MELI MercadoLibre Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

MELI sees its 50-day moving average cross bullishly above its 200-day moving average

The 50-day moving average for MELI moved above the 200-day moving average on September 08, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a +3.64% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MELI advanced for three days, in 239 of 343 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.

MELI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 145 of 207 cases where MELI Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 70%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for MELI moved out of overbought territory on August 06, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 27 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 21 of the 27 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 78%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 08, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MELI as a result. In 62 of 80 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MELI turned negative on September 08, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 34 of the 52 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 65%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MELI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MELI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 54 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (12.285) is normal, around the industry mean (34.660). P/E Ratio (51.615) is within average values for comparable stocks, (39.739). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.920) is also within normal values, averaging (1.080). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.086) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.734) is also within normal values, averaging (1.343).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 96 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MELI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.