Advertisement
THG vs UFCS
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is THG is a Buy and UFCS is a StrongBuy.
THG in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026
THG moved above its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 27 of 38 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 06, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on THG as a result. In 55 of 95 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for THG just turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where THG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 27 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.
The 10-day moving average for THG crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 9 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
Following a +3.01% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where THG advanced for three days, in 177 of 323 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 158 of 237 cases where THG Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 67%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 8 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where THG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 41%.
THG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 10 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 52, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 40 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. THG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 47 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.199) is normal, around the industry mean (-1.701). P/E Ratio (10.863) is within average values for comparable stocks, (9.658). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.120) is also within normal values, averaging (3.303). Dividend Yield (0.016) settles around the average of (0.026) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.243) is also within normal values, averaging (1.594).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 53 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
UFCS in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on October 07, 2026
The 10-day moving average for UFCS crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 07, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 14 of 21 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 02, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on UFCS as a result. In 63 of 98 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for UFCS just turned positive on October 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where UFCS's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 28 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
UFCS moved above its 50-day moving average on October 01, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +2.33% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UFCS advanced for three days, in 198 of 303 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 102 of 211 cases where UFCS Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 48%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 13 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UFCS declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.
UFCS broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 16 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 52, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 20 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 37 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. UFCS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 45 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.525) is normal, around the industry mean (-1.701). P/E Ratio (10.505) is within average values for comparable stocks, (9.658). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.930) is also within normal values, averaging (3.303). Dividend Yield (0.014) settles around the average of (0.026) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.971) is also within normal values, averaging (1.594).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
THG | UFCS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 41 | 36 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 47 Fair valued | 45 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 10 | 16 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 53 | 59 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 40 | 37 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 48 | 20 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
UFCS's Valuation (45) in the Property Or Casualty Insurance industry is in the same range as THG (47). This means that UFCS’s stock grew similarly to THG’s over the last 12 months.
THG's Profit vs Risk Rating (10) in the Property Or Casualty Insurance industry is in the same range as UFCS (16). This means that THG’s stock grew similarly to UFCS’s over the last 12 months.
THG's SMR Rating (53) in the Property Or Casualty Insurance industry is in the same range as UFCS (59). This means that THG’s stock grew similarly to UFCS’s over the last 12 months.
UFCS's Price Growth Rating (37) in the Property Or Casualty Insurance industry is in the same range as THG (40). This means that UFCS’s stock grew similarly to THG’s over the last 12 months.
UFCS's P/E Growth Rating (20) in the Property Or Casualty Insurance industry is in the same range as THG (48). This means that UFCS’s stock grew similarly to THG’s over the last 12 months.
| THG | UFCS | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 69% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 64% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 60% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 66% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 62% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 55% | 1 day ago 65% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 16 days ago 41% | 8 days ago 58% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 46% | 1 day ago 73% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 48% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
THG’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while UFCS’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- THG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- UFCS’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
THG’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while UFCS’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- THG’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- UFCS’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
THG (@Property/Casualty Insurance) experienced а +2.55% price change this week, while UFCS (@Property/Casualty Insurance) price change was +3.30% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Property/Casualty Insurance industry was +3.54%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +7.25%, and the average quarterly price growth was +19.07%.
Reported Earning Dates
THG is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
UFCS is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Property/Casualty Insurance (+3.54% weekly)Property and casualty companies insure against accidents of non-physical harm, such as lawsuits, damage to personal assets, car crashes and more. Progressive Corporation, Travelers Companies, Inc. and Allstate Corporation are some of the biggest providers of such products.
Advertisement
THG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, THG has been closely correlated with HIG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if THG jumps, then HIG could also see price increases.
UFCS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, UFCS has been loosely correlated with DGICA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 58% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if UFCS jumps, then DGICA could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To UFCS | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFCS | 100% | +1.19% | ||
| DGICA - UFCS | 58% Loosely correlated | +3.03% | ||
| HIG - UFCS | 57% Loosely correlated | +2.67% | ||
| CINF - UFCS | 54% Loosely correlated | +2.68% | ||
| SKWD - UFCS | 52% Loosely correlated | +1.24% | ||
| THG - UFCS | 52% Loosely correlated | +3.30% | ||
More | ||||
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| QID | 14.53 | 0.79 | +5.75% |
| ProShares UltraShort QQQ (QID) | |||
| NERD | 23.22 | -0.05 | -0.20% |
| Roundhill Video Games ETF (NERD) | |||
| FFC | 14.48 | -0.06 | -0.41% |
| Flaherty & Crumrine Preferred and Income Securities Fund | |||
| OVF | 30.05 | -0.50 | -1.64% |
| Overlay Shares Foreign Equity ETF (OVF) | |||
| MTUM | 288.57 | -10.99 | -3.67% |
| iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF (MTUM) | |||