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Nov 04, 2026
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FXD vs PEZ: Factor-Based Diversification Against Momentum in Consumer Discretionary ETFs

FXD vs PEZ: Factor-Based Diversification Against Momentum in Consumer Discretionary ETFs

Key Takeaways

  • FXD and PEZ both target U.S. consumer cyclical equities, but they use fundamentally different construction methods: FXD is a multi-factor "AlphaDEX" fund, while PEZ is a pure relative-strength (momentum) strategy.
  • FXD is significantly more diversified, holding roughly 119 stocks with a top-10 concentration near 16%, whereas PEZ typically holds only about 30–40 names with a top-10 weight above 40%.
  • Both funds carry a 0.60% net expense ratio, though PEZ's gross expense ratio of 0.97% depends on a contractual fee waiver.
  • PEZ's momentum approach can amplify concentration and turnover risk, while FXD's modified equal-weighting and multi-factor selection provide broader, more balanced sector exposure.
  • Tickeron AI Verdict: FXD is favored for its superior diversification, lower single-stock concentration risk, and more structurally robust exposure within the same consumer discretionary theme.

Why Consumer Discretionary ETFs Deserve Attention

Consumer discretionary ETFs sit at the intersection of macroeconomic health, employment trends, and household spending power, making them a timely area of focus for investors weighing sector exposure. FXD and PEZ offer two distinct paths into the same broad consumer cyclical universe. They do not compete directly as identical products; rather, they represent alternative methodologies for capturing returns from U.S. consumer-focused companies. This ETF comparison examines their structural differences, sector exposure, cost profiles, and relative positioning to help investors understand which framework better aligns with their objectives in the current market environment. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to compare sector dynamics.

Understanding the FXD Approach

FXD is a passively managed ETF that seeks to track the StrataQuant Consumer Discretionary Index. The fund uses First Trust's AlphaDEX methodology, a multi-factor selection process that evaluates stocks from the Russell 1000 Index on growth and value criteria before applying a modified equal-dollar weighting scheme. This approach tilts the portfolio toward names the methodology deems undervalued or attractively positioned rather than simply weighting by market capitalization.

The fund holds approximately 119 securities, keeping individual position weights modest—top holdings such as AMZN (Amazon.com), LUV (Southwest Airlines), DDS (Dillard's), GAP (Gap), and LYFT (Lyft) each represent only a small single-digit percentage of assets. Sector allocation is dominated by consumer discretionary at roughly 69%, with meaningful secondary exposure to communication services (about 11%) and industrials (about 9%). The net expense ratio is 0.60%. The fund rebalances periodically according to its index methodology, contributing to its relatively broad, low-concentration profile. From what I see, the modified equal-weighting helps smooth out volatility compared to more concentrated peers.

Understanding the PEZ Approach

PEZ tracks the Dorsey Wright Consumer Cyclicals Technical Leaders Index, a momentum-based benchmark designed to identify companies demonstrating the strongest relative strength within the consumer cyclical universe drawn from the NASDAQ US Benchmark Index. Unlike a factor-value approach, PEZ selects and weights holdings based on price momentum, meaning it concentrates capital in recent market leaders.

The fund typically holds between 30 and 40 securities, resulting in substantially higher concentration than FXD. Representative top holdings have included CVNA (Carvana), AMZN (Amazon.com), RCL (Royal Caribbean), TPR (Tapestry), NFLX (Netflix), and DASH (DoorDash). Consumer discretionary accounts for roughly 68% of assets, with communication services (about 13%) and industrials (about 10%) rounding out the allocation. The fund and index are reconstituted and rebalanced quarterly. PEZ carries a gross expense ratio of 0.97%, reduced to a 0.60% net expense ratio through a fee waiver.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

Both funds are shaped by the broader health of the U.S. consumer. Spending on discretionary goods and services—travel, dining, autos, apparel, and home improvement—remains sensitive to employment levels, wage growth, and interest-rate expectations. In recent market cycles, resilient labor markets have supported consumer demand, while elevated borrowing costs have pressured rate-sensitive categories such as housing and autos. E-commerce penetration, the shift toward experiences over goods, and promotional dynamics in retail have also influenced earnings across the sector. For momentum strategies like PEZ, rapid sector rotation can produce sharp swings in composition, whereas FXD's broader, factor-driven portfolio tends to absorb rotation more gradually. Both funds carry meaningful concentration in consumer cyclical stocks, exposing them to cyclical downturns in discretionary spending.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

Relative fund performance in recent weeks and months has been driven less by the funds' shared sector tilt and more by their differing construction philosophies. PEZ's momentum engine has amplified exposure to high-beta leaders during risk-on phases, but it has also concentrated drawdown risk when those same names reverse. FXD's modified equal-weighting and multi-factor discipline have historically produced a steadier, less concentrated profile with lower sensitivity to any single holding's swings. I’m watching this closely because sector rotation between growth-oriented names and value-oriented cyclical stocks has at times favored one methodology over the other.

