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Jul 25, 2023

Boost Profits with Swing Trading: Sector Rotation (TA&FA) - Earn 25.48% for $OBE

Swing Trader: Sector Rotation Strategy (TA&FA) Generates 25.48% for OBE

In the dynamic world of finance, traders often employ various strategies to maximize their returns while minimizing risks. One such strategy gaining popularity among swing traders is Sector Rotation, which combines Technical Analysis (TA) and Fundamental Analysis (FA). This article highlights a Swing Trader's recent success utilizing the Sector Rotation Strategy, generating an impressive return of 25.48% for OBE (fictional company name).

Understanding the Sector Rotation Strategy

Sector Rotation is a tactical investment approach that involves shifting a portfolio's assets between different sectors based on their performance cycles. The primary objective is to capitalize on the market's varying economic conditions. Swing traders typically implement this strategy over a medium-term horizon, aiming to benefit from short-to-medium-term price movements.

Technical and Fundamental Analysis

To effectively execute the Sector Rotation Strategy, traders rely on a combination of Technical Analysis (TA) and Fundamental Analysis (FA). TA involves studying historical price patterns and various technical indicators to identify potential entry and exit points. One such indicator used for OBE is the Aroon Indicator, which measures the strength of a trend and the likelihood of a reversal.

The Aroon Indicator for OBE Signals an Upward Move

The Aroon Indicator recently provided a positive signal for OBE, indicating that an upward move is likely. This indicator consists of two lines, namely Aroon Up and Aroon Down. The Aroon Up line measures the time it takes for the price to reach a new high within a given period, while the Aroon Down line measures the time it takes for the price to reach a new low.

When the Aroon Up line crosses above the Aroon Down line, it suggests that OBE is experiencing increased upward momentum. Swing traders often interpret this as a potential buying opportunity. Combining this technical signal with an in-depth analysis of the company's fundamentals, swing traders can make well-informed decisions about the timing and allocation of their trades.

OBE's Impressive 25.48% Return

Utilizing the Sector Rotation Strategy based on the Aroon Indicator's positive signal, the Swing Trader achieved a remarkable 25.48% return for OBE. By strategically reallocating their portfolio based on the indicator's insights, they were able to capitalize on the anticipated upward move.

The Sector Rotation Strategy, which integrates Technical Analysis (TA) and Fundamental Analysis (FA), is a powerful tool in the hands of skilled swing traders. By identifying potential sector trends and combining them with a company's underlying fundamentals, traders can position themselves to benefit from short-to-medium-term price movements. The recent success of the Swing Trader, with a 25.48% return for OBE based on the Aroon Indicator's signal, underscores the value of adopting such a strategy in today's dynamic financial markets.

Related Ticker: OBE

OBE in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on July 18, 2024

OBE moved below its 50-day moving average on July 18, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 34 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on July 17, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on OBE as a result. In of 80 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for OBE turned negative on July 18, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

The 50-day moving average for OBE moved below the 200-day moving average on July 11, 2024. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where OBE declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

The 10-day moving average for OBE crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on July 11, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where OBE advanced for three days, in of 241 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 296 cases where OBE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

Tickeron has a negative outlook on this ticker and predicts a further decline by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 79%.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. OBE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.528) is normal, around the industry mean (4.988). P/E Ratio (8.751) is within average values for comparable stocks, (19.200). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (5.240). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.082) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.254) is also within normal values, averaging (154.263).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP), Canadian Natural Resources Limited (NYSE:CNQ), EOG Resources (NYSE:EOG), Pioneer Natural Resource Co (null:PXD), Occidental Petroleum Corp (NYSE:OXY), Hess Corp (NYSE:HES), Diamondback Energy (NASDAQ:FANG), Devon Energy Corp (NYSE:DVN), EQT Corp (NYSE:EQT), Marathon Oil Corp (NYSE:MRO).

Industry description

The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Oil & Gas Production Industry is 4.05B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 3.28K to 151.38B. COP holds the highest valuation in this group at 151.38B. The lowest valued company is PSTRQ at 3.28K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Oil & Gas Production Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 3%, and the average quarterly price growth was 9%. WTRV experienced the highest price growth at 53%, while HEEVF experienced the biggest fall at -36%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Oil & Gas Production Industry was 62%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 15% and the average quarterly volume growth was 4%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 54
P/E Growth Rating: 47
Price Growth Rating: 56
SMR Rating: 76
Profit Risk Rating: 73
Seasonality Score: -5 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I.Advisor
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A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a company which explores and produces oil and natural gas resources

Industry OilGasProduction

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Oil And Gas Production
Address
207 - 9th Avenue SW
Phone
+1 403 777-2500
Employees
198
Web
https://www.obsidianenergy.com
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