7.15% profit from AI Robot's performance contributes to LUV's success last week.
In recent weeks, Swing trader's Downtrend Protection v.2 AI trading robot has been a top performer in our robot factory, generating a 7.15% return for LUV (Southwest Airlines Co.). However, recent technical analysis of the stock shows bearish signals that suggest a potential decline in the future.
One of the key indicators suggesting a bearish outlook for LUV is the Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD), which turned negative on April 26, 2023. When the MACD turns negative, it is generally interpreted as a bearish signal, indicating that the stock could experience a downward move.
To further analyze the probability of a downward move, Tickeron's A.I.dvisor examined 48 instances where the MACD indicator turned negative. The results showed that in 40 out of 48 cases, the stock moved lower in the days following the negative MACD signal. This puts the odds of a downward move for LUV at a high 83%.
Additionally, the latest earnings report on April 27 showed earnings per share of -27 cents, missing the estimate of -23 cents. With 659.99K shares outstanding, the current market capitalization of LUV sits at 18.02B. This earnings miss combined with the bearish technical signals is likely to put pressure on the stock in the near term.
Investors in LUV should remain vigilant and keep a close eye on both technical indicators and earnings reports. While Swing trader's Downtrend Protection v.2 has been a top performer, it is important to remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
LUV sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line
LUV saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 14, 2024. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 51 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 59 cases where LUV's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 17, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on LUV as a result. In of 96 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LUV declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
LUV broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 04, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The 50-day moving average for LUV moved above the 200-day moving average on October 17, 2024. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LUV advanced for three days, in of 288 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 178 cases where LUV Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. LUV’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.696) is normal, around the industry mean (3.761). LUV has a moderately high P/E Ratio (227.923) as compared to the industry average of (41.175). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.447) is also within normal values, averaging (0.613). Dividend Yield (0.024) settles around the average of (0.039) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.704) is also within normal values, averaging (1.458).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. LUV’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock worse than average.
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Fundamental Analysis Ratings
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General Information
a provider of scheduled air transportation services
Industry Airlines