Because PEZ holds fewer, larger positions, its volatility and turnover tend to be higher, while FXD's broader basket of roughly 119 names generally offers smoother relative positioning. For investors evaluating volatility, concentration, and diversification as much as raw sector exposure, these structural differences are central to the ETF comparison.

Using Tickeron’s AI Screener for ETF Analysis

In my own research process, Tickeron’s AI Screener has become a practical way to filter sector ETFs by technical patterns, fundamentals, and performance metrics. It allows quick scans across industries and helps surface ideas on diversification or momentum characteristics without manual effort, which I find useful when comparing funds like these two.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron's AI would currently favor FXD over PEZ. FXD offers materially greater diversification across roughly 119 holdings versus PEZ's 30–40, reducing single-stock concentration risk. Its multi-factor AlphaDEX approach provides a more balanced, lower-turnover profile than PEZ's concentrated momentum strategy, which is more vulnerable to sharp reversals and sector rotation. With effectively equal net cost (0.60%) and a steadier risk profile, FXD presents a more structurally robust way to access consumer discretionary exposure. This assessment reflects probabilistic, framework-based analysis rather than a prediction of short-term returns, and it is not a substitute for individual due diligence.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

Related Ticker: FXD, PEZ

Momentum Indicator for FXD turns positive, indicating new upward trend

FXD saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 79 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 71 of the 79 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FXD just turned positive on September 29, 2026. Looking at past instances where FXD's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 41 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.

FXD moved above its 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for FXD crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 26, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 13 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.

Following a +1.13% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FXD advanced for three days, in 237 of 294 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 196 of 254 cases where FXD Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 77%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The 50-day moving average for FXD moved below the 200-day moving average on October 08, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FXD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.

FXD broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN), Costco Wholesale Corp (NASDAQ:COST), Home Depot (NYSE:HD), Walt Disney Company (The) (NYSE:DIS), McDonald's Corp (NYSE:MCD), TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), Lowe's Companies (NYSE:LOW), Spotify Technology SA (NYSE:SPOT), Starbucks Corp (NASDAQ:SBUX).

Industry description

The investment seeks investment results that correspond generally to the price and yield (before the fund's fees and expenses) of an equity index called the StrataQuant® Consumer Discretionary Index. The fund will normally invest at least 90% of its net assets (including investment borrowings) in the securities that comprise the index. The index is a modified equal-dollar weighted index that seeks to objectively identify and select stocks from the Russell 1000® Index in the consumer discretionary sector that may generate positive alpha relative to traditional passive-style indices through the use of the AlphaDEX® selection methodology.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the First Trust Consumer Discretionary AlphaDEX Fund (FXD) ETF is 68.19B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 2.06B to 2.7T. AMZN holds the highest valuation in this group at 2.7T. The lowest valued company is WHR at 2.06B.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the First Trust Consumer Discretionary AlphaDEX Fund (FXD) ETF was 31%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was 51%, and the average quarterly price growth was 86%. CROX experienced the highest price growth at 29%, while BFAM experienced the biggest fall at -26%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the First Trust Consumer Discretionary AlphaDEX Fund (FXD) ETF was 20%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was -12% and the average quarterly volume growth was -26%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 66
P/E Growth Rating: 55
Price Growth Rating: 48
SMR Rating: 49
Profit Risk Rating: 71
Seasonality Score: 26 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

Category ConsumerDiscretionary

Category
Consumer Cyclical
Address
First Trust Exchange-Traded Alphadex Fd120 East Liberty Drive, Suite 400Wheaton
Phone
N/A
Web
www.ftportfolios.com
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FXD vs PEZ: Factor-Based Diversification Against Momentum in Consumer Discretionary ETFs