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Mar 02, 2021
Americans are Grossly Underprepared for Retirement

Americans are Grossly Underprepared for Retirement

Americans believe in a well-documented path to retirement: work hard, save money (maybe using the 401(k) offered by your employer), and say goodbye to the daily grind in your early-to-mid 60s. MassMutual’s 2018 State of the American Family survey pegs the average age Americans plan to retire at 62, a full two years younger than 2013’s survey, with 47 percent of participants (a two percent increase) expressing confidence they could retire when they wanted to. But there’s a problem: despite optimism about retiring early, most people do not have the plan, nor the savings, to do so.

Planning retirement is of vital importance. MassMutual’s survey indicates that only 36 percent of participants had created a savings plan, with 24 of the 36 percent staying committed to it – figures that don’t bode well for a worry-free post-work life. It is well worth the time to map everything out using a retirement calculator or through some basic calculations.

The first step to creating a plan is evaluating life expectancy. Naturally, it’s very difficult to accurately predict this, but after taking health, lifestyle factors, family history, and more into account can help develop a rough estimate. Subtracting your ideal retirement age from perceived life expectancy shows how many years to save for.

Next, establish living expenses in retirement. While these can be ever-shifting, a ballpark figure is necessary – as is periodically reevaluating savings goals for accuracy. To get a rough estimate, take current monthly expenses, factor in expenses that might not be necessary in retirement (child-related, commute, down-sizing a home, etc.) and multiply by 12 to calculate a yearly savings goal. Multiply this figure by the total number of years to save for as calculated above, taking average yearly inflation of 3 percent into account.

You may even be entitled to some help – certain employers offer 401(k) matching. There are also Social Security benefits, determined via your 35 highest-earning years, which are accessible at 62 but typically kick in in full around 66 or 67 (and you can even delay benefits earlier for larger amounts later). Sign up for a My Social Security account to get an estimate of your eventual benefits, multiply by the number of retirement years, and subtract the resulting amount from the previously-calculated total for a better snapshot of your savings goal. Use that figure to determine a monthly savings amount, keeping in mind the benefits of compound interest (though it is helpful to estimate more conservatively and be pleasantly surprised than the alternative).

And don’t despair – there’s hope even if you are behind the eight ball on retirement savings. While saving for retirement earlier provides a greater margin for error (and means having the ability to contribute less per paycheck), you can make up for lost time by increasing short-term contributions. Catch-up contributions are also an option; worst case, you can push your retirement back to save more. Retirement is an attainable goal – if you don’t go in blind.

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Related Ticker: SPY

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


SPY in downward trend: price may decline as a result of having broken its higher Bollinger Band on August 04, 2026

SPY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 40 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In of the 40 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for SPY moved out of overbought territory on August 14, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 47 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 18, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SPY as a result. In of 75 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SPY turned negative on August 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 52 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SPY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

SPY moved above its 50-day moving average on July 31, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for SPY crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 05, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SPY advanced for three days, in of 360 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG), Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL), Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN), Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO), Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META), Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU).

