UFCS United Fire Group Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Momentum Indicator for UFCS turns positive, indicating new upward trend

UFCS saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on May 21, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 88 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 88 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for UFCS just turned positive on April 23, 2025. Looking at past instances where UFCS's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The 10-day moving average for UFCS crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on May 13, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UFCS advanced for three days, in of 272 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 172 cases where UFCS Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 50 cases where UFCS's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

UFCS moved below its 50-day moving average on May 21, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

UFCS broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 02, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.751) is normal, around the industry mean (2.141). P/E Ratio (41.525) is within average values for comparable stocks, (31.733). UFCS's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.023). Dividend Yield (0.029) settles around the average of (0.042) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.501) is also within normal values, averaging (1.434).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. UFCS’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. UFCS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 40, placing this stock worse than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.