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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Apr 13, 2026

Elbit Systems (ESLT): +6% Gain in 30 Days on Major Contracts and Defense Momentum

Key Takeaways

  • ESLT stock rose +6% over the past 30 days, driven by a major $750 million contract for PULS rocket artillery systems with Greece and sustained defense sector momentum.
  • Over the past quarter, shares surged +32%, propelled by record Q4 2025 earnings, a $28.1 billion order backlog, and heightened global demand for defense technologies.
  • Key catalysts include strong earnings beats, multiple international contract wins, and geopolitical tensions boosting military spending.
  • Analyst price target upgrades reflect optimism around the company's diversified international revenue and robust backlog visibility.
  • Broader market trends in aerospace and defense have supported ESLT's outperformance amid rising global security concerns.

Understanding Elbit Systems (ESLT) and Its Strong Market Position

Elbit Systems Ltd. (ESLT) is an Israel-based international high-technology defense company that designs, develops, manufactures, and supplies advanced systems for military, homeland security, and commercial applications. The company operates across airborne, land, naval, cyber, electro-optics, electronic warfare, and unmanned systems domains. Its core business model revolves around long-term government contracts, with a significant portion of revenues derived from the Israeli Ministry of Defense (IMOD), U.S. Department of Defense (DoD), and international militaries.

In my view, Elbit holds a leading position in the global defense industry, producing 85% of the Israel Defense Forces' land-based equipment and a substantial share of unmanned aerial vehicles. With a diversified client base—72% of its record $28.1 billion backlog from international sources—the company's exposure to rising global defense budgets explains its resilient stock price movement. Strong fundamentals, including 16% full-year revenue growth to $7.9 billion in 2025, underpin its recent performance amid geopolitical demand surges.

ESLT Stock Performance: Breaking Down the Last 30 Days and Quarter

Over the last 30 days, ESLT stock advanced +6%, closing at approximately $925 on April 10 from around $871 on March 13. The movement was trend-driven with moderate volatility, peaking near all-time highs before a slight pullback, supported by contract news and sector tailwinds.

For the past quarter, shares climbed +32%, from about $700 on January 13 to the current level. This steady uptrend reflected cumulative gains from earnings momentum and deal announcements, outperforming broader markets amid defense sector strength. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how the stock compares to others in the industry, and the relative strength stands out.

Key Drivers Behind ESLT's Recent 30-Day Gain

The primary catalyst was Elbit's April 6 announcement of a $750 million contract to supply PULS rocket artillery systems to Greece's Hellenic Armed Forces, including a ten-year support period. This deal triggered an immediate stock pop, reinforcing the company's international growth narrative.

Positive analyst actions followed, including JPMorgan raising its price target to $930 from $580 while maintaining a Neutral rating, citing strong aerospace and defense demand. Lingering momentum from March's record Q4 results—$2.15 billion revenue (up 11% YoY), EPS of $3.56 beating estimates, and the $28.1 billion backlog—sustained buying interest. Geopolitical tensions, including Middle East conflicts, further elevated sector sentiment, connecting directly to ESLT's core land and munitions offerings.

What Powered ESLT's Impressive Quarterly Performance

The quarter's +32% gain was anchored by Elbit's March 17 Q4/full-year 2025 earnings, revealing record revenues of $7.9 billion (up 16% YoY), non-GAAP net income of $598 million, and a backlog surge to $28.1 billion (up $5.5 billion YoY). Shares jumped 16% post-release, hitting a 52-week high of $1,016.

Sustained international wins, such as $450 million U.S. Army contracts, $277 million from an undisclosed client, and drone deliveries to Romania, highlighted diversified demand. Macro factors like global defense spending increases amid conflicts (Gaza, Iran) and NATO/EU budget hikes provided tailwinds. Institutional accumulation and sector rotation into aerospace/defense amplified the uptrend, with ESLT outperforming the S&P 500 by a wide margin. From what I see, this combination of execution and external support has been key.

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Looking Ahead: What to Watch for ESLT Stock

Investors should monitor upcoming quarterly earnings for updates on backlog conversion, margin expansion, and guidance amid ongoing global conflicts. Key industry trends include rising demand for unmanned systems, rocket artillery, and C4ISR (command, control, communications, computers, intelligence, surveillance, reconnaissance) technologies. One thing that stands out is how these areas align with ESLT's strengths.

The macro environment—interest rates, inflation, and defense budgets in NATO allies and Asia-Pacific—remains critical. Strategic developments like joint ventures (e.g., EuroPULS with KNDS) and U.S. contract follow-ons could catalyze sentiment. Risks include supply chain disruptions, regulatory scrutiny on defense exports, and execution on large backlogs; positive triggers may stem from new deals in high-growth areas like cyber and electro-optics. I'm watching this closely as these factors could shape the next moves.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.

Related Ticker: ESLT

ESLT in downward trend: 10-day moving average moved below 50-day moving average on June 15, 2026

The 10-day moving average for ESLT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on June 15, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 12, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ESLT as a result. In of 93 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ESLT turned negative on June 17, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 53 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 53 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

ESLT moved below its 50-day moving average on June 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ESLT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

ESLT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 11, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 9 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ESLT advanced for three days, in of 349 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 285 cases where ESLT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ESLT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (8.518) is normal, around the industry mean (10.849). P/E Ratio (62.570) is within average values for comparable stocks, (92.779). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (4.079). Dividend Yield (0.004) settles around the average of (0.019) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.476) is also within normal values, averaging (36.950).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are GE Aerospace (NYSE:GE), Boeing Company (NYSE:BA), Lockheed Martin Corp (NYSE:LMT), Northrop Grumman Corp (NYSE:NOC), Virgin Galactic Holdings (NYSE:SPCE).

Industry description

Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Aerospace & Defense Industry is 46.28B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 4.49 to 2.25T. SPCX holds the highest valuation in this group at 2.25T. The lowest valued company is BDRPF at 4.49.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Aerospace & Defense Industry was 6%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -9%, and the average quarterly price growth was 17%. AADX experienced the highest price growth at 24%, while GPUS experienced the biggest fall at -45%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Aerospace & Defense Industry was 26%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -30% and the average quarterly volume growth was 54%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 47
P/E Growth Rating: 64
Price Growth Rating: 59
SMR Rating: 79
Profit Risk Rating: 72
Seasonality Score: 0 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a manufacturer of airborne, ground and command, control and communication electronic systems

Industry AerospaceDefense

Profile
Details
Industry
Aerospace And Defense
Address
Advanced Technology Center
Phone
+972 772940000
Employees
20537
Web
https://www.elbitsystems.com
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