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Jul 13, 2023

Boost Portfolio with Swing Trading: LGIH's Sector Rotation Yields 25.96% Returns

Sector Rotation Strategy (TA&FA) Rakes in Impressive 25.96% Returns for LGIH

LGI Homes, Inc. (LGIH), a renowned name in the housing market, has witnessed an encouraging surge in returns, owing to a successful implementation of the Swing Trader strategy. A well-executed amalgamation of Technical Analysis (TA) and Fundamental Analysis (FA) propelled this strategy, resulting in an impressive 25.96% increase in value for the firm.

The Sector Rotation strategy is a tactical asset allocation strategy, enabling traders to capitalize on the cyclical nature of the economy. It involves switching investments among various sectors based on certain economic indicators to benefit from market trends. By effectively leveraging this strategy, LGIH has managed to stay ahead of its peers in a volatile economic environment.

A fundamental part of this strategy is technical analysis. In the case of LGIH, recent trends indicate a possible upward movement for the stock price. This conjecture is based on Bollinger Bands, a common tool in technical analysis that traders use to understand the market's volatility and identify 'overbought' or 'oversold' conditions.

As per current indications, LGIH is all set to rebound above the lower band, potentially moving toward the middle band, a promising sign for investors and traders. This suggests that the stock could be undervalued at present, offering an enticing prospect for those considering buying the stock or exploring call options. This price movement implies a good entry point for investors to benefit from future price appreciation.

Alongside TA, the fundamental analysis component of the strategy involves evaluating the company's financial health and market position. LGIH, known for its leadership in the housing market, presents a compelling case for investors. The company's robust financials and promising future outlook reinforce the attractiveness of the stock, offering the potential for higher returns.

The impressive 25.96% returns generated by LGIH through the Swing Trader Sector Rotation strategy underscores the power of combining technical and fundamental analysis. It demonstrates how astute investment approaches can drive substantial returns, even amidst an unpredictable market. As LGIH continues to leverage these analytical tools, traders and investors can look forward to more lucrative opportunities. This analysis sets the stage for an optimistic future trajectory, highlighting the strength of LGIH's strategic approach.

Related Ticker: LGIH

LGIH in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on April 01, 2024

LGIH moved below its 50-day moving average on April 01, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 42 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LGIH declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for LGIH entered a downward trend on May 03, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where LGIH's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 23 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 60 cases where LGIH's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on May 03, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on LGIH as a result. In of 93 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for LGIH just turned positive on May 02, 2024. Looking at past instances where LGIH's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LGIH advanced for three days, in of 309 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

LGIH may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.453) is normal, around the industry mean (6.594). P/E Ratio (13.589) is within average values for comparable stocks, (94.223). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.437). LGIH has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.043). P/S Ratio (1.147) is also within normal values, averaging (80.487).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. LGIH’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 52, placing this stock worse than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. LGIH’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are DR Horton (NYSE:DHI), Lennar Corp (NYSE:LEN), Pultegroup (NYSE:PHM), KB Home (NYSE:KBH).

Industry description

Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Homebuilding Industry is 7.37B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 66.68K to 53.71B. DHI holds the highest valuation in this group at 53.71B. The lowest valued company is ASCK at 66.68K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -0%, and the average quarterly price growth was 29%. STHI experienced the highest price growth at 93%, while DFH experienced the biggest fall at -14%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry was 22%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 63% and the average quarterly volume growth was 3%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 45
P/E Growth Rating: 28
Price Growth Rating: 48
SMR Rating: 59
Profit Risk Rating: 52
Seasonality Score: -5 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a provider of residential construction services

Industry Homebuilding

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Homebuilding
Address
1450 Lake Robbins Drive
Phone
+1 281 362-8998
Employees
1089
Web
https://www.lgihomes.com
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