GET DAILY SIGNALSBlackstone's (BX, $45.99) Q2 earnings plunge -59%, but its distributable earnings beat analysts' estimates
Blackstone experienced a step decline in profits in its latest quarter, but exceeded analysts’ estimates of distributable earnings.
The private equity and financial services company reported net income per share on a diluted basis of 45 cents for the second quarter, down -59% from a year ago (based on generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP)).
Increased earnings from the sale of assets in Blackstone’s private equity, credit and fund-of-hedge-funds divisions was offset by a decline in proceeds from divestments in its real estate unit.
Nevertheless, the company’s distributable earnings – which represents cash available for paying dividends – came in at 57 cents per share, beating analysts’ expectations of 49 cents (based on Refinitiv data).
According to Blackstone, its assets under management surged to a record $545.5 billion in the three months through June, compared to the year-ago quarter’s $511.8 billion.
Blackstone said that the value of its private equity portfolio rose by 0.7%, compared to a 3.8% increase in the benchmark S&P 500 stock index.
CEO Stephen Schwarzman indicated that the U.S.-China trade war had limited effect on Blackstone because the firm does not own many businesses in the global supply chain.
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Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
BX's RSI Indicator recovers from oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for BX moved out of oversold territory on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 30 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 25 of the 30 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 83%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on BX as a result. In 62 of 78 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BX just turned positive on October 19, 2026. Looking at past instances where BX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 29 of 37 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
Following a +3.50% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BX advanced for three days, in 203 of 297 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.
BX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for BX entered a downward trend on October 23, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 32 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. BX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 83 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 84 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 91 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: BX's P/B Ratio (9.747) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.397). P/E Ratio (26.188) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-3.450). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.048) is also within normal values, averaging (1.319). Dividend Yield (0.044) settles around the average of (0.272) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (7.148) is also within normal values, averaging (15.798).
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