Go to the list of all blogs
John Y White's Avatar
published in Blogs
Oct 08, 2026
Comparing EWZ and ILF: Brazil-Focused vs. Broader Latin America Exposure

Comparing EWZ and ILF: Brazil-Focused vs. Broader Latin America Exposure

Key Takeaways

  • iShares MSCI Brazil ETF (EWZ) provides concentrated exposure to Brazilian equities, tracking the MSCI Brazil 25/50 Index with approximately 45-55 holdings focused almost entirely on one country.
  • iShares Latin America 40 ETF (ILF) offers broader regional exposure across Latin America, tracking the S&P Latin America 40 Index with 41 holdings that include significant allocations to Brazil and Mexico.
  • Both ETFs are passively managed equity funds with heavy weightings in financials, materials, and energy sectors, reflecting the commodity-linked nature of many large Latin American companies.
  • ILF carries a lower expense ratio of 0.47% compared to 0.59% for EWZ, potentially enhancing net returns over longer holding periods.
  • EWZ delivers deeper single-country diversification within Brazil but carries higher country-specific risk, while ILF spreads risk across multiple nations for a more balanced regional profile.
  • Top holdings in both funds overlap significantly in names such as Nu Holdings, Vale, Itaú Unibanco, and Petrobras, underscoring shared exposure to Brazilian financials and resources.

Introduction

Investors seeking exposure to Latin American equities often evaluate single-country and regional options to align with specific risk tolerances and market views. The iShares MSCI Brazil ETF (EWZ) and iShares Latin America 40 ETF (ILF) both target this asset class but differ in geographic scope and concentration. EWZ focuses exclusively on Brazil, while ILF captures a broader basket of large-cap Latin American companies. These structural distinctions make the pair useful for comparing targeted versus diversified approaches within emerging markets. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how the two line up against other regional options.

iShares MSCI Brazil ETF (EWZ) Overview

The iShares MSCI Brazil ETF (EWZ) is a passive fund that seeks to track the MSCI Brazil 25/50 Index, providing exposure to large- and mid-cap Brazilian equities. It typically holds 45-55 securities, with top positions concentrated in financials, materials, and energy. Leading holdings often include Nu Holdings, Vale, Itaú Unibanco, and Petrobras. The fund maintains an expense ratio of 0.59% and employs a market-capitalization-weighted methodology with periodic rebalancing to match the index. As a single-country vehicle, EWZ offers investors a direct way to express a view on Brazil's economy while accepting elevated geopolitical and currency risks associated with that market.

iShares Latin America 40 ETF (ILF) Overview

The iShares Latin America 40 ETF (ILF) is a passive fund designed to track the S&P Latin America 40 Index, which comprises 40 of the largest and most liquid equities from Mexico and South American markets. The fund generally holds 41 securities, with substantial allocations to Brazil and Mexico. Prominent holdings frequently feature Nu Holdings, Vale, Itaú Unibanco, Grupo México, and Petrobras. ILF carries an expense ratio of 0.47% and uses a market-capitalization-weighted approach with rebalancing aligned to the index. This structure delivers diversified regional exposure across multiple Latin American economies, potentially mitigating single-country volatility compared with narrower alternatives.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

Latin American equity markets remain influenced by commodity price cycles, interest-rate dynamics in developed economies, and domestic policy developments. Financials and materials sectors dominate both ETFs due to the prevalence of banks and resource companies in the region. Macroeconomic drivers include global demand for metals, energy exports, and shifts in monetary policy that affect capital flows into emerging markets. Regulatory changes, trade relations, and currency movements continue to shape sector performance, while investors monitor earnings trends among large financial and industrial firms for signals of sustained momentum.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent market cycles, both ETFs have reflected the performance characteristics of Latin American equities, with sensitivity to commodity trends and regional economic indicators. EWZ tends to exhibit greater volatility tied to Brazilian-specific events, while ILF benefits from additional exposure to Mexican and other regional constituents that can moderate swings. Relative positioning favors diversification in ILF during periods of uneven country performance, whereas EWZ may capture sharper upside when Brazilian assets lead the region. Over broader timeframes, cost efficiency and holding breadth influence long-term outcomes more than short-term fluctuations. From what I see, this difference in volatility profiles is worth monitoring closely.

