GET DAILY SIGNALSAutodesk (ADSK): Could Shares Reach the $310 Analyst Target for +24% Upside?
Key Takeaways
- The $310 level represents the arithmetic mean of 36 verified analyst price targets (around $307.54), rounded for clarity.
- From the most recent close near $249.61, the stock would require roughly a 24% advance to hit that mark.
- Targets range widely from about $215 to $375, with a consensus rating of Buy and some Hold opinions in the mix.
- Key supports include the recurring-revenue subscription model, expanding operating margins, and growth in cloud and AI-driven design tools.
- Primary risks involve a premium valuation, potential cyclical weakness in construction and manufacturing, competition, and possible multiple compression.
- For additional detail, review Major News, Today's Price Move, Forecast, and Earnings resources.
- Investors can also examine Trending AI Robots for automated strategies covering names like ADSK.
Analyst Price Targets and the Broader Consensus
Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK) provides design and engineering software, including AutoCAD, Revit, and Fusion 360, to clients in architecture, engineering, construction, manufacturing, and media. The central target here averages 36 current analyst estimates compiled by S&P Global, landing near $307.54 and rounded to $310 for easier reference.
The spread remains wide, stretching from roughly $215 at the lower end to $375 at the high end. This reflects differing views on Autodesk’s ability to sustain double-digit revenue growth while improving margins. The overall tone stays positive, with about two dozen Buy or Overweight ratings and only a handful of Hold calls, and virtually no Sell ratings.
Recent adjustments highlight the ongoing discussion. Wells Fargo kept an Overweight rating and $330 target in September 2026, RBC Capital held a Buy at $305, and BMO Capital maintained a Hold at $283. Citi, among the more measured voices, reduced its target to $276 in October 2026. Earlier in the year, firms such as Barclays, Morgan Stanley, and Citi trimmed targets amid valuation and macro considerations, indicating that even supportive analysts have adjusted expectations as the stock has re-rated.
Current Positioning and the Route to $310
With the latest verified close around $249.61, reaching $310 would imply about 24% upside. That represents a meaningful move, one that would call for more than a minor re-rating. ADSK trades at a trailing P/E in the low 30s and a forward P/E in the high teens, showing investors’ willingness to pay for the visibility of subscription revenue.
Progress toward the target would likely hinge on sustained mid-teens revenue growth, further non-GAAP operating margin expansion, and continued success shifting customers to cloud and AI-enabled tools. The subscription transition has stabilized revenue and cash flow, supporting a higher valuation multiple, yet hitting $310 still requires that analysts’ margin and free-cash-flow assumptions play out over successive quarters.
Factors That Could Support the Move Higher
Several established elements underpin the constructive case. Autodesk’s move to subscriptions and a more flexible consumption model has improved revenue visibility. Management has repeatedly highlighted long-term margin expansion, and analysts have often cited stronger quarterly results and raised margin guidance when increasing targets. The company’s focus on AI-assisted design and cloud collaboration expands its addressable market in AEC and manufacturing, areas with considerable room for digital adoption. A large installed base and high switching costs help maintain pricing power.
Risks That Could Keep the Target Out of Reach
The main concerns are equally tangible. The premium valuation leaves limited margin for disappointment; any slowdown in growth toward single digits could trigger multiple compression even if results meet expectations. Construction and manufacturing activity remain cyclical, and higher interest rates or broader economic softness could dampen demand and renewals. Competition from established CAD providers as well as newer cloud-native and AI-focused tools continues to present challenges. The wide target range of roughly $215 to $375 underscores that even professional analysts hold divergent views on fair value, so the $310 midpoint is an average of opinions rather than a certainty.
Technical Levels Worth Watching
ADSK’s 52-week range runs from approximately $185.50 to $320.00. The $320 zone marks a prior high and logical resistance area, while $300 serves as a key psychological level near several analyst targets. On the downside, the stock has attracted support in the $212–$230 area during 2026 pullbacks, establishing that zone as a relevant reference point. A sustained advance toward $310 would first require reclaiming and holding above $300 before addressing resistance near the recent highs.
Time Horizon and Items to Monitor
Analyst targets generally reflect a 12-month research horizon, though exact periods vary by firm. Investors should focus on the next earnings release, expected in late November 2026, along with updates on guidance, billings, and free cash flow. Tracking revisions to price targets, margin commentary, and any shifts in construction and manufacturing demand will also matter. Broader macroeconomic data and interest-rate decisions can influence the multiple the market assigns to growth-oriented software companies.
Using AI Tools in My Research Process
I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Daily Buy/Sell Signals to see how ADSK compares on momentum and technical signals relative to peers.
Final Assessment
The $310 target is the average of 36 verified analyst estimates and sits roughly 24% above the latest price near $249.61—a sizable yet plausible move. The supporting case rests on durable subscription revenue, margin expansion, and cloud and AI adoption, while the opposing case centers on premium valuation, cyclical demand exposure, and competition. With targets spanning roughly $215 to $375, views remain divided enough that the outcome will likely depend on execution and the macro backdrop rather than any single catalyst. Investors should follow upcoming earnings, guidance, and analyst revisions rather than view $310 as assured.
Exploring Tickeron AI Tools for Deeper Analysis
In my own work, I turn to Tickeron’s AI Daily Buy/Sell Signals to monitor price action and volatility across thousands of stocks and ETFs. These AI-generated signals help identify potential opportunities, track existing positions, and spot trend shifts more efficiently than manual methods alone. For anyone following names like ADSK, the tools provide a data-driven complement to fundamental research and can highlight momentum changes in real time.
Disclaimer
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Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
Momentum Indicator for ADSK turns positive, indicating new upward trend
ADSK saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 30, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 84 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 65 of the 84 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 77%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ADSK just turned positive on October 05, 2026. Looking at past instances where ADSK's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 35 of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
ADSK moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for ADSK crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
Following a +2.37% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ADSK advanced for three days, in 209 of 328 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 139 of 198 cases where ADSK Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 70%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for ADSK moved out of overbought territory on October 23, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 36 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 20 of the 36 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 56%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 40 of 56 cases where ADSK's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ADSK declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
ADSK broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 19 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ADSK’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 83 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (15.421) is normal, around the industry mean (-1.586). P/E Ratio (32.125) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.399). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.797) is also within normal values, averaging (2.824). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.073) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.024) is also within normal values, averaging (70.854).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 88 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ADSK’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.
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a developer of multimedia software products
Industry PackagedSoftware
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