UGI UGI Corp Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Momentum Indicator for UGI turns negative, indicating new downward trend

UGI saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on September 10, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 82 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 57 of the 82 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 70%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for UGI moved out of overbought territory on August 20, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 17 of the 32 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 53%.

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 40 of 58 cases where UGI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for UGI turned negative on September 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 26 of the 42 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 62%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UGI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 56%.

UGI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 18, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

UGI moved above its 50-day moving average on August 18, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for UGI crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 10 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.

The 50-day moving average for UGI moved above the 200-day moving average on August 31, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a +1.58% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UGI advanced for three days, in 176 of 310 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 6 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.563) is normal, around the industry mean (4.001). P/E Ratio (12.621) is within average values for comparable stocks, (19.365). UGI's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (2.112). Dividend Yield (0.040) settles around the average of (0.038) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.154) is also within normal values, averaging (2.219).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. UGI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 79 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. UGI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 58, placing this stock worse than average.