, Mobileye is transitioning from high-volume, lower-priced base ADAS toward higher-content offerings—Surround ADAS, SuperVision (hands-off, eyes-on driving), Chauffeur (eyes-off), and Drive (full autonomy). This "content per vehicle" strategy is central to its medium-term positioning: if these programs scale, the company stands to capture materially higher revenue per unit than its legacy EyeQ business generates today. However, the same transition exposes Mobileye to competition from Nvidia, Qualcomm, and automakers' in-house efforts, particularly as the industry debates centralized versus distributed computing architectures. Customer concentration, notably with the Volkswagen Group for premium programs, remains a structural consideration.
Several discrete events could shape investor sentiment in the coming quarters. The most immediate is the third-quarter 2026 earnings release scheduled for late October, where management is expected to update revenue guidance, EyeQ unit shipments, and design-win progress. Investors will be watching whether raised full-year expectations translate into visible orders and whether China-related volume and tariff concerns are addressed.
Longer term, the most consequential catalysts are product launches. The SuperVision program with Porsche and the DRIVE robotaxi rollout with MOIA (Volkswagen's autonomous mobility division) represent proof points for Mobileye's end-to-end autonomy stack. Early driverless deployment in the U.S., including an Orlando collaboration with Beep and testing with Uber in Los Angeles, could validate a scalable robotaxi model and expand the addressable market.
On the analyst front, sentiment is genuinely mixed. Citi initiated coverage with a Buy and an $11 price target in October 2026, citing rising adoption of safety systems and richer content launching with automakers around 2028. Needham reiterated a Buy with a $13 target on strong EyeQ and SuperVision sales, while Piper Sandler and Evercore ISI maintain positive ratings. Conversely, RBC Capital downgraded the stock with a $5 target on base ADAS displacement risk, and UBS, Morgan Stanley, and Barclays trimmed targets into a lower $7.50–$10 range. The average price target sits near $11, with a high of $27 and a low of $5, underscoring the unusually wide dispersion in expectations.
Mobileye's trajectory is tightly linked to global auto production and the pace of ADAS adoption, both of which are macro-sensitive. Higher interest rates and elevated vehicle financing costs can dampen new-car demand, pressuring original equipment manufacturer (OEM) volumes and, by extension, chip shipments. Inflation and trade policy also matter directly: U.S. tariffs on imported vehicles and components, and any escalation of trade frictions, could reshape production schedules and squeeze demand in export-heavy channels such as China.
At the same time, a structural tailwind supports the business: regulators in Europe and elsewhere are increasingly mandating driver-assistance safety features, and automakers are competing on automation as a differentiator. This regulatory and competitive push broadens ADAS fitment rates over time, even if near-term volumes remain cyclical. For Mobileye, the net effect is a business with secular demand drivers offset by meaningful cyclical and geopolitical sensitivity.
Tickeron's Trend Prediction Engine is an AI-powered forecasting tool designed to help traders assess whether a stock, ETF, or other asset may move bullish, bearish, or sideways over the coming week or month. It is built to help users identify developing trends, evaluate potential breakouts or reversals, and explore predictions across a broad universe of tradable instruments. The platform organizes forecasts into searchable categories, incorporates historical context, and includes alert-oriented functionality to support timely decision-making. For investors monitoring forward-looking drivers such as those shaping Mobileye's outlook, the Trend Prediction Engine offers a structured, data-driven way to track how momentum and sentiment may be evolving.
Looking into 2026 and beyond, Mobileye's story hinges on execution across three horizons. In the near term, sustained EyeQ volumes and a recovery in global production support revenue stability, with management guiding to roughly $1.94–$2.02 billion in full-year 2026 revenue. In the medium term, the commercialization of SuperVision, Chauffeur, and Drive could unlock a step-change in content per vehicle and broaden the revenue base beyond traditional ADAS.
Long-term themes include the shift toward eyes-off autonomy, the expansion of robotaxi networks, and the company's early move into humanoid robotics through Mentee Robotics. Cost-structure evolution, including Israel's research and development (R&D) incentive framework and a $250 million share repurchase program, reflects management's focus on cash generation and margin sustainability. Consensus expectations embed a recovery toward profitability over a multiyear horizon, but the range of analyst price targets—from $5 to $27—signals that investors are still pricing in significant uncertainty around competitive threats, customer concentration, and the timing of advanced-product adoption.
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A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MBLY has been loosely correlated with AUR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 44% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MBLY jumps, then AUR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MBLY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MBLY | 100% | -3.92% | ||
| AUR - MBLY | 44% Loosely correlated | -2.15% | ||
| QS - MBLY | 43% Loosely correlated | -2.63% | ||
| HSAI - MBLY | 39% Loosely correlated | +0.63% | ||
| BWA - MBLY | 39% Loosely correlated | -1.92% | ||
| DCH - MBLY | 35% Loosely correlated | -3.26% | ||
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| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MBLY | 1D Price Change % |
|---|---|---|
| MBLY | 100% | -3.92% |
| Producer Manufacturing category (346 stocks) | 4% Poorly correlated | +0.99% |
Industry AutoPartsOEM
MBLY saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 29, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 34 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 30 of the 34 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 88%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 16, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MBLY as a result. In 59 of 69 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MBLY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.
The Aroon Indicator for MBLY entered a downward trend on November 09, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where MBLY's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 23 of 30 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 37 of 47 cases where MBLY's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
Following a +14.23% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MBLY advanced for three days, in 163 of 216 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
MBLY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 13 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 26 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.593) is normal, around the industry mean (0.781). P/E Ratio (-1.153) is within average values for comparable stocks, (39.881). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.236) is also within normal values, averaging (1.494). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.043) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.164) is also within normal values, averaging (49.456).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 83 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. MBLY’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MBLY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock worse than average.