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Jul 23, 2021
Shopify (SHOP, $1,594.68) shares rise, on bullish views

Shopify (SHOP, $1,594.68) shares rise, on bullish views

Shopify  shares climbed Thursday to touch a record high, following optimistic views from analysts.

Stifel’s Scott Devitt raised his price target on the e-commerce company’s shares to $1,600 from $1,400, while maintaining his buy rating.

Devitt mentioned the company’s “proven track record of creating products and services that generate value for merchants”, and said that he expects the ongoing investments to create monetization improvements as the platform continues to scale. The analyst also indicated that the company’s outlook for the second half of the year is crucial on challenging prior year comparisons during reopening.

Susquehanna Financial Group’s John Coffey boosted his price target on Shopify shares to $1,800 from $1,500, while keeping his positive rating. According to Coffey, Shopify’s focus on raising operating spending in Europe this year is a wise decision. Coffey also boosted his revenue outlook for 2022 and 2023.

Shopify stock has surged +33% in the past six months.

Related Ticker: SHOP

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


SHOP sees its 50-day moving average cross bullishly above its 200-day moving average

The 50-day moving average for SHOP moved above the 200-day moving average on August 31, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +4.33% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SHOP advanced for three days, in 255 of 315 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.

SHOP may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 189 of 217 cases where SHOP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 87%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for SHOP moved out of overbought territory on August 14, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 39 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 29 of the 39 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 74%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 26, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SHOP as a result. In 67 of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SHOP turned negative on August 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 34 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 68%.

SHOP moved below its 50-day moving average on September 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SHOP declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 32 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SHOP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 84 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (13.072) is normal, around the industry mean (28.430). P/E Ratio (87.020) is within average values for comparable stocks, (75.733). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.734) is also within normal values, averaging (1.599). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.048) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (12.642) is also within normal values, averaging (78.048).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SHOP’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 95, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Shopify Inc (NASDAQ:SHOP), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), ServiceNow Inc. (NYSE:NOW), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Datadog (NASDAQ:DDOG), Atlassian Corp (NASDAQ:TEAM), Workday (NASDAQ:WDAY), Autodesk (NASDAQ:ADSK).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 10.01B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 237.52B. SAP holds the highest valuation in this group at 237.52B. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -6%, and the average quarterly price growth was 3%. FTFT experienced the highest price growth at 77%, while AIXI experienced the biggest fall at -88%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 12%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -4% and the average quarterly volume growth was -43%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 76
Price Growth Rating: 59
SMR Rating: 77
Profit Risk Rating: 94
Seasonality Score: -11 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

an operator of eCommerce website that allows customers to sell online by providing software to create an online store

Industry PackagedSoftware

Profile
Details
Industry
Information Technology Services
Address
151 O'Connor Street
Phone
+1 613 241-2828
Employees
7600
Web
https://www.shopify.com
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