Exploring Opportunities with Tickeron’s AI Screener

When comparing ETFs like these, I often turn to Tickeron’s AI Screener to filter holdings, expense ratios, and sector overlaps efficiently. It helps surface relevant ideas based on customizable criteria without manual effort.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable factors including lower expense ratio, broader geographic diversification, and comparable sector exposure, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probability of favorable risk-adjusted positioning to ILF. The regional structure offers structural resilience across market cycles while maintaining access to leading Latin American companies. Investors should evaluate these characteristics against their own objectives and risk parameters.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

Related Ticker: EWZ, ILF

Contributor

John Y White's AvatarJohn Y White|Beginner

Experienced trader focused on market analysis, identifying trading opportunities, and developing custom trading signals based on market trends, price action, and data-driven insights. Join my Trader Club to follow my latest analysis, trading ideas, and active signals: https://tickeron.com/app/trader-club/103/view?tab=active&section=trades&via=john


Momentum Indicator for EWZ turns positive, indicating new upward trend

EWZ saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 02, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 80 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 73 of the 80 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for EWZ just turned positive on October 05, 2026. Looking at past instances where EWZ's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 42 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.

EWZ moved above its 50-day moving average on September 29, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for EWZ crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 01, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 15 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.

The 50-day moving average for EWZ moved above the 200-day moving average on September 11, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a +12.60% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EWZ advanced for three days, in 277 of 314 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 218 of 239 cases where EWZ Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where EWZ declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.

EWZ broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Industry description

The investment seeks to track the investment results of the MSCI Brazil 25/50 Index. The fund generally will invest at least 80% of its assets in the component securities of its underlying index and in investments that have economic characteristics that are substantially identical to the component securities of its underlying index. The index is a free float-adjusted market capitalization-weighted index designed to measure the performance of the large- and mid- capitalization segments of the equity market in Brazil. The fund is non-diversified.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the iShares MSCI Brazil ETF (EWZ) ETF is 28.37B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 6.52B to 59.08B. NU holds the highest valuation in this group at 59.08B. The lowest valued company is AUGO at 6.52B.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the iShares MSCI Brazil ETF (EWZ) ETF was 44%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was 53%, and the average quarterly price growth was 55%. XP experienced the highest price growth at 41%, while AUGO experienced the biggest fall at 4%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the iShares MSCI Brazil ETF (EWZ) ETF was -18%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was 75% and the average quarterly volume growth was 142%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 69
P/E Growth Rating: 71
Price Growth Rating: 41
SMR Rating: 27
Profit Risk Rating: 88
Seasonality Score: -33 (-100 ... +100)
View a ticker or compare two or three
EWZ
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
Interact to see
Advertisement
A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

