MGY Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

MGY's RSI Oscillator is sitting in oversold zone for 1 day

It is expected that a price bounce should occur soon.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The 10-day moving average for MGY crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 14 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.

Following a +3.69% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MGY advanced for three days, in 221 of 324 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.

MGY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 176 of 245 cases where MGY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 72%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 16, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MGY as a result. In 64 of 93 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MGY turned negative on September 16, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 54 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 33 of the 54 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 61%.

MGY moved below its 50-day moving average on September 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 50-day moving average for MGY moved below the 200-day moving average on August 19, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MGY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 31 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.011) is normal, around the industry mean (5.004). P/E Ratio (10.489) is within average values for comparable stocks, (26.349). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.130) is also within normal values, averaging (1.947). Dividend Yield (0.027) settles around the average of (0.035) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.241) is also within normal values, averaging (5.980).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 70, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 63 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. MGY’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.