TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

TSM in upward trend: 10-day moving average broke above 50-day moving average on September 08, 2026

The 10-day moving average for TSM crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 08, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 13 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 16, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TSM as a result. In 55 of 84 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TSM just turned positive on September 18, 2026. Looking at past instances where TSM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 33 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.

TSM moved above its 50-day moving average on September 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +3.99% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TSM advanced for three days, in 232 of 313 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 222 of 285 cases where TSM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 78%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TSM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.

TSM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 7 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 26 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 29 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 39 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TSM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 62 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (11.442) is normal, around the industry mean (8.017). P/E Ratio (33.189) is within average values for comparable stocks, (160.839). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.846) is also within normal values, averaging (3.725). Dividend Yield (0.009) settles around the average of (0.006) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (15.480) is also within normal values, averaging (44.558).