MTDR Matador Resources Company Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where MTDR's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 20 of 27 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 06, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MTDR as a result. In 60 of 80 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MTDR just turned positive on October 09, 2026. Looking at past instances where MTDR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 28 of 40 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.

Following a +0.65% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MTDR advanced for three days, in 253 of 348 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 184 of 261 cases where MTDR Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 70%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The 10-day moving average for MTDR crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 29, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 14 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MTDR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.

MTDR broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 16, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 8 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MTDR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.205) is normal, around the industry mean (4.097). P/E Ratio (9.906) is within average values for comparable stocks, (3.780). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.604) is also within normal values, averaging (1.958). Dividend Yield (0.026) settles around the average of (0.045) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.868) is also within normal values, averaging (5.980).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 53 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 70, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.