SMG Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (The) Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

SMG in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on September 18, 2026

SMG may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 38 of 42 cases where SMG's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 12 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 17 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +2.74% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SMG advanced for three days, in 202 of 291 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SMG as a result. In 62 of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SMG turned negative on September 08, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 56 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 40 of the 56 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 71%.

The 50-day moving average for SMG moved below the 200-day moving average on September 24, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SMG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.

The Aroon Indicator for SMG entered a downward trend on September 25, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 34 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: SMG's P/B Ratio (21.946) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (2.515). P/E Ratio (19.649) is within average values for comparable stocks, (43.237). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.719) is also within normal values, averaging (0.872). Dividend Yield (0.052) settles around the average of (0.033) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.929) is also within normal values, averaging (1.476).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 78 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. SMG’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SMG’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock worse than average.