Category Unknown

Category
Focused Region
Address
iShares, Inc.400 Howard StreetSan Francisco
Phone
N/A
Web
www.ishares.com
Interact to see
Advertisement
The Bitwise Solana Staking ETF (BSOL) advanced roughly 18% over the trailing 30 days, closely tracking a sharp rally in Solana (SOL). The move extends a broader recovery, with BSOL up approximately 77% over the past three months from its mid-2026 trough.
MSTY is an actively managed single-stock option income ETF (exchange-traded fund) that writes call options on Strategy (MSTR), formerly MicroStrategy, to generate current income. The portfolio is anchored by U.S. Treasury bills and MSTR option contracts rather than a diversified basket of equities, concentrating exposure in one volatile underlying.
AMDL has surged roughly +64% over the past 30 days, from about $47.59 to $78.10, mirroring a powerful rally in its sole underlying stock, AMD . The fund is a leveraged single-stock ETF (exchange-traded fund) designed to deliver 2x the daily return of AMD, amplifying both gains and losses.
TSMX, a 2x daily leveraged single-stock ETF (exchange-traded fund), rose roughly +19% over the trailing 30 days, rebounding sharply from mid-September lows. The fund seeks 200% of the daily return of TSM (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing), meaning its moves are roughly double the underlying stock's daily swings.
Contracted revenue anchor: A roughly $3.2 billion, seven-year LNG (liquefied natural gas) supply agreement with Puerto Rico has received final approval, providing multi-year cash-flow visibility if execution stays on track. Project pipeline inflection: Upcoming milestones include the Barcarena and PortoCem power plants in Brazil, a potential Gás Sul terminal restart, and optimization of the company's modular "Fast LNG" (FLNG) liquefaction fleet.
AMD (Advanced Micro Devices) designs central processing units (CPUs), graphics processing units (GPUs), and AI accelerators, while LRCX (Lam Research) supplies the wafer-fabrication equipment used to build advanced chips. AMD has delivered strong double-digit revenue growth on AI data-center demand, but its shares trade with elevated expectations that can trigger sharp reactions around earnings.
Origination momentum: Velocity Financial enters 2026 off record annual originations of roughly $2.7 billion (up about 48%), positioning it to keep gaining share in a fragmented investor-loan market. Credit normalization is the central watch item: Nonperforming loans fell toward the 8.5% range of portfolio unpaid principal balance (UPB), but asset quality remains the primary swing factor for earnings.
Turnaround milestone ahead: Management has pointed to reaching cash generation in 2027, making the pace of cost discipline and margin recovery the central question for the stock forecast. Fresh capital supports execution: A recently announced $45.5 million equity financing, with participation from management and a single institutional investor, strengthens the balance sheet as the company funds its transformation.
NFE closed at $5.51, down -6.13% during Tuesday's regular session, extending a slide that has pushed shares near a 52-week low. Primary catalyst: the company disclosed its Fast LNG unit is offline after a gas-turbine mechanical failure, with return to service not expected until Q4.
The central $11 target is the arithmetic mean of four verified analyst price targets, rounded from roughly $10.75. With the stock near $2.06, reaching $11 would require an upside of more than 400%, an extremely large move.
The $23 central target is the rounded arithmetic mean of four verified analyst price targets, which average $23.25. The latest verified price is around $9.57, meaning the target implies roughly 140% upside—a very large move.
NXH closed down -11.17% (-$0.23) to $1.83 on Oct 6, the most recent regular session, extending a steep two-day decline. Selling continued as investors digested the mutual termination of the Fathom Holdings merger and a dilutive $45.5M registered direct offering of ~16.5M shares at $2.76.
AMD is a large-cap designer of CPUs (central processing units) and GPUs (graphics processing units) competing directly with Nvidia in the AI accelerator market, while FORM is a small-cap provider of semiconductor test and measurement equipment, primarily probe cards. AMD's narrative has been driven by multi-billion-dollar hyperscaler deals, while FORM's has been powered by record revenue and sharp margin expansion tied to high-bandwidth memory (HBM) demand.
AMD has surged roughly 200% year to date, crossing a $1 trillion market capitalization on AI data-center demand and a "CPU renaissance" narrative. KLAC has gained about 71% year to date, supported by record process-control revenue and rapid growth in advanced packaging for AI chips.
AMD is a large-cap semiconductor designer riding explosive AI compute demand, while ENTG is a mid-cap supplier of materials and purity solutions that feed the same AI-driven chip cycle. AMD recently crossed a $1 trillion market capitalization on surging data center revenue, whereas ENTG operates at a far smaller scale (roughly $23 billion) with steadier, double-digit growth.
VELO closed Tuesday at $9.57, unchanged (+0.00%) from the prior session, with the move occurring during regular market hours. The flat close marked stabilization after Monday's -14.5% plunge, when shares fell to $9.57 from $11.20 following disclosure of CFO James Suva's departure.
The $8 target used here is a technical, publicly discussed recovery objective — not an analyst consensus — because legacy analyst price targets were set before NFE's restructuring and reverse stock split. New Fortress Energy Inc. ( NFE ) trades near $5.51, so reaching $8 implies a roughly 45% advance.
AVBP plunged -46.98% during Tuesday's regular session, closing at $15.09 versus $28.46, marking its worst single-day decline on record. The catalyst was the Phase 3 FURVENT trial of firmonertinib failing its primary endpoint—progression-free survival—in first-line EGFR exon 20 insertion non-small cell lung cancer.
Upcoming catalyst: The company's next earnings release is estimated for November 6, 2026, which should offer fresh detail on its SKY token holdings, staking rewards, and treasury strategy. Strategic positioning: SDEV is an on-chain holding company providing public-market exposure to the Sky protocol ecosystem, with SKY as its core digital asset and a stated focus on the stablecoin economy.
Different roles in the chip ecosystem: AMAT is a materials-engineering and deposition leader, while KLAC dominates process control, inspection, and yield management. Momentum favors AMAT: AMAT shares have more than doubled this year, while KLAC has recently pulled back roughly 9% in a month on margin and execution concerns.