Industry description

The investment seeks to provide investment results that, before expenses, correspond generally to the price and yield performance of the S&P 500® Index. The trust seeks to achieve its investment objective by holding a portfolio of the common stocks that are included in the index (the “Portfolio”), with the weight of each stock in the Portfolio substantially corresponding to the weight of such stock in the index.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the State Street® SPDR® S&P 500® ETF ETF is 160.71B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 4.69B to 5.42T. NVDA holds the highest valuation in this group at 5.42T. The lowest valued company is ENPH at 4.69B.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the State Street® SPDR® S&P 500® ETF ETF was -0%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was 1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 14%. CRM experienced the highest price growth at 25%, while PCG experienced the biggest fall at -27%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the State Street® SPDR® S&P 500® ETF ETF was 16%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was -12% and the average quarterly volume growth was 17%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 51
Price Growth Rating: 45
SMR Rating: 50
Profit Risk Rating: 59
Seasonality Score: -26 (-100 ... +100)
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NVDA shares declined 5.47% on Thursday, February 26, 2026, closing at $184.87, down from the prior session close of approximately $195.56. The primary catalyst was a "sell the news" reaction to Q4 fiscal 2026 earnings that beat estimates on every headline metric but failed to ignite meaningful buying interest.
Shares of UHS fell approximately 9.15% on February 26, 2026, closing near $209.62, down from a prior close of $230.73. The primary catalyst was a mixed Q4 2025 earnings report: adjusted EPS of $5.88 missed the consensus estimate of $5.92, and revenue of $4.49 billion fell short of the $4.50–$4.51 billion analyst forecast.
HEI shares fell approximately 9.21% on February 26, 2026, closing at $312.98 versus a prior close near $344.72. The primary catalyst was HEICO's Q1 fiscal 2026 earnings report, which delivered headline beats on EPS and revenue but disappointed investors on margin quality, Adjusted EBITDA, and cash flow generation.
IONQ surged +21.70% on February 26, 2026, closing at $40.88 versus the prior session's close of $33.59. The primary catalyst was a powerful Q4 and full-year 2025 earnings beat, with annual revenue of $130 million coming in 20% above guidance and representing 202% year-over-year growth.
Shares of CRWV declined approximately 11.38% in Friday's session, falling from a prior close of $97.63 to around $86.52, after the company reported Q4 2025 earnings after the bell on Thursday, February 26. The primary catalyst was a wider-than-expected net loss of $0.56 per share on EPS expectations of −$0.49, alongside a massive capex plan calling for $30–$35 billion in infrastructure spending in 2026, more than doubling the prior year.
DELL shares surged 16.64% during Friday's session, last trading around $141.65, up from the prior close of $121.45. The primary catalyst was a blowout Q4 fiscal year 2026 earnings report, with revenue of $33.4 billion — up 39% year-over-year — beating consensus estimates by roughly $2 billion.
Stifel Financial (SF) appears to be down over 30% on your screen today primarily because its shares began trading split‑adjusted following a three‑for‑two stock split (a 50% stock dividend), not because of a sudden collapse in the company’s fundamentals. After the split, the per‑share price is mechanically lower, even though the underlying value of the business has not changed.
Sunrun (RUN) sank more than 35–37% today even after posting a massive Q4 beat because its outlook and strategic commentary signaled slower volume growth, tighter financing conditions, and a more defensive stance on 2026, which together triggered a sharp reset in already‑volatile solar sentiment.
PAR Technology Corp. (PAR) dropped more than 28% today after its latest earnings report, even though it beat on revenue and EPS, because investors focused on weak profitability, continued operating losses, and a wave of sharply lower analyst price targets that signaled reduced confidence in the stock’s near‑term upside.
Carter’s (CRI) dropped more than 21% today because, even though it beat Q4 expectations on both sales and earnings, management issued a much weaker 2026 earnings outlook, highlighted ongoing margin pressure from tariffs and product costs, and guided to a sharp near‑term EPS drop that jarred investors.
WES is an oil & gas midstream partnership (NYSE: WES) with largely fee‑based, long‑term volume contracts in key basins such as the Delaware and DJ, which insulate cash flows from direct oil price swings but still tie them to producer activity and throughput. Current positioning: The units trade around 41–42 dollars with a high cash yield (roughly 9% dividend), solid profitability (P/E about 14), and strong returns on equity above 40%, signaling a mature, cash‑generative infrastructure asset.
SD is a pure‑play upstream energy company with operations concentrated in U.S. onshore oil and gas, so its revenues are directly influenced by global oil and gas price movements.
TTI is an oilfield services and specialty chemicals company, not a direct oil producer, so it tends to benefit when higher oil prices lead to sustained drilling and completion activity rather than from price moves alone. The Iran war raises the odds of major supply disruptions, and several commentators see a path to Brent near 100 dollars per barrel if the Strait of Hormuz is impaired, which would support energy capex and, by extension, demand for TTI’s services and fluids.
COP is a global upstream heavyweight, producing more than 2.3 million barrels of oil equivalent per day and generating over 60 billion dollars in annual revenue, with a strategy centered on disciplined capex and robust cash returns to shareholders. The Iran war introduces a structural risk premium into oil markets; if supply from the region or traffic through Hormuz is disrupted, analysts see Brent potentially trading nearer 90–100 dollars per barrel or higher, which is supportive for ConocoPhillips’ cash flows and valuation.
ONEOK is a diversified midstream operator focused on gathering, processing, fractionation, transportation, storage, and marine export of natural gas, NGLs, refined products, and crude, with most revenue coming from relatively stable fee‑based contracts. The US–Iran war increases the odds of supply disruptions or perceived risks in the Gulf, which has already contributed to higher oil and LNG prices and a persistent geopolitical risk premium.
Exxon Mobil is a global energy giant with roughly 324 billion dollars in trailing revenue, around 29 billion dollars in earnings, record production near 4.7 million barrels per day, and a long runway of projects in Guyana, the Permian, LNG and carbon capture. The Iran war has disrupted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and could keep a 10–20 dollar‑per‑barrel risk premium in crude if tensions stay high, which would generally be positive for XOM’s upstream earnings and refining margins.
Chevron is a global integrated oil and gas major with growing production, a strong balance sheet, and significant exposure to long‑life projects in the Permian, LNG, and Venezuela, aiming for structurally higher cash flows through 2026 and beyond. The Iran war has increased the probability of supply disruptions or perceived risk in the Gulf, and several analysts warn that Brent could move above 100 dollars per barrel if Hormuz traffic is impaired, which would generally be supportive for Chevron’s earnings and free cash flow.
Shell is a diversified global major with roughly 266.9 billion dollars in trailing revenue, 17.8 billion dollars in earnings, a 3.5% dividend yield, and an active buyback program, trading at about 13 times earnings near its 52‑week high. The Iran war materially raises the risk of disruptions or perceived threats around the Strait of Hormuz, which could push oil well above 80–100 dollars per barrel and tighten LNG markets, a setup that is generally supportive for Shell’s upstream and LNG businesses.
LMT is a defense heavyweight with roughly 75 billion dollars in annual revenue, about 5 billion dollars in earnings, and a backlog above 190 billion dollars spanning fighters, missiles, space, and sustainment contracts that support long‑term cash flow. The U.S.–Iran war has triggered a classic “flight to defense,” with sector ETFs and names like Lockheed rallying as investors price in higher defense spending, missile restocking, and elevated geopolitical risk for years to come.
NOC is a defense heavyweight with about 42 billion dollars in annual revenue, 4.18 billion dollars in earnings, and key growth programs in the B‑21 bomber, Sentinel ICBM, missile defense, and space, which are all strategically prioritized in U.S. and allied budgets. The Iran war has reinforced a rotation into defense stocks as investors expect elevated military spending, ammunition and missile restocking, and sustained demand for advanced systems, and commentary specifically cites Northrop as a likely beneficiary.