UFCS United Fire Group Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

UFCS in upward trend: 10-day moving average broke above 50-day moving average on August 12, 2025

The 10-day moving average for UFCS crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 12, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 20 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on August 06, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on UFCS as a result. In of 94 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for UFCS just turned positive on August 06, 2025. Looking at past instances where UFCS's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

UFCS moved above its 50-day moving average on August 06, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UFCS advanced for three days, in of 276 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for UFCS moved out of overbought territory on August 25, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 24 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 24 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 52 cases where UFCS's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UFCS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

UFCS broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 11, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for UFCS entered a downward trend on August 05, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.929) is normal, around the industry mean (2.384). P/E Ratio (8.781) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.772). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (3.053). Dividend Yield (0.021) settles around the average of (0.036) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.609) is also within normal values, averaging (1.517).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. UFCS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 45, placing this stock slightly worse than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.