Underlying replacement cost (RC) profit reached $3.2 billion for the first quarter ended 31 March 2026, up from $1.5 billion in the prior quarter. Reported profit attributable to shareholders hit $3.8 billion, reversing a $3.4 billion loss from Q4 2025.

Shares of XOM are declining approximately 5% in Friday's session, with the stock sliding from a prior close of $151.98 toward the $144 range as crude oil prices continue their prolonged retreat from April highs. The primary catalyst is a sustained collapse in WTI crude oil prices, which have fallen from a peak above $114 per barrel to the low-$90s as geopolitical risk premiums tied to the U.S.-Iran conflict steadily erode.

XOM is trading down approximately 5.62% in Wednesday premarket, with shares sliding to around $154.70 from Tuesday's closing price of $163.91. The primary catalyst is the surprise US-Iran two-week ceasefire announced on Tuesday evening, April 7, just before President Trump's 8 PM ET deadline. As part of the deal, Iran agreed to reopen the Strait of Hormuz — the world's most critical oil chokepoint — sending crude prices into freefall.

PBR stock rose +18.5% over the last 30 days, propelled by surging global oil prices above $110 per barrel and record production levels. Over the past quarter, shares gained +80%, driven by robust Q4 2025 earnings, increased oil output, and substantial dividend payouts.

Chevron targets 2-3% annual production growth through 2030, driven by Permian Basin stability, Guyana expansions via Hess integration, and Tengizchevroil (TCO) project ramp-ups. Analyst consensus leans "Buy" or "Hold" with average 12-month price targets around $187-$205, reflecting optimism on free cash flow (FCF) growth at $70 Brent crude.

SU shares have rallied significantly in recent weeks, trading near 52-week highs around $66 amid strong YTD gains of nearly 50%. Multiple analysts raised price targets in early April, with firms like Goldman Sachs, CIBC, and RBC citing robust Investor Day plans and operational momentum.

Shell's leadership in LNG positions it for 4-5% annual sales growth through 2030, driven by global demand expansion amid energy security needs. Upcoming Q1 2026 earnings on May 7 could provide updates on production guidance and capital returns, influencing near-term sentiment.

XOM shares have shown volatility amid geopolitical tensions driving oil prices higher, recently trading around recent highs before a pullback. Golden Pass LNG joint venture produced first LNG, positioning Exxon Mobil for new revenue streams from exports starting this quarter.

Chevron stands out as one of the world's leading integrated energy companies, with a diversified portfolio that covers upstream exploration and production, midstream transportation, downstream refining, and emerging lower-carbon ventures. From my perspective, its competitive advantages are clear: a vast global footprint across North America, South America, Europe, Africa, Asia, and Australia helps mitigate risks through geographic diversity.

Shell plc (SHEL) stands as a British multinational energy company deeply involved in oil and gas exploration, production, refining, and marketing. Its business spans integrated gas (including LNG), upstream production, downstream refining and chemicals, and renewables. As one of the supermajors, Shell maintains a strong competitive edge in the global energy sector, bolstered by peer-leading LNG resources and deepwater assets. From what I see, this diversified setup—high-margin LNG paired with stable liquids production—has been key to the stock's recent resilience, as higher commodity prices lift upstream cash flows and trading operations thrive on volatility.

TotalEnergies SE (TTE) stock surged +19% over the past 30 days, primarily driven by spiking oil prices amid Middle East tensions and supply disruptions. Over the past quarter, the stock climbed +49%, fueled by robust hydrocarbon production growth and strong refining margins offsetting earlier softer commodity prices.

From what I see, Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) stands out as one of the world's largest integrated energy companies, involved in the exploration, production, refining, and marketing of oil, natural gas, and petrochemicals. Its business model covers the full hydrocarbon value chain, from upstream production to downstream refining and chemicals, which offers diversification against commodity price swings. In the oil and gas industry, Exxon Mobil maintains a leading position thanks to its vast reserves, especially in high-return areas like the Permian Basin in the U.S. and offshore Guyana. The company's strong fundamentals—record production volumes and ongoing cost savings—have supported recent stock strength, as higher oil prices boost upstream earnings and refining profits from wider margins.

Tight Risk Management — The 3% TP / 2% SL corridor keeps risk-reward structured and disciplined, cutting losses quickly while locking in gains before reversals. Right Tickers, Right Time — XOM, CVX, and COP are all up roughly 30% year-to-date in 2026, making them among the most high-momentum, liquid energy plays in the market right now.

Technology recently peaked near 35% of the S&P 500 and has slipped over the last year, while Energy plus Materials remain near historically low combined weight at roughly 6%, which suggests the gap is still unusually wide.

Crude’s explosive war‑driven spike faded on March 9 because the market suddenly started to price less extreme, shorter‑lived supply risk and more policy intervention, not a multi‑month shortage. WTI, which had briefly traded above 115–120 dollars on Iran‑war headlines and Strait of Hormuz fears, slid back toward the high‑80s as traders digested G7 reserve‑release talk, Trump’s comments about a “brief” war, and the reality that prices had run far ahead of fundamentals.

Shell is a diversified global major with roughly 266.9 billion dollars in trailing revenue, 17.8 billion dollars in earnings, a 3.5% dividend yield, and an active buyback program, trading at about 13 times earnings near its 52‑week high. The Iran war materially raises the risk of disruptions or perceived threats around the Strait of Hormuz, which could push oil well above 80–100 dollars per barrel and tighten LNG markets, a setup that is generally supportive for Shell’s upstream and LNG businesses.

Chevron is a global integrated oil and gas major with growing production, a strong balance sheet, and significant exposure to long‑life projects in the Permian, LNG, and Venezuela, aiming for structurally higher cash flows through 2026 and beyond. The Iran war has increased the probability of supply disruptions or perceived risk in the Gulf, and several analysts warn that Brent could move above 100 dollars per barrel if Hormuz traffic is impaired, which would generally be supportive for Chevron’s earnings and free cash flow.

Shell plc (SHEL) reported Q4 2025 adjusted earnings of $3.3 billion, below expectations due to weaker oil prices and non-cash tax charges. Full-year adjusted earnings reached $18.5 billion, supported by strong LNG and upstream operations. A 4% dividend increase to $0.372 per share and a new $3.5 billion buyback program reinforce capital return commitments.

Chevron’s upcoming Q4 report highlights its first full quarters integrating Hess, following record Q3 production of 4.1 million barrels of oil equivalent per day (MMboe/d). Comparing CVX with ExxonMobil and Shell provides insight into how each supermajor is navigating a volatile oil market with prices hovering below $60 per barrel.

ExxonMobil (XOM) emerges as the AI-preferred energy stock in 2025, posting a 10% year-to-date gain compared with Chevron’s (CVX) 2% increase. Stronger upstream production, exposure to high-growth assets, and expanding low-carbon initiatives support XOM’s momentum. Tickeron’s AI models signal continued upside for XOM, while CVX shows signs of overbought conditions and elevated downside risk.