TCBI Texas Capital Bancshares Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 45 of 63 cases where TCBI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 21, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TCBI as a result. In 56 of 94 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TCBI just turned positive on October 20, 2026. Looking at past instances where TCBI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 29 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.

Following a +3.50% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TCBI advanced for three days, in 213 of 330 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.

TCBI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 50-day moving average for TCBI moved below the 200-day moving average on September 28, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TCBI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.

The Aroon Indicator for TCBI entered a downward trend on October 21, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 11 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 38 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 57, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 39 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.214) is normal, around the industry mean (1.246). P/E Ratio (12.048) is within average values for comparable stocks, (13.217). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.090) is also within normal values, averaging (1.190). Dividend Yield (0.009) settles around the average of (0.035) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.238) is also within normal values, averaging (3.738).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. TCBI’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 93 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.