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STLD vs TX
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD) vs. Ternium S.A. (TX) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- STLD has delivered stronger year-to-date returns of approximately 39.7% compared to TX at about 20.5% as of mid-July 2026.
- Both companies operate in the steel sector, with STLD focused primarily on the North American market and TX maintaining significant operations in Latin America.
- STLD is scheduled to report second-quarter earnings on July 20, 2026, with analysts projecting robust EPS growth year-over-year.
- TX trades at a lower valuation multiple, with a trailing P/E of 14.90 and forward P/E of 9.17, versus higher multiples typically seen for U.S. peers.
- Recent market activity shows STLD benefiting from domestic demand strength, while TX faces exposure to regional economic and currency dynamics in its key markets.
- Relative performance highlights trade-offs between U.S.-centric growth stability and international diversification opportunities.
Introduction
Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD) and Ternium S.A. (TX) represent two prominent players in the global steel industry, offering investors exposure to this cyclical sector through distinct geographic and operational profiles. This comparison examines their recent stock behavior, business fundamentals, and market positioning amid evolving economic conditions. Institutional investors, sector-focused traders, and those seeking diversified materials exposure may find the analysis relevant for evaluating relative opportunities in steel equities.
STLD Overview and Recent Performance
Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD) is a leading North American steel producer and metals recycler with integrated operations spanning steel manufacturing, fabrication, and recycling. The company has reported solid sequential earnings growth in prior quarters, supported by favorable domestic demand. In recent weeks, STLD shares have traded near $235.51 as of July 17, 2026, reflecting a year-to-date gain of approximately 39.7%. Market sentiment has been influenced by anticipation of second-quarter results, with analysts forecasting significant earnings per share expansion. Broader market activity shows resilience in U.S. industrial demand, contributing to the stock’s outperformance relative to broader indices in recent periods.
TX Overview and Recent Performance
Ternium S.A. (TX) manufactures and distributes steel products across Mexico, Brazil, and other international markets, operating through steel and mining segments. The company maintains a diversified production base with exposure to regional construction, automotive, and industrial sectors. As of July 17, 2026, TX closed at $44.70, posting year-to-date returns of about 20.5%. Recent market activity reflects steady performance amid varying regional demand and currency influences in Latin America. Analysts have maintained a generally positive outlook, with a consensus target price indicating potential upside, supported by the company’s cost-efficient operations and dividend yield.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
STLD operates with a primary focus on the stable North American steel market, benefiting from integrated recycling and fabrication capabilities that support margins during demand cycles. In contrast, TX offers broader geographic diversification across Latin America, which can provide growth opportunities but introduces additional exposure to emerging-market volatility and currency fluctuations. Recent momentum favors STLD on stronger year-to-date returns and domestic industrial tailwinds, while TX trades at more attractive valuation multiples. Risk factors include sector cyclicality for both, with STLD potentially more sensitive to U.S. economic data and TX to regional policy shifts. Market sentiment remains constructive for steel equities overall, though relative positioning depends on investors’ preference for geographic stability versus international exposure.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as stronger recent trend consistency, robust domestic demand positioning, and upcoming earnings catalysts, Tickeron’s AI would likely assign a higher probability of favorable relative performance to STLD in the current environment. TX presents compelling valuation attributes and diversification benefits that could appeal in different scenarios. This assessment reflects probabilistic weighting of available data rather than certainty.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is STLD is a StrongBuy and TX is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
STLD’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileTX’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- STLD’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- TX’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
STLD’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TX’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- STLD’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TX’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
STLD (@Steel) experienced а -1.56% price change this week, while TX (@Steel) price change was -0.71% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Steel industry was -1.19%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.66%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.93%.
Reported Earning Dates
STLD is expected to report earnings on Oct 21, 2026.
TX is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Steel (-1.19% weekly)The steel industry includes manufacturers of steel and steel-related products. Companies use iron ore and scrap steel to produce steel. The industry also includes companies involved in mining and marketing of steel products. Along with serving some of the domestic markets, U.S. steel output has, over the years, been used by international economies as well. Competition from imported steel has also increased over time. The industry could be susceptible to business cycles, since the element is an important input in industrial production. Some of the globally-renowned steel behemoths include Nucor Corporation, Vale, and ArcelorMittal SA.
| STLD | TX | STLD / TX | |
| Capitalization | 33.2B | 8.74B | 380% |
| EBITDA | 2.39B | 1.76B | 136% |
| Gain YTD | 36.739 | 19.972 | 184% |
| P/E Ratio | 24.68 | 14.84 | 166% |
| Revenue | 19B | 15.6B | 122% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 3.14B | - |
| Total Debt | 4.2B | 3.01B | 140% |
STLD | TX | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 53 | 18 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 25 Undervalued | 1 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 11 | 46 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 57 | 87 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 41 | 47 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 22 | 1 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TX's Valuation (1) in the Steel industry is in the same range as STLD (25). This means that TX’s stock grew similarly to STLD’s over the last 12 months.
STLD's Profit vs Risk Rating (11) in the Steel industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TX (46). This means that STLD’s stock grew somewhat faster than TX’s over the last 12 months.
STLD's SMR Rating (57) in the Steel industry is in the same range as TX (87). This means that STLD’s stock grew similarly to TX’s over the last 12 months.
STLD's Price Growth Rating (41) in the Steel industry is in the same range as TX (47). This means that STLD’s stock grew similarly to TX’s over the last 12 months.
TX's P/E Growth Rating (1) in the Steel industry is in the same range as STLD (22). This means that TX’s stock grew similarly to STLD’s over the last 12 months.
| STLD | TX | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 81% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 62% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 74% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 73% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 65% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 79% | 9 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 62% | 21 days ago 63% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 59% |
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TX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TX has been loosely correlated with MT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 66% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TX jumps, then MT could also see price increases.