UGI UGI Corp Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

UGI in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on September 23, 2026

UGI moved below its 50-day moving average on September 23, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 32 of 49 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 21, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on UGI as a result. In 53 of 82 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for UGI turned negative on September 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 25 of the 42 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 60%.

The 10-day moving average for UGI crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 01, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 56%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UGI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 57%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where UGI's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 20 of 29 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 7 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

The 50-day moving average for UGI moved above the 200-day moving average on August 31, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a +2.24% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UGI advanced for three days, in 177 of 311 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.

UGI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 7 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.491) is normal, around the industry mean (3.947). P/E Ratio (12.040) is within average values for comparable stocks, (18.752). UGI's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.100) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (1.861). Dividend Yield (0.041) settles around the average of (0.039) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.160) is also within normal values, averaging (2.205).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 54 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. UGI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 78 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. UGI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 61, placing this stock worse than average.