TX Ternium SA Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

TX sees MACD Histogram just turned negative

TX saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on September 10, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 29 of the 47 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 62%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 18, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TX as a result. In 55 of 92 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 61%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where TX's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 20 of 25 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 6 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

TX moved above its 50-day moving average on September 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +3.46% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TX advanced for three days, in 231 of 317 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.

TX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 172 of 243 cases where TX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 71%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 1 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.869) is normal, around the industry mean (2.317). P/E Ratio (15.131) is within average values for comparable stocks, (93.384). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.020) is also within normal values, averaging (0.339). TX has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.040) as compared to the industry average of (0.015). P/S Ratio (0.699) is also within normal values, averaging (2.301).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 17 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 38 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 70, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 81 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.