GET DAILY SIGNALSTake-Two Interactive Software (TTWO): Is a Move Toward $290 Realistic?
Key Takeaways
- The central target of $290 is the arithmetic mean of approximately 16 verified, current analyst price targets reviewed for this analysis, rounded to a clean level; the underlying average was near $293.
- With TTWO recently trading near $211, reaching $290 would require a roughly 37% gain — a substantial move.
- Verified individual targets ranged from about $262 to $330, a wide spread that reflects genuine disagreement about GTA VI's impact and the broader portfolio.
- The strongest support comes from the Nov. 19 GTA VI launch, a multi-year earnings growth runway, and an overwhelmingly bullish analyst posture.
- The biggest risks are valuation, dependence on a single flagship release, and softer trends in mobile and NBA 2K bookings.
- Readers can track the ticker's Major News and Today's Price Move, review its Forecast, and dig into Earnings on dedicated pages.
- Explore Trending AI Robots to see AI-driven trading strategies monitoring stocks and ETFs like TTWO.
Analyst Price Targets and Consensus View
This analysis reviewed roughly 16 recent, individually attributable analyst targets, each with a named firm and date. Recent actions have clustered tightly: Macquarie initiated coverage at $300 (Nov. 6), Roth MKM trimmed its target to $272 from $300 (Nov. 6), BTIG cut to $262 from $313 (Nov. 4), Piper Sandler set $290 and BMO Capital set $285 (both Nov. 3), and Bank of America lowered its target to $330 from $368 while keeping a Buy. Other current targets include Raymond James at $300, J.P. Morgan at $310, Wedbush at $300, Oppenheimer at $280, UBS at $300, and Morgan Stanley at $280.
The mean of these targets is near $293, which rounds to a central target of $290, with an approximate range of $262 to $330. The consensus posture is strongly bullish, but the roughly $68 spread between the low and high reflects different assumptions about GTA VI unit sales, live-service monetization, and the durability of the non-GTA portfolio. A separate S&P Global aggregation of 29 analysts reports a slightly lower average near $284, underscoring that the precise "consensus" figure varies by source and date. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how the stock compares to others in the industry.
Current Market Position and Path Toward the Target
After closing at $214.87 in early November, TTWO pulled back to trade near $211 around its fiscal second-quarter report, leaving the stock well below its 52-week high of $265.94 and above its 52-week low of $183.86. Reaching $290 implies about a 37% upside, a substantial move that would require the shares to exceed their prior 52-week high.
The likely path depends on execution around the GTA VI launch. Management has guided fiscal 2027 net bookings (the industry's key revenue measure) to $8.0–$8.2 billion and described GTA VI pre-order demand as "unprecedented." If launch results and initial monetization exceed expectations, analysts could raise targets further; if the broader portfolio underwhelms, valuation may compress despite a strong flagship release.
What Could Support a Move Toward the Target
The central catalyst is Grand Theft Auto VI, widely considered one of the most anticipated entertainment launches in years, following a predecessor that has sold over 200 million units since 2013. Macquarie framed the launch as the start of a multi-year period of accelerating earnings growth and free cash flow. The company's forward P/E (price-to-earnings) ratio of roughly 26 reflects expectations for a sharp profit inflection, with consensus EPS (earnings per share) projected to nearly double in the next fiscal year. Take-Two's status as the last major independent AAA publisher also gives it scarcity value amid industry consolidation.
What Could Prevent the Target From Being Reached
The principal risks are concentration and valuation. A single franchise launch carries execution risk, and several analysts trimmed targets in early November — BTIG cited softer mobile data and reduced NBA 2K forecasts, while Roth MKM trimmed its outlook — signaling that non-GTA segments are underperforming. The stock already trades at a premium forward multiple, leaving limited room for disappointment. A broader pullback in consumer discretionary spending or interest-rate-sensitive growth valuations could also weigh on the shares regardless of launch success.
Technical Levels and Market Structure
The chart shows meaningful levels worth watching. Support emerged near the 52-week low of $183.86, with resistance at the 52-week high of $265.94 — a level the stock must reclaim before approaching $290. The round $200 and $250 figures serve as psychological markers, and a sustained move above the prior high would be required to confirm a longer-term uptrend toward the target. From what I see, these levels help frame the risk-reward picture clearly.
Time Horizon and What Investors Should Monitor
Analyst price targets generally reflect a research horizon of roughly 12 months, though individual firms apply different assumptions. The key items to monitor are the GTA VI launch and early sales data, the company's next earnings report and any updates to its fiscal 2027 bookings guidance, analyst target revisions following launch, and broader consumer spending and rate trends. I'm watching this closely as the launch date approaches.
Using AI Tools for Ongoing Monitoring
In my view, tools like Tickeron’s AI Daily Buy/Sell Signals provide a useful layer when following names such as TTWO. They apply artificial intelligence to scan thousands of stocks and ETFs, generating Buy, Sell, or Hold signals based on technical behavior and market shifts. This helps complement fundamental work without replacing it.
Final Assessment
Can Take-Two Interactive Software (TTWO) reach $290? The target, derived as the mean of roughly 16 current analyst targets spanning $262 to $330, sits about 37% above the recent share price near $211. The bull case rests squarely on the GTA VI launch and a multi-year earnings inflection, while the bear case highlights valuation, franchise concentration, and softness outside the flagship title. The wide analyst range reflects genuine uncertainty about how much of the launch upside is already priced in. Investors should watch launch performance and subsequent analyst revisions for the clearest signal on the path toward the target.
Exploring Tickeron’s AI Daily Buy/Sell Signals
I’ve found Tickeron’s AI Daily Buy/Sell Signals helpful for tracking shifts in stocks like TTWO. The tool scans thousands of equities and ETFs in real time, producing data-driven signals that can complement my own research on catalysts and risks. It’s one way I stay on top of changing conditions without replacing traditional analysis.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
TTWO's RSI Indicator ascending out of oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for TTWO moved out of oversold territory on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 31 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 25 of the 31 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 81%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 04, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TTWO as a result. In 57 of 81 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TTWO just turned positive on November 04, 2026. Looking at past instances where TTWO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 36 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
TTWO moved above its 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +2.86% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TTWO advanced for three days, in 220 of 327 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
TTWO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
The 50-day moving average for TTWO moved below the 200-day moving average on October 07, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TTWO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 57%.
The Aroon Indicator for TTWO entered a downward trend on October 20, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 8 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 33 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TTWO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 69 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TTWO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 95, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (11.134) is normal, around the industry mean (12.346). TTWO's P/E Ratio (-124.202) is considerably lower than the industry average of (-4.296). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.772) is also within normal values, averaging (2.125). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (2.202) among similar stocks. TTWO's P/S Ratio (5.869) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.575).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 93 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
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a developer of interactive entertainment software
Industry ElectronicsAppliances